Binance Square
美联储降息
486,398 views
166 Discussing
Hot
Latest
Crypto Meng
--
Bearish
See original
Early Morning! Federal Reserve, Major Announcement! The latest meeting minutes released by the Federal Reserve send a strong signal. The minutes show that Federal Reserve officials decided to slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the coming months due to inflation being higher than expected and the uncertain inflation impact of policies since Trump's administration. They believe that interest rates are close to or at a suitable moment to slow down rate cuts, as cutting rates too quickly may cause inflation pressures to rise again. However, a key figure at the Federal Reserve, Waller, has a different view. On January 8, he stated that inflation will continue to decrease towards the 2% target, and he supports further rate cuts this year. He feels that the foundation of the U.S. economy is quite stable, the job market is good, and tariffs have little impact on inflation and monetary policy. From the meeting minutes, officials feel that interest rates are about to reach a point where they should slow down rate cuts because cutting rates too quickly may cause inflation to rise again. They also mentioned that while inflation may get close to 2%, the process might take longer than previously thought, and deflation might even have stopped. Moreover, many officials believe that the risks of rising inflation have increased, with reasons including recent high inflation data, potential changes in trade immigration policies, geopolitical issues, a loose financial environment, strong household spending, and rising housing prices. Regarding employment, they expect the job market to remain quite stable, but they still need to monitor labor market indicators. Last month, when the Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, there were officials who opposed it, indicating significant internal disagreements on the rate cut issue within the Federal Reserve. In summary, the future policy of the Federal Reserve will still depend on how the data changes, with no fixed timetable. #美联储降息
Early Morning! Federal Reserve, Major Announcement!

The latest meeting minutes released by the Federal Reserve send a strong signal. The minutes show that Federal Reserve officials decided to slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in the coming months due to inflation being higher than expected and the uncertain inflation impact of policies since Trump's administration. They believe that interest rates are close to or at a suitable moment to slow down rate cuts, as cutting rates too quickly may cause inflation pressures to rise again.

However, a key figure at the Federal Reserve, Waller, has a different view. On January 8, he stated that inflation will continue to decrease towards the 2% target, and he supports further rate cuts this year. He feels that the foundation of the U.S. economy is quite stable, the job market is good, and tariffs have little impact on inflation and monetary policy.

From the meeting minutes, officials feel that interest rates are about to reach a point where they should slow down rate cuts because cutting rates too quickly may cause inflation to rise again. They also mentioned that while inflation may get close to 2%, the process might take longer than previously thought, and deflation might even have stopped.

Moreover, many officials believe that the risks of rising inflation have increased, with reasons including recent high inflation data, potential changes in trade immigration policies, geopolitical issues, a loose financial environment, strong household spending, and rising housing prices.

Regarding employment, they expect the job market to remain quite stable, but they still need to monitor labor market indicators. Last month, when the Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, there were officials who opposed it, indicating significant internal disagreements on the rate cut issue within the Federal Reserve.

In summary, the future policy of the Federal Reserve will still depend on how the data changes, with no fixed timetable.

#美联储降息
BiyaPay数字币买美股:
要反弹了啊
See original
Why Did the Market Rise Then Fall This Week? From Trump's Dynamics to Rate Cut Expectations, From the U.S. Plan to Sell BTC to the Upcoming Non-Farm Payroll Data! Recent Hot Topics and Their Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market Analysis.Macroeconomic Interpretation: Many friends may wonder why the market was on an upward trend this Monday, showing signs of breaking new highs, only to plummet from a high of $102,762 on Tuesday, quickly dropping to around $92,500? On December 26, the day after Christmas (Christmas Day in the U.S.), we analyzed the resistance level for BTC near $102,770 and the support level near $92,520 in the research report. This week, the highest and lowest points of the market have all aligned with the predicted resistance and support levels. For specifics, refer to the article from December 26.

Why Did the Market Rise Then Fall This Week? From Trump's Dynamics to Rate Cut Expectations, From the U.S. Plan to Sell BTC to the Upcoming Non-Farm Payroll Data! Recent Hot Topics and Their Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market Analysis.

Macroeconomic Interpretation: Many friends may wonder why the market was on an upward trend this Monday, showing signs of breaking new highs, only to plummet from a high of $102,762 on Tuesday, quickly dropping to around $92,500?
On December 26, the day after Christmas (Christmas Day in the U.S.), we analyzed the resistance level for BTC near $102,770 and the support level near $92,520 in the research report. This week, the highest and lowest points of the market have all aligned with the predicted resistance and support levels. For specifics, refer to the article from December 26.
See original
$BTC BTC plunged straight down, plunging 25% in 7 days, is the bull market still there? Why did the Fed start to cut interest rates next month, and then it started to plummet wildly? What is the essence behind it? Is it an economic crisis caused by the recession? Or is it to buy high-quality assets at the bottom? ETH SOL GFT PEPE WIF OP Where can I buy at the bottom? #美联储降息 #暴跌抄底
$BTC

BTC plunged straight down, plunging 25% in 7 days, is the bull market still there?

