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Mar 14, 2024
Bearish
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The pie has broken through a new all-time high, and the growth rate has slowed down. Will there be a major correction this weekend? Some analysts are beginning to sing empty words, which is a good sign. Rise in disagreement and end in agreement. This rule is so accurate. I hope that more people will bet on it, and I hope that the pie will continue to make corrections to vent pressure and realize slow growth. On the weekend, once the market pulls back, based on the four-hour Bollinger Band, you can buy low and sell out-of-the-money call options for hedging. The pie is the anchor of price and the rise and fall indicator of the currency circle. It is impossible to rise forever without looking back. Looking forward to a normal adjustment this week. $BTC #热门话题 #对冲交易
The pie has broken through a new all-time high, and the growth rate has slowed down. Will there be a major correction this weekend?

Some analysts are beginning to sing empty words, which is a good sign.

Rise in disagreement and end in agreement. This rule is so accurate.

I hope that more people will bet on it, and I hope that the pie will continue to make corrections to vent pressure and realize slow growth.

On the weekend, once the market pulls back, based on the four-hour Bollinger Band, you can buy low and sell out-of-the-money call options for hedging.

The pie is the anchor of price and the rise and fall indicator of the currency circle. It is impossible to rise forever without looking back.

Looking forward to a normal adjustment this week. $BTC #热门话题 #对冲交易
Mar 14, 2024
Bullish
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The recent gains in the defi track are gratifying and can be used for hedging and arbitrage Cake is a coin that everyone is familiar with. It was one of the DeFi winners in the last bull market. There have been new adjustments to the economic model recently, and the trend has been good recently. Hedging method, buy cake spot and save on the chain for current savings, storage website pancakeswap. Short the cake contract and earn funding fees. A rough calculation shows that the risk-free annualized return is 30+%, which is a very high-quality arbitrage object. Cake is also a golden shovel, and can also mine and mine new coins. Adding these benefits, the annualized income is 40+ which is very stable. In the bull market, many currencies have begun to generate arbitrage opportunities. Let's make a steady profit together. Do you also know which coins are suitable for hedging and arbitrage? Please leave a message for discussion. Join Binghuo Island and make money steadily every day. $CAKE $BNB #热门话题 #对冲交易
The recent gains in the defi track are gratifying and can be used for hedging and arbitrage

Cake is a coin that everyone is familiar with. It was one of the DeFi winners in the last bull market.

There have been new adjustments to the economic model recently, and the trend has been good recently.

Hedging method, buy cake spot and save on the chain for current savings, storage website pancakeswap.

Short the cake contract and earn funding fees.

A rough calculation shows that the risk-free annualized return is 30+%, which is a very high-quality arbitrage object.

Cake is also a golden shovel, and can also mine and mine new coins. Adding these benefits, the annualized income is 40+ which is very stable.

In the bull market, many currencies have begun to generate arbitrage opportunities. Let's make a steady profit together.

Do you also know which coins are suitable for hedging and arbitrage? Please leave a message for discussion.

Join Binghuo Island and make money steadily every day.
$CAKE $BNB #热门话题 #对冲交易
Apr 25, 2024
Bullish
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Brothers, have you seen Renzo's concubine decouple? Ena's future has been previewed As long as it is possible to decouple, it will definitely decouple. The decoupled price flash crashed by more than 50%. This is devastating. No market can withstand such a large instantaneous drop. Cherish the bull market. $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
Brothers, have you seen Renzo's concubine decouple? Ena's future has been previewed

As long as it is possible to decouple, it will definitely decouple.

The decoupled price flash crashed by more than 50%.

This is devastating.

No market can withstand such a large instantaneous drop.

