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Caro_13
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$BTC
今天市场行情稍微迎来了一丝回暖,告别了持续不断的下跌趋势,尽管涨幅对比之前的下跌显得有点缓慢,但这缓慢的回升也让大家看到了希望
寒冬过后总会迎来暖春,市场也在涨跌交替中遵循着自身规律。大家不要被短期的波动所左右,在这缓慢的回升过程中,大家也要有耐心,等待市场反弹即可。
#圣诞行情预测
#比特币市场波动观察
#市场调整後的机会?
#美联储放鹰
#加密市场反弹
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$ETH Ethereum Price Predictions for 2025** Analysts are divided on ETH’s 2025 price trajectory: - **Bullish Case ($6,700–$15,385):** - **DeepSeek AI** predicts ETH could reach **$13,800–$15,385** if dominance rises to **18–20%** in a $10T crypto market . - **Forbes** cites experts forecasting **$6,563–$15,000**, driven by institutional adoption and ETF inflows . - **Bearish Case ($4,000–$5,000):** - **Standard Chartered** revised its 2025 target from **$10,000 to $4,000**, citing **fee diversion to Layer 2s** (e.g., Base, Arbitrum) reducing ETH’s economic activity . - **FXStreet** notes ETH struggling below **$2,000**, with resistance at **$2,200** needed for a bullish reversal .
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#MarketRebound Trade War De-escalation Hopes Boost Markets** - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signaled that the U.S.-China trade war is "unsustainable" and expects a near-term de-escalation, sparking a rally in equities . - Stocks tied to China, such as the **iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI)**, surged ~3% on the news . - Analysts suggest that reduced trade uncertainty could stabilize markets, though prolonged negotiations remain a risk . . Strong Earnings Season Provides Support** - **82 S&P 500 companies** have reported Q1 earnings, with **73% beating expectations** . - **3M (+8.1%)** and **Equifax (+14%)** led gains, while defense stocks like **Nort
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#USChinaTensions Escalating Trade War and Tariffs** The U.S.-China trade conflict has intensified in 2025, with both nations imposing punitive tariffs: - **U.S. tariffs on China** have surged to **up to 245%** on some goods, including a **20% tariff targeting fentanyl-related imports** and **Section 301 tariffs ranging from 7.5% to 100%** . - **China’s retaliatory tariffs** now stand at **125%** on U.S. goods, alongside restrictions on rare earth mineral exports critical for U.S. defense and tech industries . - The **WTO warns** that this tit-for-tat escalation could **reduce bilateral trade by 80%**, with broader global GDP losses of up to **7%** . **Economic Impact**: - China’s Q1 2025 GDP grew **5.4%** (above forecasts), but analysts predict a sharp slowdown due to tariffs, with 2025 growth forecasts slashed to **3.4–4.5%** (from 5.0%) . - U.S. firms and consumers are also feeling the strain, with **50% of Americans** believing tariffs will harm the U.S. economy, including **75% of Democrats** .
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$BTC Market Context** - **Crypto Market Cap**: Rose **2.03%** to **$2.88 trillion**, with spot volume up **5.18%** . - **Altcoins**: Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) saw modest gains, while tokens like **$LOOM** (+153%) and **$TAO** (+9.09%) outperformed . - **NFTs and DeFi**: NFT trading volume spiked **15%**, and DeFi TVL grew **0.3%** . **Risks and Volatility** - Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic shifts. Trump's trade tariffs previously triggered an **8.5% drop** in BTC, highlighting its volatility . - The **Fear & Greed Index** improved to 39 (from lower levels), but market uncertainty persists .
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#BTCRebound Price Recovery and Key Levels** - Bitcoin surged past **$87K**, reaching **$87,435**, marking a **2.68% increase** in 24 hours . - Some reports indicate even higher peaks, with BTC touching **$88,400**, nearly erasing losses from early April . - Analysts highlight **$91,000** as a critical resistance level. A daily close above this could signal a bullish trend, while failure might lead to a drop toward **$71,000** . *Catalysts for the Rebound** - **Dollar Weakness**: The U.S. dollar index (DXY) hit a **three-year low**, driven by political uncertainty after President Trump's push to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This weakened the dollar, boosting BTC and gold . - **Macro Sentiment**: Trade tensions and Fed policy speculation have increased Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge. Liquidity trends (e.g., M2 money supply growth) could further support BTC . - **Institutional Moves**: Metaplanet Inc. acquired **330 BTC** (~$28.2M), signaling institutional confidence .
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