Why did the Fed start to cut interest rates next month, and then it started to plummet wildly?

What is the essence behind it?

Is it an economic crisis caused by the recession? Or is it to buy high-quality assets at the bottom?

ETH SOL GFT PEPE WIF OP
Where can I buy at the bottom?

#美联储降息 #暴跌抄底
See original
There is a key sentence in the speech of Fed Powell: interest rate hikes and cuts should be decided based on subsequent changes in economic data. The GDP of the United States in the first quarter was 1.6%, and the GDP in the second quarter was 2.8%. The second quarter data will be revised on Thursday this week, and it is very likely to be revised to more than 3. The employment data is a cycle from March this year to March next year. The revision of 818,000 reductions before Powell's speech is obviously a planned and premeditated attempt to fuel the market's desire to cut interest rates. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits is 170,000, a new low in one or two months. The US economy is not in recession. The July Sam's rule (when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more relative to the lowest point in the previous 12 months, the economy is likely to have entered a recession) ignited recession concerns. According to historical experience, the Sam's rule has been verified in all nine US recessions since 1960. However, Powell's speech expressed his cautious attitude towards the use of the Sam's rule in advance. The proposer of the Sam's rule himself also said that the US economy "has not yet fallen into recession." The Sam's rule may not apply to the current US economy. The above data show that the US economy is developing well and there is no recession. It is impossible to cut interest rates in September. The US dollar index will fall to 95-99 by the end of the year Everyone says that interest rates will be cut, but when responding, we must do the opposite. If the good news is not realized, it will be bad news. #美联储降息 #鲍威尔讲话
There is a key sentence in the speech of Fed Powell: interest rate hikes and cuts should be decided based on subsequent changes in economic data. The GDP of the United States in the first quarter was 1.6%, and the GDP in the second quarter was 2.8%. The second quarter data will be revised on Thursday this week, and it is very likely to be revised to more than 3.

The employment data is a cycle from March this year to March next year. The revision of 818,000 reductions before Powell's speech is obviously a planned and premeditated attempt to fuel the market's desire to cut interest rates. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits is 170,000, a new low in one or two months. The US economy is not in recession. The July Sam's rule (when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more relative to the lowest point in the previous 12 months, the economy is likely to have entered a recession) ignited recession concerns. According to historical experience, the Sam's rule has been verified in all nine US recessions since 1960. However, Powell's speech expressed his cautious attitude towards the use of the Sam's rule in advance. The proposer of the Sam's rule himself also said that the US economy "has not yet fallen into recession." The Sam's rule may not apply to the current US economy.

The above data show that the US economy is developing well and there is no recession. It is impossible to cut interest rates in September.
The US dollar index will fall to 95-99 by the end of the year

Everyone says that interest rates will be cut, but when responding, we must do the opposite. If the good news is not realized, it will be bad news.

#美联储降息 #鲍威尔讲话
See original
Cryptocurrency Evening Summary1. An interesting thing about Trump's election: it is said that Trump loves to eat puppies, which negatively impacts the current election. This has been debunked and greatly undermines his election 2. Russian President #普京 and Indian Prime Minister Modi shared a friendly moment at the BRICS summit Putin: I thought our relationship was so good that you could understand without translation? Modi: Laughing loudly It seems that cooperation among major powers is all based on interests! 3. Oh my, Israel has struck again: an Israeli airstrike hit a residential building in the important hub of Tayouneh in Beirut, near landmarks such as Hosh Beirut and the Beirut Arena

Cryptocurrency Evening Summary

1. An interesting thing about Trump's election: it is said that Trump loves to eat puppies, which negatively impacts the current election. This has been debunked and greatly undermines his election
2. Russian President #普京 and Indian Prime Minister Modi shared a friendly moment at the BRICS summit
Putin: I thought our relationship was so good that you could understand without translation?
Modi: Laughing loudly
It seems that cooperation among major powers is all based on interests!
3. Oh my, Israel has struck again: an Israeli airstrike hit a residential building in the important hub of Tayouneh in Beirut, near landmarks such as Hosh Beirut and the Beirut Arena
--
Bullish
See original
The Shanzhai stock obviously cannot fall any more. Brothers and sisters from all over the world, hold on to the currency in your hands. As long as we don’t ship it ourselves, no one can cut us off! Let these dog dealers see the power of retail investors! Let’s get rich together in September! #sol #美联储降息
The Shanzhai stock obviously cannot fall any more. Brothers and sisters from all over the world, hold on to the currency in your hands. As long as we don’t ship it ourselves, no one can cut us off! Let these dog dealers see the power of retail investors! Let’s get rich together in September! #sol
#美联储降息
See original
As the saying goes, only when the benefits are slowly released can the bull market last for a long time. 100X community news: CME data shows the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in March has dropped to 8% On February 14, according to CME Fed Watch: The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 92%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 8%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged through May is 32.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 62.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.1%. #美联储降息 $BTC
As the saying goes, only when the benefits are slowly released can the bull market last for a long time.