Cherish the bull market. $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
Mar 16, 2024
Bearish
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The market correction has hit the middle Bollinger Track, which is relatively mild. In the next step, if it continues to break the middle rail, you can try to buy low near the lower rail and use options to hedge. The multi-singers are shouting for 100,000 yuan, but now there is no hope. However, the possibility of another bullish trend of 70,000+ is still high. The downward correction and the mid-track takeover are signs of little selling pressure. Strategy for next week. Make the pie big and short the top 20 public chain coins by market value for hedging. The position is 2 to 1. When hedging short-money options, the position is also 2:1. How do I exchange positions for my aunt and my brother who had previously hedged the second-tier currency? It's very simple, close some long and short positions at the same time. Just use the unlocked margin to continue opening new hedging positions. If you have opened a big pie hedging position before, you can pocket the appropriate profits. Wait for the signal that the decline has completed, and then buy low again to build a position. When trading in the currency circle, hedging is king. Don’t worry about one-sided gambling. As the pie rises and falls, continue to look for arbitrage opportunities. Every surge and crash is an opportunity to get rich. #热门话题 #对冲交易 $BTC $ETH
The market correction has hit the middle Bollinger Track, which is relatively mild.

In the next step, if it continues to break the middle rail, you can try to buy low near the lower rail and use options to hedge.

The multi-singers are shouting for 100,000 yuan, but now there is no hope.

However, the possibility of another bullish trend of 70,000+ is still high.

The downward correction and the mid-track takeover are signs of little selling pressure.

Strategy for next week.

Make the pie big and short the top 20 public chain coins by market value for hedging.

The position is 2 to 1.

When hedging short-money options, the position is also 2:1.

How do I exchange positions for my aunt and my brother who had previously hedged the second-tier currency? It's very simple, close some long and short positions at the same time.

Just use the unlocked margin to continue opening new hedging positions.

If you have opened a big pie hedging position before, you can pocket the appropriate profits.

Wait for the signal that the decline has completed, and then buy low again to build a position.

When trading in the currency circle, hedging is king. Don’t worry about one-sided gambling.

As the pie rises and falls, continue to look for arbitrage opportunities. Every surge and crash is an opportunity to get rich. #热门话题 #对冲交易 $BTC $ETH
May 4, 2024
Bullish
See original
If the middle track cannot be effectively broken tonight, the pie will wilt again next week Come on! Haha The downward trend of the pie is hard to stop, and the expectation of a rate cut is hard to contain. The whole of May is still expected to fall, and it can only break through the end of the year after it is sorted out. Auntie has always been my greater hope, but Hong Kong ETFs have indeed dampened enthusiasm. The next step is to rely on the hype of ETFs in the United States. From a strategic point of view, the covered call strategy of spot + selling call options is the most suitable for the current market situation. Increase returns and reduce spot costs. The specific strategy and skills depend on personal risk preferences, welcome to discuss. $BTC $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
If the middle track cannot be effectively broken tonight, the pie will wilt again next week

Come on! Haha

The downward trend of the pie is hard to stop, and the expectation of a rate cut is hard to contain.

The whole of May is still expected to fall, and it can only break through the end of the year after it is sorted out.

Auntie has always been my greater hope, but Hong Kong ETFs have indeed dampened enthusiasm.

The next step is to rely on the hype of ETFs in the United States.

From a strategic point of view, the covered call strategy of spot + selling call options is the most suitable for the current market situation. Increase returns and reduce spot costs.

The specific strategy and skills depend on personal risk preferences, welcome to discuss. $BTC $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
Apr 27, 2024
See original
Hong Kong crypto ETFs have started pre-subscription since April 25 Is the market sluggish in the past few days because of it? I can't believe it. Moreover, the potential selling pressure is really great. The fund supports physical subscription, and it is not ruled out that whales will cash out through crypto ETFs. The 30th is the day for retail trading, so let's wait and see. I hope these big investors will not be so inhumane and smash it right away. Hehe. $BTC $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
Hong Kong crypto ETFs have started pre-subscription since April 25

Is the market sluggish in the past few days because of it? I can't believe it.

Moreover, the potential selling pressure is really great. The fund supports physical subscription, and it is not ruled out that whales will cash out through crypto ETFs.

The 30th is the day for retail trading, so let's wait and see.

