Rational judgment must avoid chasing highs and cutting lows; do not become sheep of investment banks and media

A new week is upon us, and new layouts are about to begin. This week will be a watershed for the market. First, we need to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on the 9th! Secondly, after Trump took office, will he be able to issue a series of policies to stimulate the economy and benefit the cryptocurrency market as promised before the election? Will these policies be successfully implemented?

After a slow consolidation over the weekend, Bitcoin has seen a rebound, recovering to the high point of 98,200 today, but is currently fluctuating around 96,400 after a pullback from that resistance. It has met resistance three times in this range since last week. Duy has been emphasizing over the weekend not to chase highs and cut lows. Sure enough, there was a quick pullback in the market around noon. If there is really going to be a big rise, it would not wait until today. The upward trend line has been tested repeatedly in the past few days, and logically, it should be a continuation of bearish sentiment. Focus on the key support level at 95,500 below; if the market breaks down further today, it basically indicates that the bearish forces have returned.

From the market sentiment, since the coin price can rise, it indicates that the negative impacts have not been overly digested. Therefore, we still need to maintain a short-term trading mindset: reduce frequency, watch the trend, and we need to continue to pay attention to the current pressure. The continuation of a downward trend after breaking through should also be treated with caution. Don't let emotions take over; the coin price has encountered resistance multiple times around 99,000, forming a temporary short-term top at this position. The short-term support level is at 95,500, which has been tested multiple times over the weekend without breaking. MACD shows a weakening of bearish momentum, with DIF and DEA approaching zero, but still in the negative zone, and attention should be paid to whether a golden cross will occur. RSI is hovering around 50, indicating that the market currently has no clear overbought or oversold signals.

EMA7 and EMA30 moving averages are converging, while EMA120 is far below the current price. The long-term trend is still upward, but there is still a need for a short-term pullback. In terms of operation, continue to treat this as a short-term fluctuation, buying low and selling high around resistance and support levels, and do not chase highs and cut lows. Do not be misled by big influencers and media into blindly chasing trends. Friends, you must keep your eyes sharp, be rational, and do not become the sheep of media and investment banks.