100X community news:
CME data shows the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in March has dropped to 8%

On February 14, according to CME Fed Watch: The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 92%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 8%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged through May is 32.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 62.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.1%.

#美联储降息 $BTC
See original
📈 Financial market is changing: Fed rate cut is imminent, global market volatility intensifies📉 Recent financial market dynamics have attracted widespread attention, especially about the Fed's possible rate cut decision. The market expects that the Fed may take early rate cut measures to appease market sentiment before the FOMC meeting on September 18. Therefore, August may be a volatile month, and investors need to be prepared for various market trends to cope with the last opportunity to enter the market in this cycle! In addition, the plunge in global financial markets and cryptocurrency markets has triggered a variety of speculations: 1. First, some people believe that the conflict between Israel and Hamas, coupled with the assassination of Hamas leaders in Iran, triggered panic selling in financial markets. But some people disagree with this view because conflicts in the Middle East have always had a long history, and this incident is not enough to trigger World War III. 2. Secondly, the unexpected interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan may also be one of the reasons for the market turmoil. Although Japan has long implemented a zero interest rate policy to combat deflation, the Bank of Japan recently decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, which has caused a certain impact on global financial markets. However, there are also views that although this move has a certain impact on the market, it is not enough to trigger a global economic panic or collapse. 3. In addition, given the poor performance of US labor data last Friday, the rise in unemployment is also considered to be one of the factors leading to financial market turmoil. However, mainstream media and large institutions will use this series of events to hype, combined with a sharp correction in the financial market, so that the global financial market is shrouded in panic. This view is verified by the recent performance of the US and Japanese stock markets. Viewpoint: Given the large increase in US stocks in the past one or two years, this round of 10% to 20% correction may be a healthy market adjustment in the long run. At the same time, Bitcoin hit a record high of $74,000 before the fourth halving, and the current correction is just a normal correction phenomenon of the bull market outlook. However, for those investors who have accumulated enough chips, the next time the market explodes, it will be the time to reap the benefits! #美联储降息 #全球市场动态 #加密货币趋势
📈 Financial market is changing: Fed rate cut is imminent, global market volatility intensifies📉

Recent financial market dynamics have attracted widespread attention, especially about the Fed's possible rate cut decision. The market expects that the Fed may take early rate cut measures to appease market sentiment before the FOMC meeting on September 18.

Therefore, August may be a volatile month, and investors need to be prepared for various market trends to cope with the last opportunity to enter the market in this cycle!

In addition, the plunge in global financial markets and cryptocurrency markets has triggered a variety of speculations:

1. First, some people believe that the conflict between Israel and Hamas, coupled with the assassination of Hamas leaders in Iran, triggered panic selling in financial markets. But some people disagree with this view because conflicts in the Middle East have always had a long history, and this incident is not enough to trigger World War III.

2. Secondly, the unexpected interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan may also be one of the reasons for the market turmoil. Although Japan has long implemented a zero interest rate policy to combat deflation, the Bank of Japan recently decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, which has caused a certain impact on global financial markets. However, there are also views that although this move has a certain impact on the market, it is not enough to trigger a global economic panic or collapse.

3. In addition, given the poor performance of US labor data last Friday, the rise in unemployment is also considered to be one of the factors leading to financial market turmoil.

However, mainstream media and large institutions will use this series of events to hype, combined with a sharp correction in the financial market, so that the global financial market is shrouded in panic. This view is verified by the recent performance of the US and Japanese stock markets.

Viewpoint:

Given the large increase in US stocks in the past one or two years, this round of 10% to 20% correction may be a healthy market adjustment in the long run.

At the same time, Bitcoin hit a record high of $74,000 before the fourth halving, and the current correction is just a normal correction phenomenon of the bull market outlook.

However, for those investors who have accumulated enough chips, the next time the market explodes, it will be the time to reap the benefits!

