Bitcoin's price is anticipated to follow its four-year cycle pattern, often visualized through price fractals. These fractals use historical price data to predict future trends, considering two main factors: the start date and interval length, and how to scale prices.
The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's price peaks align with a simple four-year cycle rather than the days since halving, implying a psychological rather than supply-driven pattern.
Scaling the fractals based on percentage gains is problematic as Bitcoin has matured significantly, leading to unrealistic price predictions. Instead, a time-based metric called the 'power law support' is used, which provides a stable minimum price estimation.
The analysis uses three four-year fractals, creating a "fractal cloud" that helps visualize potential price movements. Bitcoin's price recently exceeded this cloud due to ETFs but is now reverting back. It's predicted that prices could increase fourfold by the end of 2025 if they stay within or near this fractal cloud.
