美国PCE数据将公布
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美联储最青睐的核心PCE通胀指标预计于7月26日20:30（东八区时间）公布6月数据，市场关注其将如何影响美联储降息路径？
註：核心PCE物价指数是指除去能源和食品等波动性较大的物价因素后的PCE物价指数。它更能反映通货膨胀的基本趋势，Fed通过核心PCE物价指数来判断物价是否稳定，以便决定是否需要调整利率来控制通货膨胀。
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$BTC If 61000-60500 is the support point of your BTC, then we will break it all for you!!
$1000SATS How stupid and bad are those who say it will fall below 0.0001 now? ? They must be people who have no positions or are losing money!!
At present, those who can say that it will fall below 0.0001 in the entire market are talking nonsense!
Although it is only a 30% price reduction! But the current position and time are as large as the 50% price reduction I said at 0.00033 to 0.00015. There is a fundamental difference between the 50% price reduction I said and the 30% price reduction others say now!! Timing...
There is no effective support at 0.00015, so 0.00012, no matter how extreme it is, wants to take a 1/3 position of profit on this SATS! Only at this position can we effectively see whether it will continue to fall below 0.0001 or consolidate and fluctuate!!
BTC/copycats: Last Friday I said to wait three days before watching! Don’t rush into the consolidation market! You will cry if you are tempted to buy more! ! For this kind of market on Saturday and Sunday, besides paying attention to me! How many people can accurately tell the precise trend script of this kind of decline and rebound?
$1000SATS Okay, it’s at the bottom again! Your entry opportunity is here again, will you enter or not? ? What’s this drop? ? What’s the panic? Was it accurate to call you to sell half of your position at 0.000214 yesterday?
This drop of the big cake is not a drop. The first indicator of 58,000 has not been reached, so don’t panic! There are all opportunities to make money in the future, don’t be afraid! Pay attention to the value coins we are optimistic about. It’s not so easy to return to 0 after entering the big stage. What do you think? ?
Which projects are you most concerned about at present?
Let’s see which one is hot. Focus on analysis.
#MegadropLista #美国PCE数据将公布 #MicroStrategy增持BTC #内容挖矿 #BTC走势分析 $PEPE$WIF has not reached the point yet.
$1000SATS How stupid and bad are those who say it will fall below 0.0001 now? ? They must be people who have no positions or are losing money!!
At present, those who can say that it will fall below 0.0001 in the entire market are talking nonsense!
Although it is only a 30% price reduction! But the current position and time are as large as the 50% price reduction I said at 0.00033 to 0.00015. There is a fundamental difference between the 50% price reduction I said and the 30% price reduction others say now!! Timing...
There is no effective support at 0.00015, so 0.00012, no matter how extreme it is, wants to take a 1/3 position of profit on this SATS! Only at this position can we effectively see whether it will continue to fall below 0.0001 or consolidate and fluctuate!!
BTC/copycats: Last Friday I said to wait three days before watching! Don’t rush into the consolidation market! You will cry if you are tempted to buy more! ! For this kind of market on Saturday and Sunday, besides paying attention to me! How many people can accurately tell the precise trend script of this kind of decline and rebound?
$1000SATS Okay, it’s at the bottom again! Your entry opportunity is here again, will you enter or not? ? What’s this drop? ? What’s the panic? Was it accurate to call you to sell half of your position at 0.000214 yesterday?
This drop of the big cake is not a drop. The first indicator of 58,000 has not been reached, so don’t panic! There are all opportunities to make money in the future, don’t be afraid! Pay attention to the value coins we are optimistic about. It’s not so easy to return to 0 after entering the big stage. What do you think? ?
Which projects are you most concerned about at present?
Let’s see which one is hot. Focus on analysis.
#MegadropLista #美国PCE数据将公布 #MicroStrategy增持BTC #内容挖矿 #BTC走势分析 $PEPE$WIF has not reached the point yet.
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For a newbie who has just entered the cryptocurrency circle, is it possible to earn 2 million with 150,000?