#美联储降息 #全球市场动态 #加密货币趋势
See original
Arthur Hayes: The U.S. Treasury will release a quarterly refinancing announcement next week, which is expected to re-accelerate the crypto bull market On April 26, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes wrote on the X platform: "As expected, tax revenue increased by about $200 billion to the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA). Forget the Fed meeting in May. The refinancing announcement for the second quarter of 2024 will be announced next week. What strategy will Yellen adopt? Here are a few options: 1. Stop issuing Treasury bonds by draining TGA to zero, which will inject $1 trillion of liquidity into the market. 2. Shift more borrowing to short-term Treasury bills, which will withdraw funds from reverse repurchase (RRP), equivalent to injecting $400 billion of liquidity into the market. 3. Combine options 1 and 2, do not issue long-term bonds, only issue short-term Treasury bills, and drain TGA and RRP at the same time, which will inject $1.4 trillion of liquidity into the market. The impact of the Fed is negligible, and Yellen is a powerful character. If any of the above three options occurs, the stock market is expected to rise, and most importantly, the cryptocurrency bull market will re-accelerate." #美联储降息 $BTC
Arthur Hayes: The U.S. Treasury will release a quarterly refinancing announcement next week, which is expected to re-accelerate the crypto bull market

On April 26, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes wrote on the X platform: "As expected, tax revenue increased by about $200 billion to the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA). Forget the Fed meeting in May. The refinancing announcement for the second quarter of 2024 will be announced next week. What strategy will Yellen adopt?
Here are a few options:
1. Stop issuing Treasury bonds by draining TGA to zero, which will inject $1 trillion of liquidity into the market.
2. Shift more borrowing to short-term Treasury bills, which will withdraw funds from reverse repurchase (RRP), equivalent to injecting $400 billion of liquidity into the market.
3. Combine options 1 and 2, do not issue long-term bonds, only issue short-term Treasury bills, and drain TGA and RRP at the same time, which will inject $1.4 trillion of liquidity into the market.
The impact of the Fed is negligible, and Yellen is a powerful character.
If any of the above three options occurs, the stock market is expected to rise, and most importantly, the cryptocurrency bull market will re-accelerate."
#美联储降息 $BTC
See original
Fed Governor Bowman remains cautious about rate cuts and is not convinced by the September rate cutFederal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said on Tuesday she remained cautious about any shift in the Fed's policy as she saw upside risks to inflation and warned that an overreaction to any single data point could jeopardize the progress that has been made. Bowman, speaking in prepared remarks to a gathering of bankers in Alaska, reflected that she remains one of the Fed’s more hawkish policymakers. While she stopped short of saying, as she has before, that she stood ready to raise rates further if necessary, she gave little indication that she was ready to back a rate cut at the Fed’s Sept. 17-18 meeting, which is widely expected.

Fed Governor Bowman remains cautious about rate cuts and is not convinced by the September rate cut

Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said on Tuesday she remained cautious about any shift in the Fed's policy as she saw upside risks to inflation and warned that an overreaction to any single data point could jeopardize the progress that has been made.
Bowman, speaking in prepared remarks to a gathering of bankers in Alaska, reflected that she remains one of the Fed’s more hawkish policymakers.
While she stopped short of saying, as she has before, that she stood ready to raise rates further if necessary, she gave little indication that she was ready to back a rate cut at the Fed’s Sept. 17-18 meeting, which is widely expected.
See original
🕵️‍♂️ The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is imminent: A rate cut in November has become a foregone conclusion, and expectations for a rate cut in December are rising! According to the latest data from CME's 'FedWatch', the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in November is as high as 98.1%, while the likelihood of no rate cut is only 1.9%. It seems almost certain that there will be a rate cut in November. Now let's take a look at December, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 29.5%, while the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is even higher at 69.9%; the probability of no rate cut is only 0.5%, indicating that the possibility of no rate cut is extremely low. Therefore, it can be inferred that the Federal Reserve may implement two rate cuts before the end of the year. 🗣 Conclusion: In summary, the rate cut in November seems to be a foregone conclusion, and the cumulative probability of rate cuts in December also indicates the Federal Reserve's determination to cut rates at least twice before the end of the year. At the same time, adjustments in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy are expected to have a significant impact on global financial markets, including the stock market, bond market, and cryptocurrency market. In this broader context, investors need to closely monitor policy trends to make more informed investment decisions. 💬 What are your views on the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut measures? Will your investment strategy change in response to the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments? #美联储降息 #货币政策 #CME美联储观察 #投资策略
🕵️‍♂️ The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is imminent: A rate cut in November has become a foregone conclusion, and expectations for a rate cut in December are rising!

According to the latest data from CME's 'FedWatch', the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in November is as high as 98.1%, while the likelihood of no rate cut is only 1.9%. It seems almost certain that there will be a rate cut in November.

Now let's take a look at December, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 29.5%, while the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is even higher at 69.9%; the probability of no rate cut is only 0.5%, indicating that the possibility of no rate cut is extremely low. Therefore, it can be inferred that the Federal Reserve may implement two rate cuts before the end of the year.

🗣 Conclusion:

In summary, the rate cut in November seems to be a foregone conclusion, and the cumulative probability of rate cuts in December also indicates the Federal Reserve's determination to cut rates at least twice before the end of the year.

At the same time, adjustments in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy are expected to have a significant impact on global financial markets, including the stock market, bond market, and cryptocurrency market.

In this broader context, investors need to closely monitor policy trends to make more informed investment decisions.

💬 What are your views on the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut measures? Will your investment strategy change in response to the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments?

