Here are my views on $BTC which may or may not work, but l'm pessimistic
It appears as though Bitcoin shall not break through 100k, but will instead front-run it at the 80k region. This is a deviation from my previous estimate, and is due to new data in the last 6 months.
Looking at the economic situation, we have finally started getting rate-cuts. This was one of the criteria for confirming that we are about to enter a recession-induced bear
market in the near future.
High point rate-cuts by the Fed are a sign of policy panic, and reaction to a failing economy. The effects of these policy changes take many months to trickle down, therefore 2025 is looking like a losing position with reinforcement far away.
Only when the rates finally get below 1%, do I expect to see liquidity injections into the market.
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