Live coverage of the U.S. election, at 12 PM, Trump is leading in Pennsylvania by nearly 200,000 votes.

How much of a lead does he need to win Pennsylvania?

This year, the Democratic Party is again relying on mail-in ballots to turn the tide, and in most battleground states, counting physical votes definitely shows the Republican Party in the lead.

However, according to a survey released by Musk, the strength of mail-in ballots this year has significantly decreased the Democratic Party's lead, while the in-person voting on election day has the highest turnout in history.

For example, according to Musk's survey, the Democratic advantage in mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania has shrunk by about 600,000 votes, and this year there may be a 400,000 vote advantage.

This all means that compared to four years ago, the difficulty for the Democratic Party to rely on mail-in ballots to turn the tide has greatly increased.

According to the data at 12 PM, Trump is already leading in Pennsylvania by nearly 200,000. If the lead can be expanded to 400,000 votes, the chances of winning will greatly increase.