#今日市场观点 Under the current economic pressure
Why doesn't China give money directly like the United States?
Differences in consumption habits: Americans spend, Chinese save
First, you can imagine, if you suddenly received a sum of money, how would you use it?
In the United States, most people will spend it immediately, for shopping, entertainment or paying bills. This is exactly what the US government wants to see, because this way it can stimulate economic growth. But in China, many people will choose to save the money or use it to repay debts, rather than spending it immediately. This is because Chinese people have stronger savings habits and are more worried about future uncertainties, such as medical and education expenses.
China is also "flooding", but where is the money going? Why doesn't it flow to the people?
1. Funds flow to enterprises and infrastructure first
The Chinese government's idea is to prioritize economic growth by increasing investment, especially in large infrastructure projects.
2. Priority is given to corporate loans, rather than direct money distribution
"Flooding" is more carried out through credit expansion, that is, providing low-interest loans to enterprises to promote economic activities.
Some of the money first flowed into the hands of enterprises, especially those large companies and state-owned enterprises.
3. Debt problem: A large amount of funds are used to repay debts
The "flooding" funds are actually used to repay past debts, especially in local governments and the real estate industry.
4. Rising asset prices, not consumer prices
More funds have entered the real estate, stock market and other investment products, rather than the market for daily consumer goods.
Real estate developers get loans, which drives up housing prices. If ordinary people buy houses, they will feel the price increase, but they do not directly benefit from these funds. On the contrary, ordinary people feel more pressure from rising asset prices, rather than an increase in cash on hand.
So when the United States issues money on a large scale, it is the time for Bitcoin to rise, because investors' consumption power has become stronger and they are worried about the depreciation of the US dollar.
For investors, understanding these economic logics can help us better predict the trend of the Bitcoin market
#杰克逊霍尔年会 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #经济危机 #比特币