I made 12 million in the last bull market.
Let me tell you about my experience of making my first pot of gold in the cryptocurrency world.
Male, born in 1995, graduated from university in 2018, went to work in Shenzhen, and entered the cryptocurrency circle in early 2020.
I currently own a house in Shenzhen, but no car or luxury consumption, and most of my assets are in the exchange.
I used to work in e-commerce in Shenzhen, with a monthly income of 20,000 to 30,000 yuan and a monthly expenditure of more than 10,000 yuan. I could save 10,000 to 20,000 yuan every month. Like many other people who had moved to Shenzhen at that time, I also wanted to buy a house in Shenzhen.
However, with this income level, it is hard to say when you can save for a down payment. There is a bottleneck in your income from work, and it is difficult to increase your salary.
Let me tell you about my experience of making my first pot of gold in the cryptocurrency world.
Male, born in 1995, graduated from university in 2018, went to work in Shenzhen, and entered the cryptocurrency circle in early 2020.
I currently own a house in Shenzhen, but no car or luxury consumption, and most of my assets are in the exchange.
I used to work in e-commerce in Shenzhen, with a monthly income of 20,000 to 30,000 yuan and a monthly expenditure of more than 10,000 yuan. I could save 10,000 to 20,000 yuan every month. Like many other people who had moved to Shenzhen at that time, I also wanted to buy a house in Shenzhen.
However, with this income level, it is hard to say when you can save for a down payment. There is a bottleneck in your income from work, and it is difficult to increase your salary.
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Financial hot spots worth paying attention to on June 25
On June 25, the US dollar index was 105.388, down 0.09%; the US 10-year Treasury yield was 4.2360%, down 0.02%. The US market seems to have walked out of the panic of European debt and began to wait for this week's PCE data. According to Bloomberg, the early legislative elections held by French President Emmanuel Macron mean a major shift in France's economic policy. Investors are worried that any winner may cause the French government deficit to swell. They are currently demanding the risk premium of French bonds to reach the highest level since 2012, worried that France's sovereign credit will be in trouble.
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#美国PCE数据将公布
The core PCE growth rate has been around 2.8% over the past few months, showing stability in core inflation. The decline in the total PCE index indicates that overall inflation has slowed down, but it is still above the historical average.
Policy impact:
The Federal Reserve will consider this data when formulating policy. Despite the moderation in inflation, if inflation continues to be above target, the Federal Reserve may continue to raise interest rates or take other measures to control inflation.
The broad impact of these data and trends on the economy includes changes in consumer spending, adjustments in investment decisions, and reactions in financial markets.
The core PCE growth rate has been around 2.8% over the past few months, showing stability in core inflation. The decline in the total PCE index indicates that overall inflation has slowed down, but it is still above the historical average.
Policy impact:
The Federal Reserve will consider this data when formulating policy. Despite the moderation in inflation, if inflation continues to be above target, the Federal Reserve may continue to raise interest rates or take other measures to control inflation.
The broad impact of these data and trends on the economy includes changes in consumer spending, adjustments in investment decisions, and reactions in financial markets.
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Triple Risk Day is Coming
There are important macro events and data today, including the just-concluded US presidential election debate, US PCE data tonight, and one piece of information that traders must know, so please see the end of the article.
Biden and Trump had their first debate this morning. The market generally believed that it was a disaster for Biden, who was incoherent from time to time, while Trump seemed more powerful. So after the first round of debates, the market bet on the probability of Trump's victory soared, which shows the importance of debates. The US dollar then gave up some of its gains this morning. The market is a little worried that Trump will win, but this is a story for later. I will pay close attention to this event in the internal community.
Biden and Trump had their first debate this morning. The market generally believed that it was a disaster for Biden, who was incoherent from time to time, while Trump seemed more powerful. So after the first round of debates, the market bet on the probability of Trump's victory soared, which shows the importance of debates. The US dollar then gave up some of its gains this morning. The market is a little worried that Trump will win, but this is a story for later. I will pay close attention to this event in the internal community.
