🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

Bitcoin night trading may

The market is volatile and chaotic, and the update is simple. Let's talk about the key points directly. After the opening of the U.S. stock market yesterday, the big cake went to 91800. During the period, it gave more than 92800-93800-94500 ranges. The rebound also went as expected. After rebounding to 94500, it was blocked and fell back to 92500. The small rebound failed to stand firm at 93200. Affected by the selling pressure, it broke through 92500 and 92000 to 91000, and then began to move around the range again, and our actual movement was also the same.

From 4 am to 6 pm, it rebounded by nearly 6,000 points, and we left the market in the afternoon and changed hands to get this round of space. Today's indicators have no reference significance. The wildfires in the United States, the severe geopolitical situation, the strong non-agricultural data, and other external factors may lead to another round of Black Friday.

And after several drops, the bottom may be grinding lower and lower. But as the left side and the leader, we never care about these.

At present, the focus of the big cake is 91600-92800
The focus on the upper side is 94500-95200-95800
As usual, the main low-level connection is expected to rebound

The lower side of the second cake focuses on 3150-3180
The upper side focuses on 3250-3330-3380
#btc $ETH

There are eleven days left until President Trump takes office. Unlike last time, he has shown his support for Bitcoin and is committed to including it in the national asset portfolio. Suddenly, the Biden administration announced that it would sell nearly 70,000 Bitcoins that have long been seized and managed by the FBI, stating that this has been authorized by a federal judge since December 30, 2024. This amount of Bitcoin is currently equivalent to 6.5 billion US dollars. This is a ploy to undermine the policies targeting the transition government.
The US government currently holds a total of about 200,000 Bitcoins publicly and is the entity that holds the most Bitcoins in the world. If during these ten days, Biden (who is perhaps the black crow O3ma behind the scenes) can sell off this Bitcoin, the new administration will find it extremely difficult to retain a similar amount in the future.
This is a shock to the global market and has caused all cryptocurrencies to drop sharply for the past three days. This fire sale in the current context only harms the interests of the United States and will indirectly hand over the juicy assets to America's rivals, Russia and China, turning it into a weapon against the United States itself.
No response has yet been seen from President Trump and the new administration regarding this issue. Hopefully, they will take clear action to prevent this madness before it is too late.
Investment advice: those who are into holding can stay calm, there's no need to worry; those who are into short selling should be cautious and should only engage in quick trades.

BITCOIN WILL MELT!!!
Don't get caught in a bull trap!
Loss of last top, and lost previous support.
RSI oversold, and averages pointing down... want more clues?
#btc $BTC

#OnChainLendingSurge I think so
1. Downtrend: Price has decreased, breaking the support level (91,200).
2. RSI: Indicator in the oversold zone (<30), a potential upward correction is possible.
3. MACD: Negative, confirms buyers' weakness.
4. Volume: Decreasing, indicating reduced activity.

Conclusion: Likely continuation of the decline, but a short-term upward correction is possible.$BTC #USJoblessClaimsDrop #btc #EtH

#btc Bitcoin has again entered the discount buying zone, and it has broken on the daily at the level of 102 and descended to retest the buying zone and add positions, while updating the minimum.

Notice that this formation is by no means bearish.

The goal is to attract even more shorts for their subsequent liquidation.

I entered a position from the level of 92 and at 89 added just in case.

Please note that according to the RSI indicator, we are currently in the oversold zone.

Good luck in trading.
For those who are not in position, click on the chart below while there is still an opportunity to buy $BTC

69,000 BTC worth $6.5 billion: Is the U.S. preparing for the largest cryptocurrency sale?

Today, two test micro-transactions were conducted from a verified address of the U.S. government. This may be a clear signal of preparations for a massive liquidation of 69,000 BTC seized in the Silk Road case.

Notably, the event occurred less than two weeks after the arrival of the new administration, which had previously stated its intention to refrain from selling cryptocurrencies. However, such actions suggest that plans may be changing.

If the sale does take place, it will be one of the largest transactions in the crypto market, with potential implications for the price of Bitcoin and the entire industry.

What do you think about this move? How will it affect the crypto market? Share your thoughts in the comments!

#btc #BTC #eth #doge
$BTC
$ETH
$DOGE

#btc
BTC UPDATE

1. Head and Shoulders Pattern:

The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are labeled.

The neckline is shown as a horizontal support level around 91,609.5 USDT.

2. Potential Breakdown:

If the price breaks below the neckline, it could confirm a bearish breakdown.

The target zone after a breakdown aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous demand zones: 81,655.3, 80,397.7, and 77,114.1 USDT.

