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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
BTC Bull Run Confirmed 🔥💯
$BTC /usdt
Market Structure Overview
Current Price: 106,271.44
24H High: 106,421.03
24H Low: 102,195.70
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
101,658.79
97,185.90
Resistance Levels:
109,588.00
110,604.57
---
Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The chart indicates a strong bullish trend as BTC/USDT is forming higher highs and higher lows. The current price is consolidating below a key resistance level at 109,588.00.
2. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
If BTC is trading above the EMA (e.g., 50 EMA or 200 EMA), this supports bullish momentum.
3. Breakout Zone:
A breakout above 109,588.00 could signal a move toward the next resistance at 110,604.57 and beyond.
If rejected, the price might retrace toward 101,658.79 or lower.
---
Trade Setup Suggestions
Long Position Setup
Entry Point: After confirmation of a breakout above 109,588.00.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 110,604.57
TP2: 112,500.00
TP3: 115,000.00
Stop Loss: Below 106,000.00.
Short Position Setup (if rejected at resistance)
Entry Point: Below 105,000.00 after bearish confirmation.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 101,658.79
TP2: 97,185.90
Stop Loss: Above 107,500.00.
---
Outlook
BTC/USDT is consolidating below resistance. Watch for a breakout above 109,588.00 with increased volume for confirmation. If resistance holds, expect a retracement toward the lower support levels.
#btc #btcnextmove
$BTC /usdt
Market Structure Overview
Current Price: 106,271.44
24H High: 106,421.03
24H Low: 102,195.70
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
101,658.79
97,185.90
Resistance Levels:
109,588.00
110,604.57
---
Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The chart indicates a strong bullish trend as BTC/USDT is forming higher highs and higher lows. The current price is consolidating below a key resistance level at 109,588.00.
2. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
If BTC is trading above the EMA (e.g., 50 EMA or 200 EMA), this supports bullish momentum.
3. Breakout Zone:
A breakout above 109,588.00 could signal a move toward the next resistance at 110,604.57 and beyond.
If rejected, the price might retrace toward 101,658.79 or lower.
---
Trade Setup Suggestions
Long Position Setup
Entry Point: After confirmation of a breakout above 109,588.00.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 110,604.57
TP2: 112,500.00
TP3: 115,000.00
Stop Loss: Below 106,000.00.
Short Position Setup (if rejected at resistance)
Entry Point: Below 105,000.00 after bearish confirmation.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 101,658.79
TP2: 97,185.90
Stop Loss: Above 107,500.00.
---
Outlook
BTC/USDT is consolidating below resistance. Watch for a breakout above 109,588.00 with increased volume for confirmation. If resistance holds, expect a retracement toward the lower support levels.
#btc #btcnextmove
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Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points today, and Bitcoin not only didn’t drop but actually rose. Since last year, Japan has raised rates three times; aside from the first rate hike, which caused the entire stock market to crash, the impacts of the last two increases have been diminishing, causing less panic in the market. Next, we will be looking at the Federal Reserve, which will likely maintain interest rates this month.
【Statement Interpretation: The signal for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan is also hidden in this sentence】According to analysis reports from foreign media, based on the Bank of Japan's policy statement: Japan's real interest rate is expected to remain in a significantly negative range after the policy rate adjustment. This statement further emphasizes that Japan's real interest rate is "at an extremely low level." Perhaps the Bank of Japan is also conveying another message here, which is that they wish to continue pushing for policy normalization.
#btc #ETH
【Statement Interpretation: The signal for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan is also hidden in this sentence】According to analysis reports from foreign media, based on the Bank of Japan's policy statement: Japan's real interest rate is expected to remain in a significantly negative range after the policy rate adjustment. This statement further emphasizes that Japan's real interest rate is "at an extremely low level." Perhaps the Bank of Japan is also conveying another message here, which is that they wish to continue pushing for policy normalization.
#btc #ETH
See original
The US Bitcoin Reserve Act, once implemented
Five Eyes Alliance
G7 (Group of Seven)
G20 (Group of Twenty)
Will follow suit, which means Bitcoin will become a strategic reserve essential for mainstream countries worldwide, marking the dawn of the golden age of cryptocurrency.