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Observe these few days, the daily life of Web3 leeks is full of enthusiasm😀
Observe these few days, the daily life of Web3 leeks is full of enthusiasm😀
9:00, Cursing Hong Kong’s web3 policy
10:00, scolding Layerzero, Zksync
11:00, Curse Okex
12:00, Curse Binance
13:00, lunch and rest
14:00, watch Trump's video and like it
15:00, check the App currency price and curse
16:00, read the article about ETH ETF and like it
17:00, BlackRock and Grayscale increase their BTC holdings, which makes me excited and give a thumbs up
18:00, clear out the remaining goods at the vegetable market.
19:00, cooking and eating, watching X while eating
20:00, scolding VCs and KOLs, while making phone calls to raise money for next month’s mortgage
21:00, cursing Mentougou, soon the news came back that the loan failed, and he started cursing.
9:00, Cursing Hong Kong’s web3 policy
10:00, scolding Layerzero, Zksync
11:00, Curse Okex
12:00, Curse Binance
13:00, lunch and rest
14:00, watch Trump's video and like it
15:00, check the App currency price and curse
16:00, read the article about ETH ETF and like it
17:00, BlackRock and Grayscale increase their BTC holdings, which makes me excited and give a thumbs up
18:00, clear out the remaining goods at the vegetable market.
19:00, cooking and eating, watching X while eating
20:00, scolding VCs and KOLs, while making phone calls to raise money for next month’s mortgage
21:00, cursing Mentougou, soon the news came back that the loan failed, and he started cursing.
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In addition to plunder and slavery, there are three very simple business models in this world.
In addition to plunder and slavery, there are three very simple business models in this world.
1⃣, called information gap
There are many businesses that actually make money from information asymmetry, such as knowledge payment, which is a typical way of selling information asymmetry (Luo Pang is one of them). There is a piece of knowledge or skill that I know but you don’t, so you pay me.
The first money Frank made in college was by teaching people how to make free Internet calls. His family was very poor, and he began to study how to make money during college. At first, he wanted to make free calls, so he studied various ways to make free Internet calls. Later, he shared them online, so some friends sent him private messages to ask for advice. He discovered a business opportunity, teaching others how to make free Internet calls, which is a very direct information gap;
1⃣, called information gap
There are many businesses that actually make money from information asymmetry, such as knowledge payment, which is a typical way of selling information asymmetry (Luo Pang is one of them). There is a piece of knowledge or skill that I know but you don’t, so you pay me.
The first money Frank made in college was by teaching people how to make free Internet calls. His family was very poor, and he began to study how to make money during college. At first, he wanted to make free calls, so he studied various ways to make free Internet calls. Later, he shared them online, so some friends sent him private messages to ask for advice. He discovered a business opportunity, teaching others how to make free Internet calls, which is a very direct information gap;
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One year of holding crypto assets #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国PCE数据将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #MegadropLista #CryptoTradingGuide $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
$ETH
$BNB
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WikiLeaks founder Assange reaches plea deal with US
Julian Assange, founder of the whistleblower website WikiLeaks, has been released from a London prison where he had been held for five years and left the UK after reaching a plea agreement with US federal prosecutors for violating US espionage laws. The agreement also allows him to return to his native Australia.
AFP quoted Assange's wife Stella as saying in a post on social media platform X on Tuesday (June 25): "Julian is free!!!!" After confirming that Assange had left Belmarsh Prison, a maximum-security prison in southeast London, she wrote in the post: "Words cannot express our great gratitude to everyone around the world who supports the release of Assange."
AFP quoted Assange's wife Stella as saying in a post on social media platform X on Tuesday (June 25): "Julian is free!!!!" After confirming that Assange had left Belmarsh Prison, a maximum-security prison in southeast London, she wrote in the post: "Words cannot express our great gratitude to everyone around the world who supports the release of Assange."
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Are there any high points for altcoins?
When is the high point for altcoins?
