Liquidation data from Coinglass provides an overview of the liquidation positions of BTC on major exchanges, particularly Binance, OKX, and Bybit. By analyzing high-leverage liquidation areas, we can identify important price levels, support and resistance areas, and forecast potential price scenarios.

Below is a detailed analysis based on two important liquidation maps:

  1. Binance BTC/USDT Perpetual Liquidation Map

  2. Aggregate liquidation map of BTC across multiple exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit)

📊 Binance BTC/USDT Perpetual Liquidation Map

Current BTC Price: Approximately $81,243 (marked in the middle of the chart).

Important Observations:

  1. High Leverage Longs: $78,000 - $80,000

    • This area contains many long positions using high leverage from 50x to 100x.

    • If the BTC price drops below $80,000, it will trigger a large number of long liquidation orders, causing strong selling pressure.

  2. High Leverage Shorts: $82,500 and Above

    • A large amount of high-leverage short positions is concentrated at the price level of $82,500 and above.

    • When BTC breaks this level, liquidated shorts could trigger a short squeeze, pushing the price higher.

Important Levels and Market Sentiment:

  • Resistance Zone: $82,500 and Above
    This is a strong resistance area due to the accumulation of short orders.

    • Scenario:
      If BTC breaks above $82,500, c$85,000 - $86,000tr

  • Support Zone: $78,000 - $80,000
    $80,000 is an important psychological level, reinforced by the risk of liquidating high-leverage long positions.

    • Scenario:
      N$80,000, selling pressure will increase significantly, potentially pushing BTC down to the range $76,000 - $77,000, even lower.

Short-Term Scenario:

  • Bullish Scenario:

    • Breaking above $82,500, BTC could surge to the $85,000 range and beyond due to the short squeeze effect.

  • Bearish Scenario:

    • If BTC loses the $80,000 level, a sell-off could push the price down to the $76,000 range.

📉 Aggregate Liquidation Map BTC (Binance, OKX, Bybit)

Current Price: $81,243 (red dotted line on the chart).

Important Observations:

  1. Resistance Zone: $82,500 - $84,000

    • A large amount of short liquidations is concentrated in this range, especially on Binance and OKX.

    • Breaking above this area could trigger a wave of short liquidations, pushing the price up to $88,000.

  2. Support Zone: $78,000 - $80,000

    • Many high-leverage long positions are located here.

    • If BTC drops below $78,000, the pressure from long liquidations could pull the price down to the $75,000 range or even $73,000.

Broader Market Implications:

  • Bullish Case:

    • If BTC breaks above $82,500, market sentiment will shift towards a bullish trend, with a price target near $88,000.

  • Bearish Case:

    • If BTC loses the $78,000 level, the market could shift to a bearish trend, with a lower price target near $73,000.



🎯 Summary of Predictions and Important Price Levels

📢 Factors to Watch:

  1. Macroeconomic Events:

    • Central bank interest rate decisions or major economic events can significantly impact the flow of funds into risk assets like BTC.

  2. Activity of Large Institutions:

    • Large buy or sell orders from institutional investors can create strong momentum for prices.

  3. Market Sentiment:

    • Although sentiment is currently quite optimistic, any failure to break resistance or loss of important support levels could shift sentiment to negative.

Conclusion:

The current BTC liquidation map shows important areas between $78,000 - $84,000 that will determine the next trend. Breaking these levels, whether up or down, could create significant volatility. Investors need to be cautious and closely monitor market-driving factors in the upcoming period.

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