๐๐จ๐๐๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฒ, ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐๐๐ฅ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ, ๐๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฃ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฅ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฒ๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ.
Thereโs a lot of confusion about how a rate cut will impact BTC, so I did my own research, and hereโs what I believe:
- 25 ๐ฝ๐๐: Expect the market to dump. Why? Because the market has already priced in a 25bps cut, so it wonโt pump immediately. However, we could see a real pump later on.
- 50 ๐ฝ๐๐: The market should pump after a 50bps cut, but this isnโt great news. We could see a huge dump afterward. Why? Because if the Fed is cutting by 50bps, it signals that thereโs something really wrong with the economy that we arenโt aware of yet.
- 75 ๐ฝ๐๐: Disaster! While the market may pump a lot after a 75bps cut, think about itโhow bad is the economy if the Fed feels the need to cut by 75bps?
- 0 ๐ฝ๐๐: Dump! If the Fed doesnโt cut rates at all, the market will likely dump because a 25bps cut was already priced in, and it will retrace to previous levels.
While these scenarios may or may not play out, this is based on my research. Personally, Iโm expecting either a 25bps or 50bps cut. Letโs see if there are any surprises today. Whatever happens, this will shape the market structure for the next few months.