Strategy Suggestions:

Bearish Scenario:

Short positions could be initiated upon a confirmed break below 91,609.5 targeting 81,655.3 or lower.

Place a stop-loss above the right shoulder (~95,000 USDT) to manage risk.

Bullish Scenario:

If BTC holds above the neckline and shows strength, a reversal could invalidate the pattern. Consider long positions above 95,000 with tight risk management.
$BTC

Short-term trend analysis, not constituting any investment advice

BTC: Last night rebounded from around 92000 to about 94600, after breaking the descending channel at the 1-hour level, it quickly fell again. The 1-hour doji indicates a downward trend, continuing to dip after midnight.
Intraday: Pay attention to the resistance level at 93000. The reason for not recommending a short at 93000 is that last night's rebound broke the descending channel by over 1000 points. If it reaches around 94000 during the day, I will enter a short position with a stop loss at 94700 and a take profit target at around 91000.
Similarly, consider going long around 90533 during the day, with a stop loss at 89800 and a take profit target at around 9300.

ETH: Yesterday mentioned that ETH is weak, which can also be seen from the channel. Last night, ETH broke through the descending channel and is currently at a certain distance from the upper boundary of the channel.
Intraday, choose to enter around 3130, with a stop loss at 3098 and a take profit target at around 3240.

#eth #btc #BTC走势分析

#OnChainLendingSurge

Biden Sells $6.5 Billion in Bitcoin, Leaves Treasury Empty for Trump!

Selling Bitcoin Before Trump Takes the White House: Is Biden Trying to Block Trump’s Plans?

The United States is preparing to liquidate 69,370 BTC worth $6.5 billion, which were seized after the dismantling of the Silk Road network. This decision, which comes just days before Donald Trump’s inauguration as president, raises questions about the motives behind it and its potential impact on the Republican-backed Bitcoin strategy.

Thanks to legal confiscations, governments sometimes hold large amounts of Bitcoin. For example, France used to sell these coins at public auctions, while other countries prefer to hold them for longer periods. Germany, for example, held more than 50,000 BTC for years before selling them at $60,000 per coin.

In the case of the United States, the Department of Justice (DOJ) approved the sale of 69,370 Bitcoin on December 30, 2024. However, on-chain analysis reveals that these coins have not yet been transferred, and are still at the address assigned to them since November 2020.

$BTC
#btc #elaouzi

The market is about to get interesting.
- A very obvious head and shoulders pattern has appeared on the Bitcoin daily chart.
- The news of the approval to sell Silk Road was released at 94k on December 30, suspected manipulation.
- Short-term bottom at 92k.
- Looking for a breakout of the 100k trendline to touch 104k to lure in buyers, then a major crash will begin.
Everyone is currently watching for a direct collapse, 🚘 too heavy, and it has already stabilized around 92 for the past two months.
Optimistic about the future market.

The German DAX30 index closed down 1.95 points, a decrease of 0.01%, at 20314.80 points on January 9 (Thursday);
The UK FTSE 100 index closed up 66.98 points, an increase of 0.81%, at 8318.01 points on January 9 (Thursday);
The French CAC40 index closed up 37.86 points, an increase of 0.51%, at 7490.28 points on January 9 (Thursday);
The European Stoxx 50 index closed up 21.66 points, an increase of 0.43%, at 5018.05 points on January 9 (Thursday);
The Spanish IBEX35 index closed up 99.10 points, an increase of 0.84%, at 11897.20 points on January 9 (Thursday);
The Italian FTSE MIB index closed up 213.26 points, an increase of 0.61%, at 35322.00 points on January 9 (Thursday).
#btc #eth

Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate strongly tonight🔥🔥

At 20:30 tonight (January 10, 2025), the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data will be released. This is an important indicator reflecting the health of the economy and often has an indirect impact on Bitcoin as well as the cryptocurrency market.

How does NFP affect $BTC ?


1. Positive NFP (higher than expected):

• The US economy is stronger, the Fed may keep or raise interest rates to control inflation.

• The USD appreciates, reducing the attractiveness of Bitcoin and risky assets.

👉 Bitcoin is likely to decrease in price as investors switch to safe assets such as USD or bonds.

2. Negative NFP (lower than expected):
• The US economy is weakening, the Fed may cut interest rates or loosen monetary policy.

• The USD is weakening, investors look to Bitcoin as a risk-hedging tool.

👉 Bitcoin is likely to increase in price due to capital flows into digital assets.

Historical data:
• July 2023: Strong NFP → Bitcoin decreases in price due to the increase in USD.

• October 2023: Weak NFP → Bitcoin increases in price due to expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates.