#美联储降息 #货币政策 #CME美联储观察 #投资策略
--
Bullish
See original
It was mentioned a long time ago that you can intervene in the long orders of the June reversal, but the original expectation was that it would go south first to remove liquidity and then go north, but the outcome was to go north. This pull-up was also ignited by two positive factors. One is the positive CPI data that strengthened the Fed's interest rate cut in September, and the other is the sudden Trump shooting incident, which is also closely related to the US election in November. But no matter what the news is, it is always news, and it will always be in line with the market movement. The improvement of market sentiment has appeased more and more people's hearts, and the market can be effectively and steadily promoted. For the short term, I started with the Heyue order from 55,000 to 57,000. I will consider selling or profiting near the high point of the previous structure (63,800). There must be a point of reaction at this position, because the market sentiment has not reached a very hot point, and no more people are willing to pay the cost to take over the chips realized by the big sellers, so they can only be thrown to lower people to take on the subsequent risks. To put it simply, the first obvious correction of this rally can be roughly around 63,800. Since the market's confidence and enthusiasm have not yet fully recovered, more positive factors need to be implemented to completely inspire the market. From a long-term perspective, it seems that everyone is sure of a rate cut in September and Trump's inauguration in November, but for some big buyers, even if these are potential positive factors, they are ultimately debatable. No one will pay for the risk, and they will have to wait for further positive factors to be implemented before they can make a decision. But no matter what, this potential positive factor cannot be ignored in driving the market to improve. As long as confidence is growing, long-term highs are not a big problem. #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #特朗普遇袭 #美联储降息
It was mentioned a long time ago that you can intervene in the long orders of the June reversal, but the original expectation was that it would go south first to remove liquidity and then go north, but the outcome was to go north.
This pull-up was also ignited by two positive factors. One is the positive CPI data that strengthened the Fed's interest rate cut in September, and the other is the sudden Trump shooting incident, which is also closely related to the US election in November. But no matter what the news is, it is always news, and it will always be in line with the market movement. The improvement of market sentiment has appeased more and more people's hearts, and the market can be effectively and steadily promoted.
For the short term, I started with the Heyue order from 55,000 to 57,000. I will consider selling or profiting near the high point of the previous structure (63,800). There must be a point of reaction at this position, because the market sentiment has not reached a very hot point, and no more people are willing to pay the cost to take over the chips realized by the big sellers, so they can only be thrown to lower people to take on the subsequent risks. To put it simply, the first obvious correction of this rally can be roughly around 63,800. Since the market's confidence and enthusiasm have not yet fully recovered, more positive factors need to be implemented to completely inspire the market.
From a long-term perspective, it seems that everyone is sure of a rate cut in September and Trump's inauguration in November, but for some big buyers, even if these are potential positive factors, they are ultimately debatable. No one will pay for the risk, and they will have to wait for further positive factors to be implemented before they can make a decision. But no matter what, this potential positive factor cannot be ignored in driving the market to improve. As long as confidence is growing, long-term highs are not a big problem. #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #特朗普遇袭 #美联储降息
耐心钓鱼
--
Bullish
In fact, we can try to make a potential reversal of the decline in June. However, we need to wait for the confirmation of the market after the decline caused by the panic in March. If the market recognizes it, the real reversal will come soon. We can pay attention to the potential reversal of the decline in March brought by the potential reversal of the potential reversal in June, so as to continue the general trend of rising since October 23 (70% probability).
In addition, we need to be alert to the fact that the recent news is particularly important and close. The CPI data on Wednesday this week, the Fed's interest rate cut vote in September and the finalization of the US election in November will all have a certain impact on the market. Before that, we should make risk control preparations for psychological expectations in advance, and it is reasonable to reduce short positions.
Regarding the big cake, although the large-scale short-selling force is suppressed, the potential long-selling force can be seen. If the market is a piece of cake now, shorts accounted for 80% and longs accounted for 20% in late June. Now it reflects that shorts account for 60% and longs account for 40%. The weakening of short-selling power is a disguised explanation of the reshuffle of trend traders and contrarian traders, so we tend to believe that the long-short game will have a winner in a short period of time.
Therefore, I am more inclined to move closer to the gradually strengthened bulls, but the real reversal is not yet time, so it is possible to "try" to move north.
From a smaller level, judging from the price trend at the 1-hour level, there are two options, one is oscillation and the other is northward, of which 58000 and 58500 are the verification positions for northward. Go up to 58000 and look at 58500. Only when the entity of 58500 stands firm can the verification of northward be confirmed. Otherwise, there is an 80% probability that 58000 and 55500 will be brushed back and forth at a small level.
#美国6月非农数据高于预期 #美联储何时降息? #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
See original
[Bitcoin is facing a direction decision, whether it can break through 69,000, or whether it will be inserted again, tonight! ★Non-farm night, the data has been released, employment is higher than expected, the unemployment rate is higher than expected, the market predicts an interest rate cut in May-June, waiting for the Fed's speech] In the past two days, in addition to the trend of Bitcoin in the blockchain market spreading throughout the financial world, the trend of gold has also extremely affected people's hearts. After rising for many consecutive days, gold has exceeded US$2,165 per ounce and reached a record high, effectively holding above US$2,000. U.S. stocks hit new highs again, while U.S. bonds continued to soar. The employment and economic situation caused by high interest rates continues to deteriorate, especially the employment situation, and the US unemployment benefit data increased again. At the same time, the trade account data, which is an important economic indicator, also fell short of expectations, and employment and the economy faced a double decline. Moreover, the Fed's attitude is constantly changing, and its attitude towards interest rate cuts is becoming increasingly clear. Although there are still internal differences, there are still concerns among officials about cutting interest rates prematurely. However, Powell's statements in the past few days have clearly shown the overall attitude of the Federal Reserve, once again releasing dovish remarks. Based on concerns about the economy, the first interest rate cut will soon be ushered in. ★Look at the data released tonight U.S. non-farm payroll employment increased by 275,000 in February, compared with an expected increase of 200,000, compared with the previous increase of 353,000. The U.S. unemployment rate was 3.9% in February, compared with the estimate of 3.7% and the previous value of 3.7%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield rose sharply after the release of non-farm payrolls data, and was last at 4.108%. Employment is higher than expected, but not as good as the previous value, and the unemployment rate is higher than expected, which is a mix of good news and bad news. However, the market generally predicts an interest rate cut in May or June, the U.S. dollar index falls, non-U.S. currencies rise, gold continues to rise, and Bitcoin is expected to have a breakthrough. #热门话题 #美联储降息 #非农数据 $BTC #BTC
[Bitcoin is facing a direction decision, whether it can break through 69,000, or whether it will be inserted again, tonight! ★Non-farm night, the data has been released, employment is higher than expected, the unemployment rate is higher than expected, the market predicts an interest rate cut in May-June, waiting for the Fed's speech]

