Everyone remembers that no one can stop the power of trends, just as history is created by the people, not changed by any heroic figure. The structure of this round of Bitcoin market this year is clear, with a series of actions such as downward movement / consolidation / forced buying / accumulation being complete. The U.S. election can only serve as a reason to attract newcomers; for a market operator to continue making money in the future, they must create an atmosphere to attract new participants. As for who gets elected, it will have a short-term impact on the trend, but no one can or will destroy the market structure. The operator is responsible for the market trend and maximizing their own interests, not for Trump or Harris.
As for the brief fluctuations that occur before the election, they are due to the fear and anxiety of the retail investor group. As soon as they hear that Harris is likely to win, they become disheartened and fearful, and when they hear Trump might win, they sell their homes to increase their positions. This extremely unstable group mentality is destined to be shortsighted in judging the future market.
Big D mentioned that once the election results are announced at noon on the 6th, regardless of who is elected, the market's volatility may be far lower than most people's expectations.
Retail investors fantasize: - If Harris wins, Bitcoin will plummet to 30,000 - If Trump wins, Bitcoin will soar to 100,000.
From a week's perspective, the most likely scenario is that after the election results are announced, there will be a spike up/down.
Then the market will move as it will; the Bitcoin market will not be disrupted by any single event. The benefit of the U.S. election for operators is to use it both positively and negatively, increasing volatility and creating market divergence, providing stories to tell. The U.S. election is the most favorable tool for operators to tell stories after ETFs. Additionally, Polymarket is a good tool for observation; whether it is accurate or not is not important, what matters is that we can use Polymarket to see the operator's perspective on us and observe the shifts in sentiment. Big D maintains the same attitude: in this round of the market, no rabbit will be released without first showing the eagle. #美国大选后行情预测 $BTC