#bitcoin #btc

Bitcoin Update

We are still maintaining the $92,000 area strongly and with determination, and stability above this area is the safety of the market

Stability below $92,000 for Bitcoin takes us below $90,000, and this is the worst-case scenario, as we mentioned earlier

My personal view is that the interaction with liquidity is strong whenever Bitcoin falls, and we hope for a strong rebound from this area in the event of a decline

Interact with our posts so that we can always provide you with updates

#btc

$BTC
Analysis of Big Pie on January 10!

Review of the previous situation:
Big Pie continued to decline yesterday. At 1:00 a.m. last night, the hourly K changed to a short position and inserted to the low point of 91,000 at 4:00 a.m. on November 27. I also said in the live broadcast room last night that this wave of decline is very similar to the wave of decline in November. I expect it to fall to the low point of 90,500 at 4:00 a.m. on December 6. I didn’t receive the 90,500 that I told you to hang up. Don’t worry, there is still a chance to fall to 90,500 tonight.

Judging from the time node, it started to rise in the early morning of January 11. Since the 11th is Saturday, there is a probability that it will be postponed to Monday, November 13. Tonight is an important node in the early morning. I may start to arrange long orders in the square at night. Everyone can pay attention to it.

Now it is mainly US market, with small-scale fluctuations during the day. At night, it is still bearish but not short. The long order at 90500 can still be hung, because the current rebound is not strong enough to open the rising channel. Yesterday, I said that a rebound to 965 would be considered an effective rebound. Today's rebound is effective at 960.
It is best to rebound 2 to 3 points during the day and follow the 5-point needle at night to directly hit Huarong Road, and then the air force will flee and the long army will take over the market.

Small level: support 91800 pressure 96000
Large level: support 91000 pressure 98000

Long and short ratio: 24 hours, long army 48.69% air force 51.31%
Institutional ETF: closed yesterday.

Personal situation:
I have been controlling my hands these days. Now it is in a volumeless rise. I am still bearish until it breaks below 91. I have placed a long order for Bitcoin at 90500 and an order for Ethereum at 3080.

Creation is not easy, please like and follow! 😄 #比特币价格走势分析 #btc

#btc #BinanceAlphaAlert Best chance to buy altcoin and btc
1 After us gov dump the $6 billion $BTC the market show short term selling candel and after the 200h January the market is going to #5trillion marketcap of total cryptocurrency
2 you can buy at low and sell on high #altcoin
this is golden chance

3 be ready to buy low marketcap coin under $1billion like $NOT $SHIB $BTC

$BTC
#btc #eth

Is working now .. down before going to the moon

See this before and after

اكتملت و سوف تصحح آلي آخر سعر كما موضح
قبل صعودها إلي القمر

شهر فبراير شهر خير

خلكم جاهزين
Be ready

🚨 Crisis or opportunity? 🚨

According to Robert Kiyosaki, the stock market crash is not just a disaster, it's a golden opportunity! 💰 With assets like Bitcoin, gold, and real estate at lower prices, we could be facing the best time to position ourselves before a historic collapse. 📉📈

The recent fall of Bitcoin, losing close to 7% due to the volatility of the stock market in the US, is seen by Kiyosaki as a strategic opportunity for long-term investors. Are you ready to take advantage of it? 🧐

Although experts warn about the risks of the correlation between Bitcoin and stocks, they also highlight the potential of crypto sales. 📊 The market does not wait for anyone!

🔥 What do you think? Would you buy in these "sales" or wait for more signals from the market?

---

#btc #bitcoin #criptomoneda #CriptoInversiones #CriptoVolatilidad
$BTC $ETH $XRP

Hello, good evening, friends! Today's financial market is indeed turbulent. Today is the last trading day of the US stock market this week. The market usually fluctuates less on weekends, so today's trading is particularly important. The release of non-agricultural data in the evening triggered a round of decline. Next, I will share some of my analysis and views. If you haven't paid attention yet, please click to follow. Thank you for your support! For $BTC , today's trend is quite interesting, rising for 14 consecutive hours, but unfortunately the non-agricultural data caused the market to fall. Let's first look at the upper pressure levels: 95000, 96000, 97000, 97555, 98200, 99000 and 100,000. The support levels below are 94000, 92800, 91800, 91000 and 90000, which are all smaller support levels. As for $ETH , it unfortunately hit the stop loss last night, which is a bit regrettable. The main pressure in the short term is in the 3350-3380 range, corresponding to Bitcoin's 95555-96300. Ethereum's upper pressure levels are: 3370, 3400, 3435, 3470, 3500, 3550 and 3600. The lower support levels are 3260, 3200, 3150, 3100, 3050 and 3000, which is also an important support level.
For $SOL , you can consider entering the market at the current price.
Tonight's trading ideas are summarized as follows: Continue to stay low and do more. My Bitcoin cost is 93088. I believe that many friends are the same as me or lower. It is recommended to hold it for the time being. It is a pity that Ethereum's stop loss, but if Bitcoin falls below the cost price of 9.3, it is a good opportunity to enter the market. I have entered the market when Ethereum fell to around 3200, and the opportunity around 3100 is relatively rare. The stop loss is set at 3150 or 3100, and the target profit is at least 150 points. The profit-loss ratio is still quite considerable. For SOL, you can pay attention to the opportunities in the 175-180 range.
If you have any questions, please leave a message!

