There are important macro events and data today, including the just-concluded US presidential election debate, US PCE data tonight, and one piece of information that traders must know, so please see the end of the article.
Biden and Trump had their first debate this morning. The market generally believed that it was a disaster for Biden, who was incoherent from time to time, while Trump seemed more powerful. So after the first round of debates, the market bet on the probability of Trump's victory soared, which shows the importance of debates. The US dollar then gave up some of its gains this morning. The market is a little worried that Trump will win, but this is a story for later. I will pay close attention to this event in the internal community.

What do the recent CPI data mean for the Federal Reserve? At the end, I have prepared three benefits for you. In fact, the biggest benefit is the article itself.
The market is waiting for the US May PCE inflation this week, and hopes that US inflation will slow down. Now that several countries have released CPI, I think the Fed will also pay attention to these data, even if they are not from the United States.

Last night Canadian CPI came in higher than expected which is particularly dangerous as the Bank of Canada cut rates just a few weeks ago which was a disaster for them. Remember the ECB cut rates a few weeks ago while raising inflation expectations which sent mixed signals to the market. This morning Australian CPI also came in higher than expected pushing the AUD higher as the market thinks the RBA may even raise rates.

Big market! US stocks fell sharply last night, and cryptocurrencies fell sharply this morning. Let's break down the whole story.

The trigger for the sell-off was some company earnings reports. First, Tesla was the easiest to understand. This company always talks a lot but doesn't do well, so it's not surprising that the earnings report was below expectations, and the stock price naturally fell sharply. But what really drove the sell-off was Google. Although Google's earnings report was okay, the problem was the old saying, "buy the rumor, sell the fact." Stocks like Google have been strong all year, and investors think this is a good opportunity, so why not take some profits? Last night, there was another thing that scared investors. Former Federal Reserve Governor Dudley and Goldman Sachs both said that interest rates needed to be cut in July, and the market was scared because of this. What happened? Is the economy so bad? Is it going to slow down faster? So they also took the opportunity to flee the stock market. Blackstone Group also had bad news. Its real estate investment trust cut its dividend, which made people feel that the economy was getting worse at an accelerated rate. Of course, there was also the closing of the yen carry trade we talked about yesterday. All of the above things add up to a sell-off across the board in the U.S. stock market. Technology giants have been hit hard, growth stocks have been hit hard, and small-cap stocks have also fallen. The VIX index has jumped to more than 18. I think there is still room for growth. 18 means that the implied volatility of the S&P 500 is only about 1% within a day. The Nasdaq may still have room for a correction in the next few months, so I will continue to pay attention.

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