【The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 96.2%】According to Golden Finance, as reported by CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering by 25 basis points by November is 96.2%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 3.8% (before the data was released, these probabilities were 99% and 1%, respectively). The probability of maintaining the current interest rate in December is 1.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 29.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 69.6% (before the data was released, these probabilities were 0.5%, 22.9%, and 76.6%, respectively).