$XRP

CURRENT SITUATION ANALYSIS:

Current price: 1.44 (down from peak 1.65)

RSI has decreased to the 56 range (neutral)

Selling volume has increased significantly in the last 24h

Net cash flow is negative (-1.02M in 24h)

Long/Short ratio is at a balanced level

SCENARIO ADJUSTMENT:

Rebound scenario (40%):

Price rebounds from the 1.40-1.42 range

Target 1: 1.50 (near resistance area)

Target 2: 1.55

Condition: Buying volume increases + RSI breaks above 60

Sideway scenario (35%):

Accumulation in the 1.35-1.45 range

Duration 2-3 days

Need to monitor cash flow changes

Condition: Average volume, no breakout

Continuation of decline scenario (25%):

Break below 1.35

May test 1.30-1.32

Stop loss at 1.28

Condition: Selling volume remains high

NEW TRADING STRATEGY:

Entry Point 1 (Conservative):

Price range: 1.35-1.37

Size: 40% position

Stop loss: 1.32

Take profit: 1.45, 1.50

R/R = 1:2.5

Entry Point 2 (Aggressive - only if there is a strong rebound):

Price range: 1.40-1.42

Size: 30% position

Stop loss: 1.37

Take profit: 1.48, 1.52

R/R = 1:2

POSITION MANAGEMENT:

At TP1:

Take profit 50% position

Move stop loss up to entry point

At TP2:

Take profit an additional 30%

Trail stop the remaining

ORDER ENTRY CONDITIONS:

Need to see:

Buying volume increasing again

RSI exiting the oversold area

Net cash flow turning positive

BTC stabilizing above 96k

Do not enter orders when:

Selling volume remains high

RSI shows no signs of reversal

Cash flow continues to be negative

RISK MANAGEMENT:

Reduce total position size to 1.5% of portfolio

Scale into positions (scaling in)

Tighter stop loss due to high volatility

Limit average down

Prioritize capital preservation during this period