On August 19, Coindesk reported that according to the analysis of cryptocurrency brokerage company FalconX, the recent changes in Bitcoin prices have not shown a clear correlation with the probability of Republican candidate Trump's election. The specific analysis found that: From June 1 to August 15, there was a lack of clear correlation between the 3-day change in Bitcoin prices and the 3-day change in the chances of Republican candidates winning; Factors affecting Bitcoin prices include macroeconomic factors such as US monetary policy expectations and oversupply, rather than just Trump's election probability; For example, the Saxony government's sell-off and Mt.Gox creditors' supply concerns have all constrained Bitcoin prices. However, FalconX said that as the US election approaches, the election results may become the dominant factor in Bitcoin prices. But so far, election information is not the dominant driver of Bitcoin prices.