#非农数据已经公布

#美降息25个基点预期升温

#12月美降息变数

December 6, 2024 22:09

Evening News Report

The non-farm payroll data has been released, meeting market expectations. The probability of a U.S. rate cut in December has increased.

After the release of the non-farm data, U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose as traders bet on a higher likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Traders now believe there is an 85% chance of a Fed rate cut in December, up from 67% before the employment report was released.

However, there is a variable: U.S. banks are more concerned that the CPI data to be released before the Fed's December rate decision could become an obstacle to rate cuts. The bank stated that if there is a significant monthly increase in the CPI data again, then "the Federal Reserve may find it difficult to maintain rate cuts."

So we look forward to the U.S. CPI data on December 11 to provide clarity on everything!