How should we operate to escape the peak at the highest point? Let’s take a look:
1. The relationship between “altcoin high point” and “Bitcoin high point”
(1) Altcoins do not necessarily reach their highest prices when Bitcoin reaches its high point:
The historical highs of many altcoins were in May 2021, not Bitcoin’s historical high point (November 2021). This means that hyped hot tracks, such as UNI and DOGE, may have reached their highs in early market fluctuations.
(2) The high points of Bitcoin and altcoins are out of sync:
When Bitcoin reached its peak in November, many altcoins had already fallen back. For example, UNI’s highest price in May was $45, and then rebounded to $30 in August, while UNI only reached $28 when Bitcoin reached its high point in November.
2. Operational strategies and suggestions
(1) Avoid expecting altcoins to hit new highs:
Don’t expect altcoins to hit new highs before Bitcoin reaches its peak, especially in hot sectors that have already experienced a hype.
(2) Don’t be obsessed with the high price of altcoins:
If you fail to sell at the high point, the chance of escaping the top again will not be very good, and there will usually be at least a 20% retracement. Unwinding or making a small loss may already be a good result.
(3) Stop profit in time and avoid long-term holding of altcoins:
Long-term holding of altcoins is extremely risky because most altcoins may eventually return to zero, with a loss of more than 90%.
(4) It is difficult for hot sectors to return to highs after another hype:
After the hype, the rebound of hot sectors is usually weak and it is difficult to reach the previous high again.
(5) Pay attention to opportunities in potential sectors and new coins:
Long-term depressed sectors and emerging currencies may still have a crazy opportunity.
3. Summary
(1) The price high of most altcoins was in May 2021, not the November high of Bitcoin.
(2) When altcoins and Bitcoin reach highs at the same time, it may be because the sector has been undervalued before.
(3) In terms of operation, we should avoid unrealistic fantasies and stop profits in time to reduce losses and risks.
#美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易
#比特币大会
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？
#山寨季何时到来？
#美国PCE数据将公布
When is the high point for altcoins?
How should we operate to escape the peak at the highest point? Let’s take a look:
1. The relationship between “altcoin high point” and “Bitcoin high point”
(1) Altcoins do not necessarily reach their highest prices when Bitcoin reaches its high point:
The historical highs of many altcoins were in May 2021, not Bitcoin’s historical high point (November 2021). This means that hyped hot tracks, such as UNI and DOGE, may have reached their highs in early market fluctuations.
(2) The high points of Bitcoin and altcoins are out of sync:
When Bitcoin reached its peak in November, many altcoins had already fallen back. For example, UNI’s highest price in May was $45, and then rebounded to $30 in August, while UNI only reached $28 when Bitcoin reached its high point in November.
2. Operational strategies and suggestions
(1) Avoid expecting altcoins to hit new highs:
Don’t expect altcoins to hit new highs before Bitcoin reaches its peak, especially in hot sectors that have already experienced a hype.
(2) Don’t be obsessed with the high price of altcoins:
If you fail to sell at the high point, the chance of escaping the top again will not be very good, and there will usually be at least a 20% retracement. Unwinding or making a small loss may already be a good result.
(3) Stop profit in time and avoid long-term holding of altcoins:
Long-term holding of altcoins is extremely risky because most altcoins may eventually return to zero, with a loss of more than 90%.
(4) It is difficult for hot sectors to return to highs after another hype:
After the hype, the rebound of hot sectors is usually weak and it is difficult to reach the previous high again.
(5) Pay attention to opportunities in potential sectors and new coins:
Long-term depressed sectors and emerging currencies may still have a crazy opportunity.
3. Summary
(1) The price high of most altcoins was in May 2021, not the November high of Bitcoin.
(2) When altcoins and Bitcoin reach highs at the same time, it may be because the sector has been undervalued before.
(3) In terms of operation, we should avoid unrealistic fantasies and stop profits in time to reduce losses and risks.