In the past two days, in addition to the trend of Bitcoin in the blockchain market spreading throughout the financial world, the trend of gold has also extremely affected people's hearts. After rising for many consecutive days, gold has exceeded US$2,165 per ounce and reached a record high, effectively holding above US$2,000.

U.S. stocks hit new highs again, while U.S. bonds continued to soar. The employment and economic situation caused by high interest rates continues to deteriorate, especially the employment situation, and the US unemployment benefit data increased again. At the same time, the trade account data, which is an important economic indicator, also fell short of expectations, and employment and the economy faced a double decline.

Moreover, the Fed's attitude is constantly changing, and its attitude towards interest rate cuts is becoming increasingly clear. Although there are still internal differences, there are still concerns among officials about cutting interest rates prematurely. However, Powell's statements in the past few days have clearly shown the overall attitude of the Federal Reserve, once again releasing dovish remarks. Based on concerns about the economy, the first interest rate cut will soon be ushered in.

★Look at the data released tonight

U.S. non-farm payroll employment increased by 275,000 in February, compared with an expected increase of 200,000, compared with the previous increase of 353,000.

The U.S. unemployment rate was 3.9% in February, compared with the estimate of 3.7% and the previous value of 3.7%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield rose sharply after the release of non-farm payrolls data, and was last at 4.108%.

Employment is higher than expected, but not as good as the previous value, and the unemployment rate is higher than expected, which is a mix of good news and bad news. However, the market generally predicts an interest rate cut in May or June, the U.S. dollar index falls, non-U.S. currencies rise, gold continues to rise, and Bitcoin is expected to have a breakthrough.