Hold on to your chips #btc #bnb #Xrp🔥🔥
Five Eyes Alliance
G7 (Group of Seven)
G20 (Group of Twenty)
Will follow suit, which means Bitcoin will become a strategic reserve essential for mainstream countries worldwide, marking the dawn of the golden age of cryptocurrency.
Hold on to your chips #btc #bnb #Xrp🔥🔥
See original
【2025-1-25 BTC Analysis】
Looking at Bitcoin's recent price movements, it seems that this round of consolidation is coming to an end, and it is looking to restart a new daily uptrend. Currently, it is oscillating back and forth within the range of 108881.8-99251.4. If this round of oscillation does not break below 99251.4, there will not be a deep correction. Of course, if the daily chart can break through 108881.8, it will initiate a new daily level uptrend. Recently, the weekly performance has been weak, but the impact of the U.S. central government transition has led to the restart of this bull market. If it can break through the position of 108881.8, everyone can start positioning for spot trading on the daily chart.
If you want to see more wealth codes, follow me. I share precise points every day to help you lay out your first bucket of gold in the bull market. Even beginners can grasp the wealth codes! #btc #BTC走势分析 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC
Looking at Bitcoin's recent price movements, it seems that this round of consolidation is coming to an end, and it is looking to restart a new daily uptrend. Currently, it is oscillating back and forth within the range of 108881.8-99251.4. If this round of oscillation does not break below 99251.4, there will not be a deep correction. Of course, if the daily chart can break through 108881.8, it will initiate a new daily level uptrend. Recently, the weekly performance has been weak, but the impact of the U.S. central government transition has led to the restart of this bull market. If it can break through the position of 108881.8, everyone can start positioning for spot trading on the daily chart.
If you want to see more wealth codes, follow me. I share precise points every day to help you lay out your first bucket of gold in the bull market. Even beginners can grasp the wealth codes! #btc #BTC走势分析 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC
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There is a lot of positive news being pumped out, my friends, and naturally we are starting to get itchy.
There is a bullish pattern for #btc to around $112,000, but for some reason I feel like we will see a drop to around $88,000 first.
Be careful with your transactions.$BTC
There is a bullish pattern for #btc to around $112,000, but for some reason I feel like we will see a drop to around $88,000 first.
Be careful with your transactions.$BTC
w_EFC_w:
Sorry, I got confused because of the sell signal and the reverse correlation. As far as I understand, this price wants to stay inside my gan fan and when it comes out, it is always because of a news event.
See original
$TRUMP died?
Guys, share who else is holding Trump in their wallet and how much did you buy it for?
Personally, I bought 10 units for $67 and now I'm in a huge loss.
You sit and think whether to sell... or wait for a miracle.
Meanwhile, after the news $TRUMP is not rising, and neither is $BTC !
American President Donald Trump has started signing decrees on cryptocurrencies, which he promised during the election campaign in the USA. A decree to create a working group on alternative monetary resources has already been signed, Reuters reports, and a decree to create a national reserve in cryptocurrency is reported by CoinDesk.
Bitcoin (BTC) unexpectedly dropped in price against the backdrop of the news. In particular, the price of the cryptocurrency at 00:02 Moscow time on January 24 was $102,800, losing more than 1.1% in value over the past 24 hours. Within an hour, the price of Bitcoin lost $1,500, according to data from the Binance cryptocurrency exchange.
#trump #px #btc
Guys, share who else is holding Trump in their wallet and how much did you buy it for?
Personally, I bought 10 units for $67 and now I'm in a huge loss.
You sit and think whether to sell... or wait for a miracle.
Meanwhile, after the news $TRUMP is not rising, and neither is $BTC !
American President Donald Trump has started signing decrees on cryptocurrencies, which he promised during the election campaign in the USA. A decree to create a working group on alternative monetary resources has already been signed, Reuters reports, and a decree to create a national reserve in cryptocurrency is reported by CoinDesk.
Bitcoin (BTC) unexpectedly dropped in price against the backdrop of the news. In particular, the price of the cryptocurrency at 00:02 Moscow time on January 24 was $102,800, losing more than 1.1% in value over the past 24 hours. Within an hour, the price of Bitcoin lost $1,500, according to data from the Binance cryptocurrency exchange.
