In My 7 Years in Crypto... These are my 2 most profitable strategies that have stood the test of time, working well in both choppy and trendy markets.
🚀 Momentum ↔️ Mean Reversion (Full Guide Below 👇) Before I dive in... I’ve invested significant time crafting this thread to genuinely help you improve your trading game. If you find it valuable, please take a moment to bookmark, retweet, leave a comment, or simply hit like. Your support encourages me to create more content like this. 🙏 💼 I use 2 strategies to trade altcoin price action: 1. Momentum: For trending altcoins 📈 2. Mean Reversion: For choppy or ranging altcoins 📉 💰 These strategies have helped me make millions in crypto and successfully catch recent pumps on $SOL, $TON, $BTC, and $ETH. Here’s how they work: 1. Momentum Strategy This strategy might contradict what most trading gurus preach, but it’s my primary approach for trading both altcoins and $BTC.
🔑 Key Criteria for Momentum Longs: - Bullish Market Structure 📊 - Moving Averages (MAs) Fanned Out 🧮 - High Volume Breakout 🚀 💡 Example: $SOL was trending upwards, making it a prime candidate for momentum longs at resistance breaks. Stay tuned for my exact Momentum strategy at the end of the thread.
2. Mean Reversion Strategy This is the go-to strategy that’s most commonly taught online, and it’s especially effective in sideways or ranging markets.
🔑 Key Criteria for Mean Reversion Triggers: - Resistance Rejecting 🛑 - Swing Failure Patterns 🔄 - Support Bouncing 🏗️ 💡 Example: $LINK was range-bound recently, offering excellent Mean Reversion opportunities.
⚖️ Pros and Cons: Both strategies are powerful, but there’s no “RIGHT” strategy. The key is to figure out which one aligns with your personality and trading style.
🧠 Pro Tip: Test both strategies on a small account first. This will help you understand your counterparty and build an emotional edge by asking: - "How are momentum traders thinking right now? Are they euphoric?" 🎉 - "How are mean reversion traders thinking right now? Are they panicking?" 😰 To Effectively Play Both Strategies: 1. Identify Market Structure 🔍 2. Determine if the Price is Trending or Choppy 🧭 3. Create Entry and Exit Triggers 🎯 4. Take 30-100 Trades, Journal, Improve, Repeat 📝 💥 Following this approach will position you to catch significant gains in altcoins during the bull market. #Learning #BTC #bitcoin
💬 Question from a Follower: "When will Bitcoin reach a million?"
🔍 Answer: 📈 Massive Investor Inflow: Over recent months, we've seen a dramatic increase in the number of investors flocking to Bitcoin. High-profile figures like Elon Musk and influential communities such as WallStreetBets have had a considerable impact on Bitcoin's market dynamics.
💡 What to Expect: These key players are expected to continue accumulating Bitcoin, which will likely inspire even more individuals to jump on the bandwagon. This surge in demand reduces the overall availability of Bitcoin on the market, which could drive prices up further. As more institutional and retail investors enter the space, we might witness unprecedented market behaviors that could propel Bitcoin to new heights.⚖️ The Economist's Perspective: - From an economic standpoint, predicting the exact trajectory of Bitcoin's price is challenging. Its rise and potential decline are subject to numerous unpredictable factors, ranging from market sentiment to regulatory changes. 💡 Key Advice: Given the inherent volatility and unpredictability of the cryptocurrency market, it's crucial to invest only what you can afford to lose. Cryptocurrencies are known for their massive potential rewards, but they come with equally significant risks. Always ensure that your investment decisions are informed by a thorough understanding of these risks, and be prepared for the market’s inherent fluctuations. 💰 Potential Future Value: - While predicting when Bitcoin will reach a million dollars is speculative, the possibility of it reaching half a million USD seems more tangible given current trends. However, the path to such valuations is uncertain, and it will depend on various market drivers, including continued institutional interest, regulatory developments, and broader adoption. The journey to these milestones will likely be filled with volatility, but for those who believe in Bitcoin’s long-term potential, it’s a journey worth watching. #BTC
In the fast-evolving world of blockchain, only a handful of chains truly stand out by meeting four critical criteria: scalability, programmability, decentralization, and permissionlessness.