#热门话题 #美联储降息 #非农数据 $BTC #BTC
See original
#美联储降息 can wait and observe. Cryptocurrency concept stocks have slightly declined.
#美联储降息 can wait and observe. Cryptocurrency concept stocks have slightly declined.
See original
🏛️ In Line with Expectations: The Federal Reserve Confirms a 25 Basis Points Rate Cut in November, and Another 67 Basis Points Expected Next Year!   According to the latest news, the Federal Reserve announced on November 7 local time that it would lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%-4.75%. This is the second rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, in line with market expectations.   The decision to cut rates was unanimously passed, with the wording of the policy statement remaining largely unchanged, continuing to emphasize close monitoring of the risks to the dual objectives. However, the phrase "more confident that inflation is sustainably moving toward the target" was removed, and there was no explicit signal regarding future rate cuts, nor any comments on the outcome of the U.S. elections.   Following the announcement of this rate cut, the U.S. interest rate futures market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, and possibly by an additional 67 basis points in 2025.   Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at a press conference that inflation expectations remain stable and that the policy stance will gradually shift toward a neutral position over time. Additionally, as rate cuts approach a neutral interest rate, the Federal Reserve may consider adjusting the pace of rate cuts.   Powell also emphasized that decisions will continue to be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis and that they are prepared to adjust the pace of rate changes and target assessments accordingly.   In summary, the Federal Reserve's assessment of inflation and employment risks shows a balanced stance, which may indicate an increase in uncertainty regarding future economic prospects. This also reflects the Federal Reserve's cautious attitude and its intention to flexibly adjust policies based on actual conditions to achieve inflation and employment goals. 🗣 Views: The Federal Reserve's rate cuts typically lower the financing costs in capital markets, encourage corporate investment, and promote economic growth. At the same time, rate cuts may lead to a depreciation of the dollar, prompting capital to shift to high-yield markets, positively impacting capital inflows to emerging markets and global liquidity. However, the sustainability and extent of rate cuts remain uncertain, leading to divergences in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future policies, which may trigger market volatility. Therefore, while investors look forward to returns, they should remain vigilant about market fluctuations, manage risks effectively, and allocate assets wisely. 💬 Are the Federal Reserve's consecutive rate cuts really beneficial for the investment market? What are your views on the current market environment and future investment opportunities? #美联储降息 #市场影响 #投资策略
🏛️ In Line with Expectations: The Federal Reserve Confirms a 25 Basis Points Rate Cut in November, and Another 67 Basis Points Expected Next Year!
 
According to the latest news, the Federal Reserve announced on November 7 local time that it would lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%-4.75%. This is the second rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, in line with market expectations.
 
The decision to cut rates was unanimously passed, with the wording of the policy statement remaining largely unchanged, continuing to emphasize close monitoring of the risks to the dual objectives. However, the phrase "more confident that inflation is sustainably moving toward the target" was removed, and there was no explicit signal regarding future rate cuts, nor any comments on the outcome of the U.S. elections.
 
Following the announcement of this rate cut, the U.S. interest rate futures market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, and possibly by an additional 67 basis points in 2025.
 
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at a press conference that inflation expectations remain stable and that the policy stance will gradually shift toward a neutral position over time. Additionally, as rate cuts approach a neutral interest rate, the Federal Reserve may consider adjusting the pace of rate cuts.
 
Powell also emphasized that decisions will continue to be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis and that they are prepared to adjust the pace of rate changes and target assessments accordingly.
 
In summary, the Federal Reserve's assessment of inflation and employment risks shows a balanced stance, which may indicate an increase in uncertainty regarding future economic prospects. This also reflects the Federal Reserve's cautious attitude and its intention to flexibly adjust policies based on actual conditions to achieve inflation and employment goals.

🗣 Views:

The Federal Reserve's rate cuts typically lower the financing costs in capital markets, encourage corporate investment, and promote economic growth. At the same time, rate cuts may lead to a depreciation of the dollar, prompting capital to shift to high-yield markets, positively impacting capital inflows to emerging markets and global liquidity.

However, the sustainability and extent of rate cuts remain uncertain, leading to divergences in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future policies, which may trigger market volatility. Therefore, while investors look forward to returns, they should remain vigilant about market fluctuations, manage risks effectively, and allocate assets wisely.

💬 Are the Federal Reserve's consecutive rate cuts really beneficial for the investment market? What are your views on the current market environment and future investment opportunities?

#美联储降息 #市场影响 #投资策略
See original
Two interest rate decisions to watch in the next 12 hours: ◓ The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision between 1-2 AM Beijing time on the 19th ◓ The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision between 12-1 PM Beijing time on the 19th #美联储降息 ,#日本央行降息
Two interest rate decisions to watch in the next 12 hours:

◓ The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision between 1-2 AM Beijing time on the 19th

◓ The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision between 12-1 PM Beijing time on the 19th

#美联储降息 #日本央行降息
See original
December 18th Cryptocurrency Market Important News Overview: 1. #BTC☀ Continues to Break New Highs: Bitcoin has risen for three consecutive days, reaching a peak of $108,353, very close to the $110,000 mark. Bitcoin is leading the market, while altcoins are performing weakly. Ethereum has dropped to around $3,870, Dogecoin has fallen to $3.88, and XRP has corrected to $2.56. However, HSk remains strong, reaching a new high of $2.2. 2. Bloomberg Analysts Predict: A wave of cryptocurrency ETFs is expected to be launched next year, with XRP and SOL likely following LTC and HBAR ETFs, becoming #重点关注 objects. 3. #MicroStrategy Market Cap Surge: If Bitcoin rises to $138,000, MicroStrategy's market cap will surpass that of Starbucks and Nike. MicroStrategy currently holds 439,000 Bitcoins, making it the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin. 4. #BVNK Completes Financing: Stablecoin infrastructure platform BVNK successfully completed a $50 million Series B financing round, led by Haun Ventures. 5. #美联储降息 High Probability: The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is as high as 95.4%.
December 18th Cryptocurrency Market Important News Overview:

1. #BTC☀ Continues to Break New Highs: Bitcoin has risen for three consecutive days, reaching a peak of $108,353, very close to the $110,000 mark. Bitcoin is leading the market, while altcoins are performing weakly. Ethereum has dropped to around $3,870, Dogecoin has fallen to $3.88, and XRP has corrected to $2.56. However, HSk remains strong, reaching a new high of $2.2.

