December 11, 2024.

History will only repeat itself in various ways.

Bitcoin is bleeding, and altcoins have directly pierced the main artery.

The entire market is in agony, indicating that everyone is playing with altcoins. At this time point, perhaps everyone is betting that 2025 will be like 2021, with the first half being the altcoin season.

Will the altcoin season come again?

When everyone is betting on the altcoin season, maybe we need to be mentally prepared for the altcoin season to arrive a few months late, or even delayed by half a year, arriving only at the end of 2025.

Better late than never!

I believe the cycles are generally similar; Bitcoin will outperform altcoins from 2023 to 2024, while in 2025, altcoins will outperform Bitcoin, but the details will not be the same.

For instance, the altcoin season was at its peak from March to April 2021.

It is possible that this cycle will be delayed by a few months or even half a year.

Value coins will trend upwards in the long term, and the altcoin season can come early or late.

Don't be disappointed by not catching the historical details; details can never be carved in stone, including the timing and magnitude of the launch.

The altcoin season is always brief; everything should focus on value.

Stick to buying low to reduce the cost of mistakes. It's better not to buy than to chase high prices; if you preserve the green mountains, you won't fear not having wood to burn.

Investing is not about the winners being crowned king, but rather the survivors being crowned king.

To earn more and safer money, investors should dare to enter the market when others are fearful, rather than following the crowd.

When others are greedy, your buying price-performance ratio is very low.

Investing is not black and white, nor is it as simple as buying all or selling all. The key is adjustment; do not chase high prices; adjust your main holdings to coins with a higher price-performance ratio and value.

Value coins will trend upwards in the long term; the altcoin season cannot carve history.

Make efforts to increase the number of coins with a higher price-performance ratio and value support. At the same time, reduce exposure to coins that lack value and have excessive price increases.

If price-performance ratio and value coexist, then luck has arrived.