⭐️ As you know, BTC set a new ATH above $90,000 and thus closed my medium-term expectations at $85,000, I broadcasted the entire path to this price value, including both growth and decline, for more than half a year.

Some agreed with my thoughts, some didn't, of course, I got a lot of hate from those waiting for $BTC at 40 and below, but the fact is the fact - the goal was achieved and I am very happy about it.

🔴Today I will reflect and share my opinion on what movements can be expected from the market in the near future, including the first quarter of 2025. Let's go.

➡️BTC

There are no scenarios, due to the fact that all possible resistances have been broken and the asset is in the so-called "free growth", while the stage of extreme euphoria has not yet arrived, when everything starts to grow, freshly printed stablecoins are already being poured into the market on a permanent basis, and, apparently, there is still potential for growth.

Here I would highlight two scenarios.

📍First, the implementation of the "cup with handle" pattern (I talked about it here) and the arrival of your $100,000 in a new price range with the asset distribution in the $115-120,000 zone (I will make a reservation, if it suddenly happens that we see prices of $140-160,000, I will only be happy).

📍Second, we will not consolidate at marks above $100,000 and the distribution will accordingly be in the current price range.

I stick to the first one, but, and this is the main thing, in both cases - altseason is inevitable! If I had $BTC left, then starting from the $85,000 mark and above, I would start closing the position by 5% with a step of $3,000 and transfer it to undervalued altcoins.

As the metrics show, large wallets are already starting to fixate, and small ones (as always during euphoria) continue to accumulate Bitcoin at such, I would say, risky prices, while the "fear and greed" index is at 80+ (extreme greed).

🔴Also let me remind you that now all BTC holders, I repeat ALL, are in profit, this only means one thing - you need to exit the market on time, and exiting on time means exiting gradually. I don’t know a single person who would ideally exit the market, I would say - it’s impossible (of course, unless you are an insider).

Now about a possible decline. On CME we have a gap of $77,000 - $80,500 which we can close within the correction, of course this is not 100%, but we need to keep this probability in mind. I assume that this zone in case of continued growth in the future will act as support for the inevitable distribution in the future.

➡️ETH

On the strongest impulse the resistance at $2.800 was broken and we came very close to the significant resistance at ~$3.400, here I think we can flat a little and go further up to the minimum target I expect at $4.800-5.000, I think we will reach these values ​​much faster than many expect. The key support in case of a rollback is ~$2.800 (former resistance).

➡️Alts

I will talk about altcoins as a general collective image (more about this here). After the pump of March 2024 (where 35% of positions from the total portfolio were closed in profit) and a repeated decline in the area of ​​SL consolidation, located at the support and below the accumulation channel from August 5, as I have repeatedly said "there will be no lower prices", we are forming a double bottom for most altcoins in anticipation of the liquidity overflow from BTC by fixing profits, i.e. closing long positions by large players.

🔴I expect this spillover to begin before the beginning of the second quarter of 2025.

I am also confident that a very large part of market participants will close their positions upon reaching the local highs of March 2024 - at breakeven or with a small profit, so there will be a change of hands from those who have been in a drawdown for a long time to those who will enter on euphoria.

Thus, the expectations of new market participants will be at completely different price levels, which will allow the altcoin market to grow into a new price range.

That's all for today. I shake everyone's hand and see you next update.🤝