#美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易
#比特币大会
#美国大选如何影响加密产业？
#山寨季何时到来？
#美国PCE数据将公布
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6#美国PCE数据将公布 $BTC
Leo乘风
Jun 24, 2024
Bearish
CryptoQuant posted on social media X (formerly known as Twitter) last Friday (21st) that Bitcoin fell below the critical support level of $65,800, which means that the price may drop by 8% to 12%#美国PCE数据将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #MegadropLista #CryptoTradingGuide #币安HODLer空投 $BTC
$BNB
$BNB
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Web3 practitioners should learn some behavioral economics, which will be of great help#Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国PCE数据将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #MegadropLista #CryptoTradingGuide $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
$ETH
$BNB
Leo乘风
May 7, 2024
Munger’s contributions
I personally feel that Munger's contribution is very great, especially regarding the weaknesses of human nature, and it has a very good reference value for investors.
1 Incentive
Super switch, the role of motivation cannot be overemphasized. As long as you can use motivation, don't use anything else. (Franklin: Use interests rather than reason)
2 love
People long to love and be loved, so love is more important than facts. Then they will turn a blind eye to the shortcomings of the one they love, listen to their will, and prefer what they love. Even distorting the facts.
3hate
Hate and love are mirror images. Because of hate, people ignore the merits of the hater, and even everything related to it, and do not hesitate to distort the facts.
4 Hate uncertainty
People don't want to get stuck in a state of doubt and uncertainty and always want to make decisions immediately. This is caused by evolution. And it is related to confusion and pressure. The greater the pressure and confusion, the more people want to get rid of doubts as quickly as possible.
5 Consistency
People hate inconsistency and always want to be consistent, which makes habits crucial. They are a quick way to achieve consistency in life. Good habits make people get twice the result with half the effort, while bad habits make people get twice the result with half the effort.
6Curiosity
Human curiosity is the strongest in nature. But on the other hand, curiosity kills the cat.
7 fair
Everyone desires fairness (there is a specific explanation of this psychology in "The Heart of Justice")
8jealousy
This is one of the oldest switches and definitely comes from evolution. Jealousy between brothers and sisters or even between gods and strangers. Buffett said: “It’s not greed that moves the world, it’s envy.”
9Return a favor and a tooth for a tooth.
10 Simple Association Even if two things are superficially connected, people will have an association with people's judgments, which will also have an impact on people's judgments.#AI板块强势进击 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ #灰度GBTC资金流出趋势结束了吗？ #5月市场关键事件 $BTC $ETH $BNB
1 Incentive
Super switch, the role of motivation cannot be overemphasized. As long as you can use motivation, don't use anything else. (Franklin: Use interests rather than reason)
2 love
People long to love and be loved, so love is more important than facts. Then they will turn a blind eye to the shortcomings of the one they love, listen to their will, and prefer what they love. Even distorting the facts.
3hate
Hate and love are mirror images. Because of hate, people ignore the merits of the hater, and even everything related to it, and do not hesitate to distort the facts.
4 Hate uncertainty
People don't want to get stuck in a state of doubt and uncertainty and always want to make decisions immediately. This is caused by evolution. And it is related to confusion and pressure. The greater the pressure and confusion, the more people want to get rid of doubts as quickly as possible.
5 Consistency
People hate inconsistency and always want to be consistent, which makes habits crucial. They are a quick way to achieve consistency in life. Good habits make people get twice the result with half the effort, while bad habits make people get twice the result with half the effort.
6Curiosity
Human curiosity is the strongest in nature. But on the other hand, curiosity kills the cat.
7 fair
Everyone desires fairness (there is a specific explanation of this psychology in "The Heart of Justice")
8jealousy
This is one of the oldest switches and definitely comes from evolution. Jealousy between brothers and sisters or even between gods and strangers. Buffett said: “It’s not greed that moves the world, it’s envy.”
9Return a favor and a tooth for a tooth.
10 Simple Association Even if two things are superficially connected, people will have an association with people's judgments, which will also have an impact on people's judgments.#AI板块强势进击 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ #灰度GBTC资金流出趋势结束了吗？ #5月市场关键事件 $BTC $ETH $BNB
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