I hope these big investors will not be so inhumane and smash it right away. Hehe. $BTC $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
Jun 23, 2024
See original
[6.23 hedging strategy sharing, Bitcoin HV and IV both fell, market opinions diverged] There is a saying that Bitcoin rises in divergence and plummets in consensus. However, the current Bitcoin divergence is very large and has been sideways for a long time. Where will the market go in the future? People who follow the Buddhist philosophy will say that they come from where they came and go where they are going. I will not fool you. There is a 90% probability that there will be a correction, a plummeting correction. The analysis logic is: First, the US stock market has peaked, and a type of technology stocks such as Nvidia have grouped together to increase their market value, which is very similar to Tesla in 2021. Profits cannot last long, and prosperity will inevitably decline. Second, Bitcoin is seriously Americanized, the number of Bitcoins on exchanges has decreased, and ETFs have increased their holdings. The logic of Bitcoin is no longer the logic of the currency circle, but the logic of the US stock market. Third, the volatility signal. The historical volatility is lower, the implied volatility is lower, and the hope of bottoming out and rebounding is not great, because the price of Bitcoin is already at a historical high. It is also in line with experience to fall and pull back before setting a new high. I hope my guess is wrong, and Bitcoin will continue to rise to 10K. The purpose of analyzing risks is to prevent risks and avoid losses. It is recommended to adopt a conservative strategy when market opinions diverge. First, stop increasing spot holdings, and open medium- and long-term delivery contracts at the same time to partially hedge spot exposure. Second, you can sell some medium- and long-term out-of-the-money covered options, use the premium to reduce the cost of holding positions and increase the return on holding positions. Third, you can use a small amount of funds to do some forward bullish spread strategies, so that you can get some of the returns in case of a surge and will not miss out. In addition, Bitcoin's bearishness does not affect my bullishness. The logic is still the logic of US stocks. When Tesla fell, Nvidia took over. If Bitcoin pulls back, the Ethereum Fund will take over. Even once the Ethereum ETF is listed, we must be prepared for Bitcoin's plunge. The routine of capital swapping, one pool pouring into another pool, although the trick is old, it works well. In terms of Pairs trade, long Yitai and short ens, all island friends have made good profits, right? Just continue to hold positions, ens will continue to go down. Welcome to join the Binghuo Island community to communicate. #冰火岛 #对冲交易 $ETH $BTC $ENS
[6.23 hedging strategy sharing, Bitcoin HV and IV both fell, market opinions diverged]

There is a saying that Bitcoin rises in divergence and plummets in consensus. However, the current Bitcoin divergence is very large and has been sideways for a long time. Where will the market go in the future?

People who follow the Buddhist philosophy will say that they come from where they came and go where they are going. I will not fool you. There is a 90% probability that there will be a correction, a plummeting correction.

The analysis logic is: First, the US stock market has peaked, and a type of technology stocks such as Nvidia have grouped together to increase their market value, which is very similar to Tesla in 2021. Profits cannot last long, and prosperity will inevitably decline.

Second, Bitcoin is seriously Americanized, the number of Bitcoins on exchanges has decreased, and ETFs have increased their holdings. The logic of Bitcoin is no longer the logic of the currency circle, but the logic of the US stock market.

Third, the volatility signal. The historical volatility is lower, the implied volatility is lower, and the hope of bottoming out and rebounding is not great, because the price of Bitcoin is already at a historical high. It is also in line with experience to fall and pull back before setting a new high.

I hope my guess is wrong, and Bitcoin will continue to rise to 10K. The purpose of analyzing risks is to prevent risks and avoid losses.

It is recommended to adopt a conservative strategy when market opinions diverge.

First, stop increasing spot holdings, and open medium- and long-term delivery contracts at the same time to partially hedge spot exposure.

Second, you can sell some medium- and long-term out-of-the-money covered options, use the premium to reduce the cost of holding positions and increase the return on holding positions.

Third, you can use a small amount of funds to do some forward bullish spread strategies, so that you can get some of the returns in case of a surge and will not miss out.

In addition, Bitcoin's bearishness does not affect my bullishness. The logic is still the logic of US stocks. When Tesla fell, Nvidia took over.

If Bitcoin pulls back, the Ethereum Fund will take over. Even once the Ethereum ETF is listed, we must be prepared for Bitcoin's plunge.

The routine of capital swapping, one pool pouring into another pool, although the trick is old, it works well.

In terms of Pairs trade, long Yitai and short ens, all island friends have made good profits, right? Just continue to hold positions, ens will continue to go down.

