PANews reported on November 18 that the prediction market Polymarket released data stating that the probability of successfully recovering SpaceX's Super Heavy rocket with the 'chopsticks' robotic arm has risen to 78% by tomorrow.
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk responded that this prediction is roughly in line with his estimates. He stated that with technological advancements, the success rate will eventually approach 100%, but we are still in the early stages.