11.03 The shorts are very strong, so strong that the exchange wants to insert a pin to explode the short orders first
According to the forecast market Polymarket data, the current forecast probability of Trump winning the US presidential election is 57.5%, and the probability of Harris winning the election is 42.4%. The amount of bets on the US election on the platform has exceeded 2.9 billion US dollars.
This round of market early trading is still dominated by declines. The market fell below the strong support position near 68,800. Next, the market will enter the short logic. The event has a relatively large impact. Next Tuesday, the market will usher in a real change. Wait.
BTC daily-4-hour level market analysis
The large-scale market continues to exert downward pressure. The upper high point has not been broken. The support near 68,800 has been broken, and now it has become a pressure. The end of the weekend should be the time for a change. If it can't go up in the short term, then the target is near 67,300 to take long orders. It may be a good position at the large level. The upper large-level pressure is near 68,800 and near 69,200. Then look at the pressure near 69,500. It is still a short logic. Let's see if the bottom falls in place for the time being.
BTC+ETH intraday level analysis
Bitcoin is still mainly in a downward trend in the intraday market. The first pin is in place. Then after the rebound, it will continue to fall around 68800 and 69200. However, looking at the sentiment of the late market, it is recommended to place a long order near 67300, and try to stop loss near 69200-69500 above. Because the impact of the event is relatively large, you can just buy spot and lie flat in the next few days.
After Ethereum fell below, it started a period of continued weakness and short logic. I don’t think Ethereum will become strong. It will change with the changes of Bitcoin. After Bitcoin becomes strong, I think Ethereum can follow it. Otherwise, Ethereum will not move for the time being.
The spot market has survived the most difficult time. Now is the season for harvesting or re-cultivating. I hope everyone will treat themselves well and make the two years of hard work worthwhile. #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌?