The Dream of Aquatic Plants Dream Journal

In the past two weeks, aside from basic purchases, Aquatic Plants did not take much action. The short position in Bitcoin hit the stop-loss point, prompting me to reflect on my strategy, which is still too narrow in scope. However, the short position in Ethereum did yield profits, but it can only be considered as a hedge at most. Holding spot positions still occupies the majority, which is also the recommended approach by Aquatic Plants.

Currently, although the market seems to have broken through the downward channel, it still struggles to surpass the previous highs, indicating that the market situation is not yet clear and is still in a consolidation phase. This is the charm of the market — all predictions are probabilities, not absolutes. Overall, I believe that from a long-term perspective, it is not yet the time to be bearish, but one should gradually accumulate at low points rather than buy at high points. This is the most suitable strategy when the market is in the second phase. Until the trend is confirmed to have truly reversed, one should not easily cut losses or give up.

In a book about trend trading, I once read this viewpoint: Predicting price levels often does more harm than good because all horizontal and diagonal lines are artificially drawn, based on historical market conditions, and cannot provide guarantees. Furthermore, these lines may bring fixed biases, reducing investment flexibility. Therefore, it is recommended to use trends as a basis for judgment — decisively cut losses when the trend is wrong; when the trend is right, one should expand profits.

$BTC $ETH #定期投資 #觀點分享 $SOL
#投入的最好時機就是不擇時
#長期目標是看到至少十年