#trump #px #btc
Gulua2407:
нет дружище полетим вверх сто процентов тебе говорю будет цена выше 100 вот увидишь . !!!
See original
Bitcoin Options with $7.8 Billion Notional Value to Expire at the End of the Month, with the Biggest Pain Point at $98,000
ChainCatcher
According to news
A total of $7.8 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire at 08:00 UTC on January 31, and about 50% of them are put options. The current price of Bitcoin is above the biggest at $98,000, which could push the market price closer to this point before expiration. Deribit data shows that the total notional value of open Bitcoin options is about $28 billion, and the contracts expiring this time account for about 22.6%. Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers said that the SAB 121 policy amendment allowing banks to take custody of Bitcoin could unleash new institutional capital inflows. Additionally, market speculation about Bitcoin’s strategic reserve has increased uncertainty. Currently, the Bitcoin Volatility Index (DVOL) is around 60, which is almost the same level as at the end of the year, but market volatility is still high.
$BTC
#btc #Binance
ChainCatcher
According to news
A total of $7.8 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire at 08:00 UTC on January 31, and about 50% of them are put options. The current price of Bitcoin is above the biggest at $98,000, which could push the market price closer to this point before expiration. Deribit data shows that the total notional value of open Bitcoin options is about $28 billion, and the contracts expiring this time account for about 22.6%. Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers said that the SAB 121 policy amendment allowing banks to take custody of Bitcoin could unleash new institutional capital inflows. Additionally, market speculation about Bitcoin’s strategic reserve has increased uncertainty. Currently, the Bitcoin Volatility Index (DVOL) is around 60, which is almost the same level as at the end of the year, but market volatility is still high.
$BTC
#btc #Binance
Coin Newbie:
meaning market will crash again 😞
See original
Market analysis, does not constitute any investment advice.
This wave of volatile market conditions has probably left many contract traders bewildered.
Now let's discuss the market from yesterday's review to today's intraday trend analysis.
BTC: Yesterday, the market continued to fluctuate at a low level near the daily support level. While I was monitoring the market yesterday, it was quite nerve-wracking, as it kept probing lower without a significant rebound. I also closed my positions after buying the dip and then re-entered. This torturous market is similar to the bottoming out during the Christmas period. All I can say is to manage your stop-losses well and look at the market less. After a stop-loss is triggered, even if it rebounds, just wait for a second probe down. Some wear and tear on positions is unavoidable; adjust your mindset accordingly.
Now, let's talk about today's intraday market. There was a surge during the day with increased volume. Personally, I do not recommend opening short positions at resistance levels (unless it approaches around 110,000 with a small position and a stop-loss of about 1,500 points). On the long side, currently, the 4-hour and daily support levels are around 102,650, and you might consider entering near that level with a stop-loss of 1.5%.
In conclusion, the market over the past month or two has been characterized by upward movements within a volatile range, oscillating up and down. The bull market has not yet arrived, so do not overly adjust your positions. For any dip you buy, set your take-profit in batches. Every upward wave will be accompanied by pullbacks or even deep corrections, so learn to wait patiently.
#BTC走势分析 #btc
This wave of volatile market conditions has probably left many contract traders bewildered.
Now let's discuss the market from yesterday's review to today's intraday trend analysis.
BTC: Yesterday, the market continued to fluctuate at a low level near the daily support level. While I was monitoring the market yesterday, it was quite nerve-wracking, as it kept probing lower without a significant rebound. I also closed my positions after buying the dip and then re-entered. This torturous market is similar to the bottoming out during the Christmas period. All I can say is to manage your stop-losses well and look at the market less. After a stop-loss is triggered, even if it rebounds, just wait for a second probe down. Some wear and tear on positions is unavoidable; adjust your mindset accordingly.
Now, let's talk about today's intraday market. There was a surge during the day with increased volume. Personally, I do not recommend opening short positions at resistance levels (unless it approaches around 110,000 with a small position and a stop-loss of about 1,500 points). On the long side, currently, the 4-hour and daily support levels are around 102,650, and you might consider entering near that level with a stop-loss of 1.5%.
