The circle is full of short-term traders, who live and die, so why bother! None of the people I have seen making money were by selling high and buying low. The more you do, the more mistakes you make. Just lay out the game and wait for the flowers to bloom. Work hard to provide positive cash flow, and choose those who will not die. I triple the contract, and recharge when I lose. If it goes up, I buy it and roll over.