Toncoin (TON) has experienced a notable price increase, interesting investors and market analysts. As the price trends upward, data from IntoTheBlock and Santiment provide insight into the broader metrics driving this momentum. 

These analyses reveal a shift in investor behavior, particularly regarding the distribution of TON holdings and user engagement. Additionally, recent price movements and market conditions reflect changing trends that could shape the future of Toncoin.

Holdings Distribution Signals a Shift

The holdings distribution chart from IntoTheBlock highlights shifts in the distribution of Toncoin across different investor groups. Over the past 30 days, retail investors holding between $0.00 and $10.00 in TON have increased their positions. These groups saw a rise in holdings by 21.12% and 34.31%, respectively, indicating growing interest from smaller investors.

Source: IntoTheBlock

However, the data shows drops in holdings among midsize and bigger investors. Addresses holding between $100 and $1k, $1k to $10k, and $10k to $100k have all decreased their positions by 13.98%, 22.78%, and 25.15%, respectively.

Similarly, whale investors holding between $1M and $10M have declined by 8.64%, while those holding more than $10M saw a reduction of 27.70%. These patterns suggest that larger investors may be selling off their positions, while smaller retail investors accumulate.

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Show more +Show less – Market Cap and Active Address Trends

Data from Santiment offers additional insights into Toncoin’s market activity. The market cap surged past $26 billion in April 2024 but has since declined to approximately $12.88 billion. 

This decrease mirrors shifts in active addresses, which have dropped sharply following periods of heightened activity in April and mid-August. Active addresses, a measure of user engagement, have fallen to around 425, indicating a decline in investor participation.

Source: Santiment

Santiment also highlights the exchange inflows for TON, which saw spikes in May, June, and August. These inflows typically correspond with declines in market cap, suggesting that investors moved their assets to exchanges for selling during price peaks. 

Toncoin Price and Investor Sentiment

Market analysts have weighed in on Toncoin’s recent price movements. One analyst, @thelordofentry, shared on X that TON has bounced off the .618 Fibonacci retracement level and is now tracking higher. 

$TON has broken trend after the strong .618 FIB bounce and is now tracking higher.Key support for the push up is $4.85, with potential TP/Short zones at $5.87/$6.2. pic.twitter.com/g3XYJ9qe5K

— TheLordofEntry (@thelordofentry) September 9, 2024

He identified key support at $4.85, with potential take-profit levels set at $5.87 and $6.20. This aligns with the current market data, which shows Toncoin trading at $5.09, representing a 7.77% increase over the last day, as per CoinGecko.

Read also: Where Is the SUI Price Headed Next After a 20% Pump

Outlook for Toncoin

The combination of retail accumulation and profit-taking by larger investors presents a mixed outlook for Toncoin. The rise in smaller holdings suggests continued interest from newer market participants, while the decline in active addresses points to caution among more experienced investors. 

As market activity stabilizes, future price movements will depend on renewed interest from either retail or institutional investors. Toncoin’s current price trajectory, along with its market metrics, reflects a dynamic phase of market adjustment.

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