In conclusion, the market over the past month or two has been characterized by upward movements within a volatile range, oscillating up and down. The bull market has not yet arrived, so do not overly adjust your positions. For any dip you buy, set your take-profit in batches. Every upward wave will be accompanied by pullbacks or even deep corrections, so learn to wait patiently.
#BTC走势分析 #btc
See original
Trump signs executive order to create national reserve of BITCOIN and CRYPTOCURRENCIES. #btc
The first step is to create a working group that will advise on digital asset policies, work with Congress on cryptocurrency legislation and create the promised bitcoin reserve.
Donald Trump, President of the United States, fulfilled one of his boldest campaign promises on Thursday (23) by signing an executive order that establishes the first presidential working group dedicated exclusively to cryptocurrencies.
The initiative seeks to transform the country into a global reference in the regulation and adoption of digital assets, strengthening Trump's vision as a “cryptocurrency president”, a title he himself claimed during his election campaign. The advisory board's main mission will be to advise the government on the formulation of public policies related to digital assets, collaborate with Congress to develop specific legislation and coordinate efforts between regulatory agencies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Treasury Department.
In addition, the group will work to implement the creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve, a project that Trump has advocated as a way to position the United States at the forefront of the global cryptocurrency market.
This is the first presidential council focused exclusively on the topic, a drastic change in the government's approach to the sector. Experts point out that the measure could accelerate regulation and attract new investments to the country. (Livecoins).
The first step is to create a working group that will advise on digital asset policies, work with Congress on cryptocurrency legislation and create the promised bitcoin reserve.
Donald Trump, President of the United States, fulfilled one of his boldest campaign promises on Thursday (23) by signing an executive order that establishes the first presidential working group dedicated exclusively to cryptocurrencies.
The initiative seeks to transform the country into a global reference in the regulation and adoption of digital assets, strengthening Trump's vision as a “cryptocurrency president”, a title he himself claimed during his election campaign. The advisory board's main mission will be to advise the government on the formulation of public policies related to digital assets, collaborate with Congress to develop specific legislation and coordinate efforts between regulatory agencies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Treasury Department.
In addition, the group will work to implement the creation of a strategic bitcoin reserve, a project that Trump has advocated as a way to position the United States at the forefront of the global cryptocurrency market.
This is the first presidential council focused exclusively on the topic, a drastic change in the government's approach to the sector. Experts point out that the measure could accelerate regulation and attract new investments to the country. (Livecoins).
POV: You bought 0.99 BTC for $2000 instead of Gold in 2017.
#btc #BTCStateReserves #CryptoSurge2025 #BTC☀️ #crypto
#btc #BTCStateReserves #CryptoSurge2025 #BTC☀️ #crypto
See original
#TrumpCryptoOrder
#BinanceAlphaAlert
#AnimecoinOnBinance
#VeThorOnBinance
#btc 🚨 SAB 121 has been cancelled, opening the door for banks to offer Bitcoin custody services! 🚀
📈 A big step towards the adoption of cryptocurrencies in the traditional financial system.
#BinanceAlphaAlert
#AnimecoinOnBinance
#VeThorOnBinance
#btc 🚨 SAB 121 has been cancelled, opening the door for banks to offer Bitcoin custody services! 🚀
📈 A big step towards the adoption of cryptocurrencies in the traditional financial system.
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Bitcoin operation plan on January 24. Be careful of needles!
Yesterday morning, B City's operation plan on January 23. Needle tonight! The triangle may change at any time at the end! I reminded you to get a needle at night. Last night, affected by the good news, it went up and down. My operation plan for B City on January 22 the day before yesterday. Be careful of the cock crowing in the middle of the night! Needle to tomorrow night! I have reminded you of this risk in advance, and this is also a normal state that we should pay attention to in the future. Be careful of the news of the yen's interest rate hike today. If the interest rate is raised, it will be a big negative for the market.
[Douyin launched the "taxi" service? Insiders: The platform was open to the travel field as early as 2019]
Today, some media reported that Douyin App has recently launched the "taxi" service. The entrance is in the Douyin wallet. Currently, only one travel service provider, Gaode Taxi, has settled in. However, according to the words "More brands are waiting" prompted by the platform, it can be seen that more taxi and travel brands will settle in Douyin "taxi" in the future. Sina Technology has verified this news with the official, but no response has been received as of press time. However, according to people familiar with the matter, Douyin's open platform was opened to the travel sector as early as 2019. In 2022, it was misunderstood as Douyin's taxi-hailing service, but in fact it was no different from the WeChat mini-programs made by travel companies. The change this time is that there is an additional wallet entrance.