2. Bloomberg Analysts Predict: A wave of cryptocurrency ETFs is expected to be launched next year, with XRP and SOL likely following LTC and HBAR ETFs, becoming #重点关注 objects.

3. #MicroStrategy Market Cap Surge: If Bitcoin rises to $138,000, MicroStrategy's market cap will surpass that of Starbucks and Nike. MicroStrategy currently holds 439,000 Bitcoins, making it the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.

4. #BVNK Completes Financing: Stablecoin infrastructure platform BVNK successfully completed a $50 million Series B financing round, led by Haun Ventures.

5. #美联储降息 High Probability: The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is as high as 95.4%.
See original
#合约挑战 5000u to 50000u The third day ended, and the current account has 6308.59u. I was first taught a lesson by $ETH in the past two days, and then I got some back on various copycats! I have posted all the order-making processes on the square to tell everyone, if you can't keep up, think about why! To be honest, this weekend's market is really boring, everyone should take a rest and have some fun, and if there is a chance, I will give you some benefits! #美联储降息
#合约挑战 5000u to 50000u The third day ended, and the current account has 6308.59u.

I was first taught a lesson by $ETH in the past two days, and then I got some back on various copycats! I have posted all the order-making processes on the square to tell everyone, if you can't keep up, think about why!

To be honest, this weekend's market is really boring, everyone should take a rest and have some fun, and if there is a chance, I will give you some benefits!

#美联储降息
See original
Bitcoin faces a critical week: Is its market share about to peak and a prelude to the altcoin season?In the next two to three weeks, the Bitcoin market is about to usher in a decisive moment, which is not only related to the subsequent development trend of Bitcoin, but also may trigger the prelude of the altcoin season. At this critical moment, we must go beyond short-term fluctuations and gain insight into the deep pulse of the market. Bitcoin weekly trend: The next two to three weeks will be crucial for the Bitcoin market. If Bitcoin can break through and stabilize above the 200-day moving average near $6,3000 in two to three weeks, we may usher in a crazy bull market. If not, the market may continue to fluctuate or experience a short-term correction.

Bitcoin faces a critical week: Is its market share about to peak and a prelude to the altcoin season?

In the next two to three weeks, the Bitcoin market is about to usher in a decisive moment, which is not only related to the subsequent development trend of Bitcoin, but also may trigger the prelude of the altcoin season. At this critical moment, we must go beyond short-term fluctuations and gain insight into the deep pulse of the market.
Bitcoin weekly trend:
The next two to three weeks will be crucial for the Bitcoin market. If Bitcoin can break through and stabilize above the 200-day moving average near $6,3000 in two to three weeks, we may usher in a crazy bull market. If not, the market may continue to fluctuate or experience a short-term correction.
See original
Has the BTC market correction officially ended? Five hot events worth watching this week revealed!This week, the Bitcoin market will usher in five key events, each of which may have a profound impact on the direction of the cryptocurrency. First of all, Bitcoin has achieved an increase of more than 26% since the current low of 49,000. It is currently above the bull market support line and the 200-day moving average, so the next trend is also worthy of our attention. First, we need to focus on the performance of Bitcoin's monthly line. Although the monthly line is currently in a negative state, if the closing price in August can break through the $65,000 mark, it will mark the monthly line turning from negative to positive, highlighting the strong momentum of the market. Even if it fails to close positive, considering that there is not much time left in this month, the possibility of falling below the previous low of $49,000 is quite low. Therefore, the general analysis still tends to believe that Bitcoin remains on the upward track of the bull market.

Has the BTC market correction officially ended? Five hot events worth watching this week revealed!

This week, the Bitcoin market will usher in five key events, each of which may have a profound impact on the direction of the cryptocurrency.
First of all, Bitcoin has achieved an increase of more than 26% since the current low of 49,000. It is currently above the bull market support line and the 200-day moving average, so the next trend is also worthy of our attention.
First, we need to focus on the performance of Bitcoin's monthly line. Although the monthly line is currently in a negative state, if the closing price in August can break through the $65,000 mark, it will mark the monthly line turning from negative to positive, highlighting the strong momentum of the market. Even if it fails to close positive, considering that there is not much time left in this month, the possibility of falling below the previous low of $49,000 is quite low. Therefore, the general analysis still tends to believe that Bitcoin remains on the upward track of the bull market.
Explore the latest crypto news
⚡️ Be a part of the latests discussions in crypto
💬 Interact with your favorite creators
👍 Enjoy content that interests you
Email / Phone number