In other words, after the shooting at a rally in Pennsylvania, the former president's previously steadily rising popularity in the political market jumped from 60% to 70% in one day, but then his lead shrank to 46% when Harris replaced incumbent Joe Biden in the campaign.
A few weeks later, Trump restored his Democratic rival's popularity, offering him 52% to Harris's 47%. However, by mid-September, Harris had eroded Trump's lead and evened out his margin, so now both candidates have the same 49% margin. However, Finbold reported on October 4 that the vice-presidential candidate's margin remained at 49% in the forecast market.
Meanwhile, as noted by investigator X Dumpster #DAO , an attempt to manipulate the results of a derivative bet between the two candidates on the Polymarket platform appears to have failed days after Trump's popularity returned in early September.
Once again, investigators explained that the artificial way to increase the vice president's chances of winning and profit from it was to use the #USDC to buy more than $9 million worth of "pro-Harris" and "anti-Trump" stocks.
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