📌 Market expectations (#FedRate #FED :

Probability of a Fed rate cut at the September 18 meeting = 100% (67.5% of investors expect a 25 bp cut and 32.5% expect a 50 bp cut)

- September 18: a decrease of 25 bps to 5.00-5.25%

- November 7: a decrease of 25 bp to 4.75-5.00%.

- December 18: a decrease of 50 bp to 4.25-4.50%.

- January 29, 2025: a reduction of 25 bps to 4.00-4.25%.

- March 19, 2025: reduction by 25 bps to 3.75-4.00%.