#btc #ETH
Yesterday morning, B City's operation plan on January 23. Needle tonight! The triangle may change at any time at the end! I reminded you to get a needle at night. Last night, affected by the good news, it went up and down. My operation plan for B City on January 22 the day before yesterday. Be careful of the cock crowing in the middle of the night! Needle to tomorrow night! I have reminded you of this risk in advance, and this is also a normal state that we should pay attention to in the future. Be careful of the news of the yen's interest rate hike today. If the interest rate is raised, it will be a big negative for the market.
[Douyin launched the "taxi" service? Insiders: The platform was open to the travel field as early as 2019]
Today, some media reported that Douyin App has recently launched the "taxi" service. The entrance is in the Douyin wallet. Currently, only one travel service provider, Gaode Taxi, has settled in. However, according to the words "More brands are waiting" prompted by the platform, it can be seen that more taxi and travel brands will settle in Douyin "taxi" in the future. Sina Technology has verified this news with the official, but no response has been received as of press time. However, according to people familiar with the matter, Douyin's open platform was opened to the travel sector as early as 2019. In 2022, it was misunderstood as Douyin's taxi-hailing service, but in fact it was no different from the WeChat mini-programs made by travel companies. The change this time is that there is an additional wallet entrance.
#btc #ETH
See original
The number of investors who entered the crypto world this week is impressive. They are complaining about losses due to 💩 #TRUMP !
This is more money diluted in the market in projects that will go to zero! They will sell and never return to the market!
INVEST IN BTC! STOP and being a mass maneuver for ambitious politicians
Accumulate BTC Satoshi! #btc #gohon@zi $BTC
This is more money diluted in the market in projects that will go to zero! They will sell and never return to the market!
INVEST IN BTC! STOP and being a mass maneuver for ambitious politicians
Accumulate BTC Satoshi! #btc #gohon@zi $BTC
See original
Bitcoin (BTC) is the first decentralized cryptocurrency created in 2009 by an individual or group of individuals under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on the blockchain technology, providing secure and transparent transactions without intermediaries.
As of January 24, 2025, the price of Bitcoin is $105,453.14, with a trading volume of $95,769,923,706.54 in the last 24 hours.
Recently, President Donald Trump signed an executive order aimed at researching and developing a national digital asset, which led to a decline in the price of Bitcoin.
In addition, Coinbase has introduced a service that allows users to obtain loans against their Bitcoin. Users can borrow up to $100,000 in the stablecoin USD Coin (USDC) without a credit check, using their Bitcoin as collateral.
It is worth noting that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and prices can change rapidly.
It is recommended to closely monitor market conditions and make informed investment decisions.
#btc #TRUMP #usdc $BTC $USDC $TRUMP
As of January 24, 2025, the price of Bitcoin is $105,453.14, with a trading volume of $95,769,923,706.54 in the last 24 hours.
Recently, President Donald Trump signed an executive order aimed at researching and developing a national digital asset, which led to a decline in the price of Bitcoin.
In addition, Coinbase has introduced a service that allows users to obtain loans against their Bitcoin. Users can borrow up to $100,000 in the stablecoin USD Coin (USDC) without a credit check, using their Bitcoin as collateral.
It is worth noting that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and prices can change rapidly.
It is recommended to closely monitor market conditions and make informed investment decisions.
#btc #TRUMP #usdc $BTC $USDC $TRUMP
Guys 2025 is gonna be a huge for crypto holders and this is the best time to invest in crypto
1. TRUMP
2. BTC
3. XRP
4.SOL
5.BNB
#TRUMPTokenWatch #TradingTales #TrumpCryptoSupport #btc #Xrp🔥🔥
1. TRUMP
2. BTC
3. XRP
4.SOL
5.BNB
#TRUMPTokenWatch #TradingTales #TrumpCryptoSupport #btc #Xrp🔥🔥