#btc #eth #sol

1.10 Morning Analysis - Short Position 12,000 Big Meat
Watch more, act less! The recent market has been plummeting, falling endlessly. From Tuesday morning's 102,700, it dropped all the way to 91,000, a decline of 10%, causing tens of thousands of people to explode in just a few days. I also tried to rebound twice, but gave up without any decent results. Currently, the short positions at 102,000 and 3,720 are still held.
1. BTC Current price 93,000. After breaking the previous low of 91,500 at 4 a.m., the price recovered. The daily line has three consecutive bearish candles, and the indicators show a clear bearish trend. In the medium-term, there is some buying power accompanying the second test; many people are still bottom-fishing here. There is no obvious structural pattern, and I still maintain the original plan. The target for this major correction is at 85,000. Today is Friday, and there are non-farm payroll data tonight. After these days of adjustment, it is estimated that there will be significant fluctuations tonight, so short orders can be placed above.
Intraday Strategy
Short at 96,000-97,000-98,000 Stop loss 98,500 Take profit 95,000/93,000
Long at 91,500-91,000 Stop loss 90,000 Take profit 94,000/95,000 (valid before 8 p.m.)
2. ETH Current price 3,240. Recently, Ethereum has dropped more than Bitcoin. Although it did not break the previous low last night, do not think it has strengthened; the rebound is still very weak. There are several large bearish candles on the daily line, engulfing the previous consolidation's momentum. Currently, the bears are still dominant. The price has touched the daily EMA channel again, but it lacks significant reference.
Intraday Strategy
Short at 3,390-3,450-3,550 Stop loss 3,580 Take profit 3,300/3,250/3,000
No participation in long positions intraday.
3. Reduce trading frequency and wait for suitable trading opportunities. Live broadcast at 8 p.m., fighting non-farm payrolls together with everyone! #btc #eth

Morning Report: Market Fluctuations, Reducing Leverage, Prioritizing Risk Aversion

1 $BTC continues to fluctuate downwards, rebounding after nearing a drop below $91,000, while ETFs are still flowing out.

2 $ETH exchange rate is down, short-seller whales are closing positions and then going long, market sentiment is noticeably volatile.

3 $SOL follows Bitcoin's fluctuations closely, with greater volatility and higher risk.

4 $BNB has the smallest decline, holders continue to enjoy benefits, but the increase is relatively limited.

5 Trader @0xENAS points out that BTC, ETH, and SOL are retesting the range lows from December 5, with rising market panic.

6 VanEck's head of digital asset research states that Block may be included in the S&P 500, becoming the first publicly traded company to hold Bitcoin.

7 Bloomberg reports that crypto industry executives are actively seeking opportunities to engage with Trump to potentially influence policy direction.

8 USDC Treasury issued an additional 250 million USDC on the Solana chain this morning, injecting new liquidity into the market.

9 Arbitrum developer @OffchainLabs appoints the former head of Nasdaq's digital assets as the head of its venture capital department, Tandem.

10 Sources reveal that the CFTC has issued a subpoena to Coinbase, requesting Polymarket user data.

11 Members from Google and a16z have jointly established the DAO organization Aiccelerate to promote the integration of crypto and AI.

12 The MetisL2 network experienced downtime due to a surge in transaction volume and is restoring the network by upgrading L1DTL memory capacity.

13 Trump launches the first NFT series of digital trading cards based on the Bitcoin Ordinals protocol, attracting market attention.

14 The #aiagent on the Solana chain has been severely impacted, with overall pullbacks exceeding expectations, but $PIPPIN has surged against the trend, performing remarkably.

Recently, the market has continued to fluctuate, and investor sentiment is low. At this time, reducing leverage and staying away from high-risk trading operations is particularly important. On-chain investors with good luck may still be smiling, but overall, the market remains in a deep trap, making patience and strategy especially crucial. #trump #加密市场回调 #btc #eth #solana