It is reported that the vote counting for the U.S. election has reached an extremely intense level within a week. Unlike previous elections, the support rates of the two party candidates, Harris and Trump, are very close, especially in the swing states where their support rates are neck and neck, within a 'margin of error' of 0.1%. A poll published by U.S. media on the 25th shows that Trump maintains a lead in seven swing states, but the margin is very small. By the final voting time, this result is more like 'bad news' for the Democratic Party; because even if the survey is slightly inaccurate, it signals that Trump is 'significantly ahead', and winning the swing states is equivalent to obtaining the key to the White House.
On the 31st, U.S. media CNN released another completely different poll, showing that Harris has 'turned three cities back'. The poll indicates that in the key swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, Harris's support rates have rebounded in the first two states and exceeded Trump's support rates. In Pennsylvania, the support rates for Trump and Harris are 'highly even'; this means that the previously mentioned significant lead for Trump no longer exists, and now Harris is reclaiming the 'scene'. The two polls come from different companies, and there may certainly be 'subjective errors' during this period.
On the other hand, Elon Musk, the U.S. entrepreneur who previously promoted the election with a 'million-dollar prize', is also facing a crisis. According to U.S. media reports, Musk has been asked to attend a hearing in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania on the morning of the 31st. He has already been sued, with the Philadelphia prosecutor accusing Musk of 'illegally operating a lottery to manipulate the election'. If the lawsuit is upheld, Musk will face a maximum prison sentence, although there is also the possibility of fines. According to legal experts in the U.S., it is actually difficult for his actions to be deemed as 'manipulating the election', as these expenses were paid from his personal funds and did not involve campaign donations.
Previously, the Ipsos poll, which strongly supported Harris, indicated that Harris is 'still leading Trump by about 1%' nationally. This polling agency reported three weeks ago that Harris was maintaining an advantage in several regions, but was accused by Trump's team of 'fabricating polls for profit', suggesting that the public opinion survey is inflated. Given the current intense competition between the two parties, voter turnout in this year's U.S. election is expected to reach a new high. There are also non-profit organizations stating that Trump is most worried about whether Harris will 'steal votes', and thus is demanding strict investigations into the fairness of the election in various places.
It is worth noting that Harris had earlier announced his 'refugee deportation' initiative, aiming to boost his support rate by addressing the issue of illegal immigration. Some of Trump's allies also expect that the former president will repeat his 2020 strategy by quickly declaring victory on election night, even if the results in key swing states are not yet determined. There are also comments suggesting that Harris's current 'weakness' lies in the fact that she has not taken any efforts to save people's livelihoods, and now suddenly emphasizes that she will work for the interests of the American people, which many do not believe, leading some to see Trump's return to the White House as a done deal.
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