Predicted Price Trajectory for $HMSTR
At its launch, $HMSTR will have an initial circulating supply representing 64.38% of the total 100 billion tokens. Key components of the distribution include:
Player Season Rewards: 60% of the initial supply will be distributed to players, promoting engagement within the ecosystem.
Binance Launchpool: 3% of the initial supply will be made available through Binance Launchpool, encouraging early participation and staking.
For the first six months after the launch, no additional tokens will be released into circulation. This restricted release schedule aims to reduce initial selling pressure, as only existing token holders will be able to sell.
Post-Launch Token Release Schedule
From July 25, 2025, the token release schedule will accelerate, with the start of Season 2 player distributions and strategic allocations to partnerships and grants. Although the circulating supply will increase, these allocations are expected to be managed carefully to avoid excessive selling pressure. The team's tokens will not be unlocked until October 2025, and this allocation (0.16% of total supply) is small enough to minimize its impact on the price.
Comparison to Notcoin
A similar project, Notcoin, launched with an initial market cap of $1 billion, dropped briefly to $600 million, and then surged to a $2.69 billion market cap within a month—a nearly 3x increase from its lowest point. Given the similarities between Notcoin and Hamster Kombat, a comparable trajectory could be anticipated for $HMSTR.
Predicted Price Action for $HMSTR
Initial Launch Phase: $HMSTR is expected to launch with a market cap of approximately $1.3 billion. Initial selling pressure may be balanced by strong buying interest from those who missed the initial distribution and are motivated by FOMO (fear of missing out).
Price Dip and Recovery: After launch, $HMSTR could experience a brief dip to a market cap of around $1 billion, mirroring Notcoin’s early performance. However, within about two months, it is predicted to rebound to around $3 billion as more players engage with the Hamster Kombat ecosystem.
Downward Trend and Future Announcements: After reaching its peak, a downward trend is expected until new announcements from the Hamster Kombat roadmap rekindle interest. Key updates and features anticipated in late 2024 and beyond could trigger periodic price rallies.
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