1. K-line chart analysis and market status

According to the candlestick chart in the figure, TON/USDT has continued to fall in the past few days. Although there is a small rebound today, the overall trend is still bearish, and the price is hovering around 5.1976 USDT. The short-term moving averages MA (5) and MA (10) continue to decline, indicating that the bears are still in a dominant position. If the price fails to rebound effectively, it may continue to fall.

Market psychology: Although prices have rebounded in the short term, the overall market sentiment remains cautious, and some investors may take advantage of the rebound to flee, thereby suppressing price increases.

2. Technical indicators and trend forecast

  1. Moving Average (MA)

    • MA(5)：5.3197 USDT

    • MA(10)：5.4005 USDT

    • MA(30)：5.3719 USDT

The price is running below MA(5) and is subject to the pressure of the moving average in the short term. The bearish trend is still obvious.

  1. Volume

    • After yesterday's sharp increase in trading volume, today's early trading has shrunk slightly, indicating that the market's long and short forces are temporarily balanced. If the subsequent trading volume increases, the price may fall again.

  2. Relative Strength Index (RSI)

    • The RSI is currently in the 40-45 range, showing the weak characteristics of the market and the downward pressure will remain high in the short term.

3. Operation suggestions and stop-profit and stop-loss

Prediction: If TON/USDT cannot effectively break through the resistance level of 5.3197 USDT today, the price may continue to be under downward pressure.

Operation suggestions:

  1. First take profit position

    • 5.1500 USDT. If the price falls below this level, it is recommended to partially take profit and lock in short profits.

  2. Second take profit position

    • 5.0500 USDT. If the price continues to fall to this level, you can consider taking all profits.

  3. Stop Loss

    • 5.3197 USDT. If the price breaks through this resistance level, it indicates that the short trend is invalid and it is recommended to exit with a stop loss.

Position building strategy: It is recommended to enter the market in batches to short when the price rebounds to around 5.2500 USDT. If the price falls below 5.1500 USDT, you can increase your position appropriately.

4. Summary and Direction Suggestions

TON/USDT is currently facing downward pressure. It is recommended to enter the market in batches to short when it rebounds, with the target prices being 5.1500 USDT and 5.0500 USDT. It is necessary to set a stop loss to control risks and prevent losses caused by price rebounds.


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