Out of the top 100 chains, only 13 meet these criteria: $SOL , $TON , TRX, AVAX, NEAR, ICP, APT, SUI, FTM, SEI, EGLD, EOS, and XTZ. These chains not only handle over 1k TPS but also support smart contracts via Turing-complete VMs, have formal on-chain governance, and operate without permission barriers.
However, many popular chains, including $BTC , ETH, ADA, XRP, and MATIC, fail to check all the boxes. This isn't just a critique—it's a call to action. Chains that didn't make the cut have significant room for improvement.
While some may be frustrated by this objective evaluation, it underscores the need for clear standards in the industry. We must prioritize principles over loyalty to any one project. Diversification, both in thought and investment, is essential for navigating the "sea of narratives" that often clouds the crypto space.
Ultimately, the evolution of these chains represents a significant leap forward, proving that Satoshi's vision is alive and well—just perhaps not under the Bitcoin name. 🚀
When Vitalik posted about Solana, it was at $8. It later skyrocketed to $195. 🚀
Recently, Vitalik posted about Interoperability. Put 2+2 together… 🤔 The main thesis behind it 🧵👇
The Challenge - Finding a good narrative, like interoperability, is just half the battle. - The real challenge lies in finding the right project that fits this narrative. The Bet - Vitalik's focus on interoperability highlights a critical issue that needs addressing. - Enter @MetisL2 and its gem: @MaiaDAOEco. - A community-driven ecosystem of open-source components and decentralized protocols, live since 2022.
Ecosystem Highlights - Hermes: Omnichain AMM and Yield & Liquidity Marketplace (YLM). - TALOS: Automated Liquidity Omnichain Strategies. - Maia: Decentralized Strategy Vaults. - Ulysses: Omnichain Liquidity Protocol. Hermes V2: Not Just Another Fork
- Hermes V2 operates as a 3,3 DEX, inspired by Andre Cronje’s Solidly model but with its unique features. - Draws from Curve’s vote-escrow model and Olympus DAO’s (3,3) bonding mechanism. - Expansion plans: Moving to Arbitrum and going cross-chain with LayerZero tech.
What’s New in V2? - Permanent Locks with Liquid Positions: Lock tokens indefinitely while maintaining liquidity. - Deposit-Based Tokenized Vault: A simplified ERC4626 vault that eliminates weekly rebases and increases the token burn rate. Additional V2 Features - Low-cost, near zero-slippage trades for both correlated and volatile assets. - Bribes & Rewards: LPs receive token emissions based on veHermes votes, earning between 40%-100%. - Emission Incentives: Enhancing rewards for liquidity providers. Revamped Tokenomics - V2 introduces a tri-token system: - bH-V: Governance and voting. - bH-G: Collecting bribes and fees. - bH-B: Boosting rewards for liquidity providers. Upcoming Campaign - @HermesOmnichain has launched an incentivized campaign on Zealy. - Ends on September 8th. Don’t miss out! Conclusion - @MaiaDAOEco has become a powerhouse within the @MetisL2 ecosystem, particularly through @HermesOmnichain. - I’m excited to see how @VitalikButerin will drive the interoperability narrative forward. 🌐
No Other Cryptocurrency Has Received Clarity From Both FinCEN and the SEC Regarding Its Regulatory Status.💥🇺🇸
In 2015 #XRP Was Clearly Defined As "Virtual Currency" By Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN).
In 2023 XRP Received Legal Judgment Against The SEC Stating The Token Itself "Is Not A Security" Under Federal Law, Making This Token A Special Case In The United States Crypto Landscape.
FinCEN Civil Penalty and Settlement:
Fine: FinCEN assessed a $700,000 civil money penalty against Ripple Labs and XRP II for violating the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA).
