At 3:20 a.m. local time on November 19th, the Ukrainian missile forces launched 6 ATACMS Army Tactical Ballistic Missiles at a large ammunition depot located in the suburbs of Karachev city in Bryansk Oblast, near the Russian southwestern border. According to reports on Russian social media, this large ammunition depot is affiliated with the 67th Armory of the Russian Ministry of Defense's Rocket Artillery Equipment Department.
According to videos from the scene, this ammunition depot was engulfed in giant flames reaching dozens of meters high, accompanied by multiple massive explosions, possibly due to munitions or weapons detonating. It is reported that a large number of weapons were stored in this armory at the time.
At 4 a.m. on the 19th, multiple on-site videos were released on overseas social platforms, indicating that the 67th Armory experienced at least 12 violent explosions. Shortly thereafter, the Ukrainian army issued a strong warning to Russia on social media platforms and Telegram groups, clearly stating that to prevent the 'invasion actions' of the Russian military, they would implement large-scale precision strikes in the future against oil depots, armories, ammunition depots, logistics supply centers, logistics transfer centers, and communication centers within Russia.
It is noteworthy that: 1. Before this precise strike by the Ukrainian army, Putin had just signed the latest version of the Russian Federation's 'Nuclear Warfare Doctrine.' According to the latest revised 'Nuclear Warfare Doctrine,' if the Ukrainian army uses U.S.-made weapons to attack targets on Russian territory, it can be regarded as a large-scale invasion of Russia's territorial sovereignty by the Ukrainian army, and the Russian military has the right to use tactical nuclear weapons for necessary responses. However, shortly after this obviously 'threatening' decree was signed by Putin, the Ukrainian army launched the first round of strikes into Russian territory.
2. Analysts believe that this is a test by the Ukrainian army for further attacks on deep inland targets in Russia. On the one hand, it tests how Russia will respond, and on the other hand, it tests how the EU, NATO, and the White House will react. Therefore, the attack was chosen to be near Bryansk Oblast, only 120 kilometers from the Russia-Ukraine border.
Western analysts believe that Putin has actually fallen into a trap set by the White House and the Pentagon. Putin has just signed the latest version of the 'Nuclear Warfare Doctrine,' which clearly states that if the Ukrainian army uses conventional tactical missiles provided by the U.S. and Western countries to attack targets on Russian territory, the Russian military can immediately respond to such attacks with nuclear weapons, according to the corresponding documents and nuclear deterrence policies. In other words, the warning to Ukraine is that if they dare to use U.S. and Western long-range weapons to attack Russian territory, then Russia will retaliate with tactical nuclear weapons.
So now the question arises: Ukraine has already used tactical missiles to carry out attacks, and the Russian Ministry of Defense has personally acknowledged that the Ukrainian army attacked military targets within Russian territory. Now, does Russia dare to use tactical nuclear weapons to strike Ukrainian military targets?
If the Russian military opens fire, it will be the first time since the end of World War II that nuclear weapons are used, and the impact may far exceed the Russia-Ukraine conflict itself. In addition to bearing the notoriety of using nuclear weapons to harm the Earth's environment, Russia may even offend countries around the globe. In other words, whether the conditions for Russia to use tactical nuclear weapons are mature and whether it is worthwhile is indeed worth discussing. If the Russian military chooses to endure and not respond with tactical nuclear weapons, then how can the so-called 'Nuclear Warfare Doctrine' and nuclear strategic deterrence be discussed?
In summary, Putin and the Russian Federation have likely fallen into the geopolitical logic trap and nuclear strategic deterrence trap set by their opponents.#BabyMarvinf9c7您拥有您值得