Fear of heights I think I was wrong. I have been afraid of heights since Bitcoin reached 95,000 because there has not been an effective callback in the past 20 days. I still think about Bitcoin in the way retail investors think. I think that Bitcoin will definitely fall if it rises. However, the market shows that any decline will be immediately recovered. I have been thinking about the driving factors of Bitcoin's rise in the past few days. The conclusion is that Bitcoin's 100,000 yuan may not be the top in the future. Bitcoin will continue to fluctuate and rise in the next few years or even more than ten years.
1. There is no obvious selling at the price of 98,000. In fact, retail investors are basically no longer eligible to participate at this price. Those who want to run have run away. Those who don't want to run are extreme believers and will not run at this price. Therefore, as Bitcoin rises, the selling will become less and less.
2. Micro Strategy continues to buy Bitcoin. Micro Strategy should be the craziest believer in Bitcoin. It currently holds about 280,000 Bitcoins. According to his analysis report in July, the price of Bitcoin in the bear market is 3 million yuan and the price in the bull market is 49 million yuan. Therefore, Micro Strategy continues to buy Bitcoin crazily. It borrows money to buy Bitcoin in the bear market and sells stocks to buy Bitcoin in the bull market. Now it is issuing bonds to buy Bitcoin. As the price of Bitcoin rises, more and more institutions are allocating Bitcoin. Demand is further strengthened
3. Trump's core mission after taking office is to resolve the US debt crisis. At present, there is no other effective way to peacefully resolve the US debt crisis except Bitcoin. Trump and Musk are both Bitcoin fanatics. They have repeatedly stated that they want to use Bitcoin as a reserve currency. Now Bitcoin has become a de facto circulating world currency. Black, white and gray all have a rigid demand for Bitcoin
4. More and more institutions and wealthy people are beginning to allocate Bitcoin as risk reserves. I have a few friends who took out 5% of their assets to buy Bitcoin after Trump took office. This part of Bitcoin will basically not or rarely flow into the market
5. The game at the national level has just begun. No one dares to guarantee that Trump will use Bitcoin to resolve the US debt crisis and re-anchor Bitcoin and the US dollar
And the success of the small country of El Salvador will further stimulate other small countries to buy Bitcoin as a reserve currency
6. ETFs such as BlackRock continue to buy Bitcoin. BlackRock manages more than 11.5 trillion U.S. dollars. It has spent so much time and energy on layout. It is impossible to stop at this price now. And BlackRock's demonstration effect is too strong
7. The UK has begun preparing to use 3% of its pension to buy Bitcoin