**Major News and Trend Analysis in the Crypto Space** [📢]
1. **BTC/ETH Market Dynamics**
- **BTC** is currently priced at $94,212 (-1.75%), with short-term resistance at $95K and support at $93K; if it breaks below, it may drop to $89K. Institutional funds continue to flow in, with BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF seeing nearly $1 billion in net inflow in a single day, and the options market is betting on a breakthrough at $100K.
- **ETH** is consolidating at $1,819, with support at $1,800 and resistance at $1,850. The expansion of Layer2 ecosystems and Vitalik's five-year plan may boost long-term value.
2. **Market Sentiment Indicators**
- The Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision (May 8) may trigger volatility, and traders need to be wary of macroeconomic policy risks.
- The U.S. House of Representatives may announce the cryptocurrency regulatory draft today, with the stablecoin bill likely becoming the focal point.
**Contract Trading Suggestions** [⚡️]
- **BTC**: A short position can be considered if it rebounds to around $95K, with a stop loss at $95.5K; if it stabilizes after falling to $93K, a light long position can be taken, targeting $97K.
- **ETH**: If it breaks below $1,800, a short position can be initiated, targeting $1,745; if it breaks above $1,850, a long position can be pursued, aiming for $1,880.
- **Strategy Logic**: The technical indicators show a MACD death cross and a neutral to weak RSI, indicating significant short-term adjustment pressure, but institutional fund inflows support a bullish outlook in the medium term.
**Risk Warning**: Pay attention to tonight's fluctuations in U.S. soybean futures and their impact on fund diversion; leverage positions must strictly adhere to stop losses.
#加密交易 #BTC #ETH #合约策略 (Data source: Farside Investors, TradingView, Glassnode)