Settlement: Ripple Labs also settled with the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Northern District of California (USAO-NDCA) by forfeiting $450,000. This forfeiture partially satisfied FinCEN's penalty, leaving Ripple to pay the remaining $250,000 to FinCEN.
• $ETH — Risk/Reward looks great here • $SOL — Will probably outperform ETH • $PENDLE — V3 Update will be epic • $BANANA — High conviction 6-month • $PIRATE — Strong rebond gives me hopes • $BONK — Bullish despite unlocks • $WIF — Bullish but depends on Solana • $BILLY — Got rekt, could come back • $ONDO — Looks very interesting here • $TAO — Almost 2x from the low • $RENDER — More and more competition
I Made $1.5 Million in 6 Months with Just Two Low-Cap Gems 💰
How? I tracked insider wallets and bought alongside them. Whales will hate me for sharing their secrets for free... 👇🧵
🔍 Understanding Insiders You've probably heard a lot about insiders, but rarely does anyone explain how to capitalize on them effectively. Today, I'm going to introduce you to powerful tools that will help you identify whale wallets and their trades using on-chain analysis. Step 1: Find Insider/Whale Wallets ▶️ Use @dexscreener for this task. Look for coins spiking in value over the past week. ➬ Go to: dexscreener.com ➬ Navigate to the "Gainers & Losers" tab ➬ Select the time period (24h or 6h) ➬ Apply additional filters if you want
Here are my filters: - Min liquidity: $250,000 - Min 24H transactions: 300 - Min 24H sells: 30 - Min 24H volume: $100,000 If you notice in the Top Traders tab that some wallets bought very early and then made huge profits, these guys could be insiders. Only those connected to the team could snipe the launch seconds after the token went live.
Step 2: Check Wallets with alphatracexyz This app is essential as it allows you to uncover wallet trading stats, helping you filter out bad wallets from good ones. Focus on wallets with: - Win rate above 65% - Profit over $500k
Step 3: Build Your Watchlist To do this, you can use: 1. etherdrops_bot ➬ Activate the bot: t.me/etherdrops_bot ➬ Add every profitable wallet you discover
2. dexscreener ➬ Visit: dexscreener.com/portfolio ➬ Add every profitable wallet you discover
Step 4: Set Alerts Set alerts to stay informed about every move the insider or whale makes. I suggest setting alerts for your top 5 wallets.
Key Point 👇 When an alert pops up, act fast. Immediately check these two key things after an insider buys a new token: ➬ Twitter ➬ Market Cap Market Cap Check it again at @dexscreener. A token with a market cap of less than $5M that hasn't been pumped much could become an insider gem. Yes, there is a high chance of getting rugged, but with higher risk comes higher reward. Always consider the risk/reward ratio. Twitter For Twitter, use these tools: · @TweetScout_io · @Twiter_score Just insert the project's handle to observe its full Twitter stats and see which influencers follow it. If Twitter looks solid with supporters on board, it's time to make a move and consider buying a token. But remember, if Twitter doesn't look promising, keep looking. Sometimes the best opportunities lie unnoticed for a few weeks while the big whales are accumulating tokens. 🔒 Closing Thoughts Since my account has grown a lot, I can’t share 100x gems in public anymore, so I decided to make my Telegram channel private. But you still have a little time to join before I close it for good.
The cryptocurrency market is on the rise today as bears are hit with heavy liquidations, and improvements in the stock market boost investor sentiment. Let's dive into the key factors driving the market up:
🔹 Overall Market Movement - Total market capitalization increased by approximately 1% in the last 24 hours, reaching $2.11 trillion on August 9. - Bitcoin (BTC) rose by around 1.1%, while Ether (ETH) increased by 0.3%.
🔹 Positive Sentiment from Stock Market Gains - The crypto market's recovery reflects the strength seen in U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching five-day highs.
- The S&P 500 added over $1 trillion in market cap on August 8, posting its best day since November 2022.