Welcome to join the Binghuo Island community to communicate.
#冰火岛 #对冲交易 $ETH $BTC $ENS
Jun 6, 2024
See original
Thank you for recharging your faith again. Ethereum holders are quite anxious recently. When will it be listed? I have been waiting for so long that my hair has turned gray. Haha $ETH It will soon soar to the sky! To chase the rise with options, you can consider the bull spread and ratio spread strategies. #冰火岛 #对冲交易
Thank you for recharging your faith again.

Ethereum holders are quite anxious recently.

When will it be listed? I have been waiting for so long that my hair has turned gray. Haha $ETH

It will soon soar to the sky!

To chase the rise with options, you can consider the bull spread and ratio spread strategies.

#冰火岛 #对冲交易
Jun 5, 2024
VanEck Predicts Ethereum to Reach $22,000 by 2030
According to CoinDesk, global investment company VanEck predicts that Ethereum's native token Ether will reach $22,000 in 2030, which will be a significant jump from the current level of about $3,850. VanEck's prediction is based on Ethereum's disruptive capabilities and the interpretation of on-chain data. VanEck wrote that Ethereum is disrupting industries such as finance, banking, payments, marketing, advertising, social, games, infrastructure and artificial intelligence. The prediction is also based on the expectation that the Ethereum ETF will be approved and the company's interpretation of on-chain data. VanEck wrote that the disruptive force that drives Ethereum to $22,000 is based on Ethereum's technology, which can provide lower costs, increased efficiency and greater transparency. VanEck also pointed out that free cash flow generated by income from holding Ethereum is expected to reach $66 billion in 2030, which will also drive Ethereum's valuation to the expected target. Ethereum has risen more than 63% so far this year.
May 16, 2024
Bullish
See original
Bitcoin surges, beware of weekend pullbacks, selling options requires re-examining the biggest pain point next week This week, the biggest pain point of Bitcoin options is 62,500, and the biggest pain point next week is 63,000. The current price is 66,000. Can the positive CPI data support it until Friday afternoon? Keep a reserved attitude. At present, it is recommended to sell calls from 70,000 to 72,000 next week on highs, and use spot for delta neutral hedging. The overall US economic situation and US stock situation are not very conducive to Bitcoin's upward breakthrough. Therefore, the logic of continuing to maintain sideways consolidation has not changed. Wait until the exact interest rate cut news is released, and then look at the breakthrough of the new high. At the same time, the cottage did not follow Bitcoin's strong rise, and the weak state is obvious. You can also sell calls above the Bollinger upper rail and wait for the landing news of the aunt ETF. There will be news of ETF approval on the 23rd and 24th of this week, and it is a market consensus that it is highly likely to fail. Beware of the dealer taking the opportunity to speculate on the decline on the same day. Halfway through May, the time value of the sideways market is very attractive, but the risk of a surge is also very high. Be cautious when selling options, do not sell naked, and be sure to hedge. I wish you all enjoy the benefits of the bull market, avoid the risks of the bull market, and make money steadily. $BTC $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
Bitcoin surges, beware of weekend pullbacks, selling options requires re-examining the biggest pain point next week

This week, the biggest pain point of Bitcoin options is 62,500, and the biggest pain point next week is 63,000. The current price is 66,000. Can the positive CPI data support it until Friday afternoon? Keep a reserved attitude.

At present, it is recommended to sell calls from 70,000 to 72,000 next week on highs, and use spot for delta neutral hedging.

The overall US economic situation and US stock situation are not very conducive to Bitcoin's upward breakthrough. Therefore, the logic of continuing to maintain sideways consolidation has not changed.

Wait until the exact interest rate cut news is released, and then look at the breakthrough of the new high.

At the same time, the cottage did not follow Bitcoin's strong rise, and the weak state is obvious. You can also sell calls above the Bollinger upper rail and wait for the landing news of the aunt ETF.

There will be news of ETF approval on the 23rd and 24th of this week, and it is a market consensus that it is highly likely to fail. Beware of the dealer taking the opportunity to speculate on the decline on the same day.

Halfway through May, the time value of the sideways market is very attractive, but the risk of a surge is also very high. Be cautious when selling options, do not sell naked, and be sure to hedge.

I wish you all enjoy the benefits of the bull market, avoid the risks of the bull market, and make money steadily. $BTC $ETH #对冲交易 #冰火岛
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