【The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 59.1%】According to Golden Finance, based on CME's 'FedWatch', the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate until December is 40.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 59.1%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 30.4%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 54.5%, and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 15.2%.