🔹 Improved Macroeconomic Indicators - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims decreased to 235,000 for the week ending July 20, lower than the estimated 240,000 and previous weekly gains of 250,000. - Market participants are now anticipating potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year, which is contributing to the positive market sentiment. 🔹 Renewed Interest in Spot Bitcoin ETFs - Inflows into U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs have resumed, with these funds managing around $54.31 billion worth of BTC as of August 9, up from $48.43 billion on August 5.
- Recent approvals of spot Solana ETFs in Brazil and ongoing developments in crypto ETFs globally are signaling growing acceptance in traditional financial markets. 🔹 $110 Million in Short Liquidations - The rise in the crypto market coincides with significant short liquidations across derivatives markets. - Over the last 24 hours, short traders faced $110.92 million in liquidations, while long traders saw $76.81 million. - Short Bitcoin liquidations alone reached $58.6 million, increasing buying pressure and driving up the market valuation.
📊 Conclusion - The combination of positive stock market performance, favorable macroeconomic indicators, renewed interest in crypto ETFs, and short liquidations has led to the crypto market's upward momentum today. - As investors adjust to these developments, the market continues to show strength and resilience. Where do you see the market heading next? 🤔
🔹 2020-2024 Halving Cycle - Average BTC Price: $34k - 2019 S2F Prediction: $55k - Reality Check: Despite falling short of $55k, $34k is impressive considering BTC was below $4k when the prediction was made.
🔹 S2F Model Refit with New Data - 2024-2028 Cycle Projection: - Average BTC Price: ~$500k - Possible Peak: $700k - Potential Leveling Out: $340k - What This Means: The updated S2F model parameters are still holding strong, with predictions that fit within the expected boundaries. 🔹 Key Takeaways - Bitcoin’s Journey: Despite some deviations, Bitcoin has generally stayed within the S2F model's predictions. - Future Outlook: As we approach the 2024-2028 cycle, Bitcoin could see significant highs, reinforcing the S2F model’s credibility. 📊 Conclusion - The S2F model has been a reliable guide for understanding Bitcoin's price movements over halving cycles. - With projections of $500k+ for the next cycle, Bitcoin's future looks promising within the S2F framework. 🛠️ Investment Strategy - Stay Informed: Keep an eye on market developments and S2F updates. - Think Long-Term: Remember that price fluctuations are normal, but the bigger picture remains bullish. Where do you think Bitcoin is heading next? 🤔
The issue with the current Bitcoin market, in my opinion, is that it entered a bull market too early. Typically, halvings, which occur every 210,000 blocks, are part of the accumulation phase. However, the 2024 halving (block 840,000) is happening during the bull market phase.
This means we've been front-running the market, but the conditions weren't fully ripe for a sustainable upward move yet. The result? We’re in a situation where the market pushed ahead prematurely, without the necessary accumulation phase to build a solid foundation for the bull run.
I said 48-52k was the $BTC local bottom. Now we’re sitting at 60k. It’s ironic how 90% of Crypto Twitter turned bullish in July at the top, confidently calling bottoms. Now they’ve flipped bearish on support, predicting lower prices.
Here’s the reality: If the bottom is in, I’ll call it. Simple. The market is manipulated. The sooner you understand this, the better you'll grasp where the price is heading.
When mainstream media tells you to sell, it’s likely the local bottom. If they start hyping up Trump endorsing $BTC , it’s probably the local top. The key is learning to think differently.
When it comes to memecoins, there's one pattern I've noticed: they always return to their key levels. That's why I just added more $BULL to my portfolio—because it's cheap as right now.
Every time $BULL has dumped 50%, it’s pumped 5x instantly! This is where paper hands get scared and sell, but the smart money—whales—are quietly buying and increasing their positions.
Buying and selling are the easy parts. But holding? That's the real challenge. It’s also where generational wealth is made.
So while others are panic selling, I'm doubling down and holding strong.