Why do you always regret? Why can't you hold on?

1. Why is it difficult to re-enter the market after getting off midway during a bull market?

Phenomenon:

  • The rises of these coins are often abrupt, accompanied by high-frequency unilateral surges. Even if a brief pullback occurs, it is hard to return to previous price ranges.

  • Investors often sell due to fear or profit-taking after holding for a while, but subsequent rises leave them regretting the decision.

Reason:

  • Low circulation effect: MEME coins and some altcoins often have low circulation, and large funds entering can quickly drive up prices.

  • Market sentiment:As enthusiasm spreads, subsequent funds continuously flow in, further pushing up prices and forming a vicious chasing pattern.
    Strategy:
    Once these coins are selected, avoid getting off too early, especially when just breaking through key resistance levels.

2. The rising pace is rapid, directly ignoring previous high resistance levels.

Phenomenon:

  • Ordinary coins often need to repeatedly test resistance levels before breaking through previous highs, while strong coins will break through and stabilize without hesitation.

  • For example, the rise of DOGE often presents consecutive large bullish candles, almost giving no time for selling pressure to react.

Reason:

  • Market consensus and capital support: The rise of these cryptocurrencies often relies on the rapid formation of market consensus, such as social media buzz or support from influencers.

  • Institutional and large fund driving: Once a trend is established, some institutional funds will quickly push prices to break key levels, creating a 'FOMO' (fear of missing out) effect.

Strategy:

  • Observe changes in trading volume and market sentiment. Once a key resistance level is broken with significant trading volume, it may signal an acceleration in the rise.

3. Completing several months of gains for ordinary coins in just a few days.

Phenomenon:

  • Some MEME coins have risen several times or even tenfold within a few days, completely exceeding normal volatility ranges.

  • For example, SHIBA achieved a hundredfold increase in just a few weeks in 2021.

Reason:

  • Rapid dissemination of hot topics: The explosive spread of social media and news attracts a large number of speculators.

  • Low price, low psychological barrier: Low prices make it easier for novice investors to accept; they believe 'buying a bunch for $0.01 is better than buying 1 Bitcoin.'

  • Contract market driving: The derivatives market amplifies volatility, and when long positions concentrate and erupt, prices will further soar.

Strategy:
Among these coins, short-term investors need to have clear target prices and take profits in batches; while long-term investors need sufficient patience and determination.

4. Even holding spot assets, it is difficult to endure the psychological pressure of volatility.

Phenomenon:

  • These coins exhibit astonishing gains, but also experience severe pullbacks, with daily fluctuations of 30%-50% not uncommon.

  • Investors, even when holding spot assets, often miss subsequent rises due to panic.

Reason:

  • Insufficient liquidity: When there is significant selling pressure, it can create large price gaps, causing severe volatility.

  • Irrational trading: Many investors' buying and selling decisions are based on emotions rather than rational analysis.

Strategy:

  • Make a plan and set profit-taking points in advance: Determine psychological expectations and strictly execute them to avoid being swayed by market fluctuations.

  • Diversified trading: Split funds into multiple parts to avoid overall losses due to severe volatility.

In conclusion: How to seize opportunities during the 'altcoin season'?

  1. Focus on the flow of main funds

    • When the market shifts from mainstream coins (BTC, ETH) to altcoins, it is often a signal that the altcoin season has begun.

  2. Prioritize coins with popularity

    • Observe social media discussion volume and new projects on exchanges, such as 'established powers' and potential new listings are all potential targets.

  3. Diversify risk

    • Altcoins exhibit high volatility; funds should be spread across multiple promising coins to reduce risk.

  4. Long-term vs short-term goals clearly defined

    • If holding strong coins, be patient and ignore short-term fluctuations; short-term investments require decisive profit-taking.

The altcoin season is full of opportunities, but the risks are equally significant. Maintaining a clear trading plan and stable mindset is key to seizing opportunities and holding on tight!

[The above content represents my personal opinion only]