For readers, I would like to clarify some points about the manipulations around the US elections, where some bloggers write that this or that candidate will win, referring to individual polls, forcing people to make certain bets. 1. Polls are pro-Republican and pro-Democratic, and the data on them shows not what is, but what is advantageous. 2. Data on the country as a whole does not say anything at all, only data on swing states is important. 3. In the US, in principle, there is no direct voting by the majority principle. There, the results are determined by several hundred electors, who, by law, can generally vote at their own discretion. As a result, in 2016, Clinton won with a gap of several million votes, but lost to Trump in electors. Conclusions: it is unrealistic to predict who will win, too many factors influence the result. Perhaps this information will help someone avoid rash decisions.