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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Federico Brauchla AuOg:
sir isski kuch smj nhi arhi mera blnce 00 hy
Epstein no fue Satoshi, pero quizá estuvo más vinculado a los comienzos de las criptomonedas de lo que se reconoce.
✅ Invirtió $3 millones en Coinbase en 2014
✅ Destinó $850 mil a los desarrolladores de Bitcoin del MIT
✅ Aseguró conocer personalmente a los fundadores de $BTC
✅ Michael Saylor aparece en su correspondencia privada
La conexión con el origen de Bitcoin podría ser mucho más profunda de lo que se imagina.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc
✅ Invirtió $3 millones en Coinbase en 2014
✅ Destinó $850 mil a los desarrolladores de Bitcoin del MIT
✅ Aseguró conocer personalmente a los fundadores de $BTC
✅ Michael Saylor aparece en su correspondencia privada
La conexión con el origen de Bitcoin podría ser mucho más profunda de lo que se imagina.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc
🧐 В преддверии февральского истечения срока действия BTC-опционов на Deribit, первыми по объему открытых позиций выступают коллы с ценой исполнения $75 000, вторыми - путы с $40 000.
💁♂️ Как видите, лагерь разделился пополам! Но лонгистов по-прежнему чуть больше и на медвежке они всегда выступают топливом…
#btc #биткоин
💁♂️ Как видите, лагерь разделился пополам! Но лонгистов по-прежнему чуть больше и на медвежке они всегда выступают топливом…
#btc #биткоин
Ya casi llego al objetivo para después meter long, dudo mucho que baje más allá de los 62500, tiene que rebotar a los 74K minimo para hacer limpieza de cortos (después se viene otra caida fuerte rumbo a los 45K-40K), ahorita esta haciendo limpieza de largos, las manos debiles soltaran sus posiciones y otros serán liquidados, tal vez me equivoque, pero asi me la jugaré, veamos que sucede (esto es a corto plazo 1 semana ) 🍀🤞🏻 #btc
BTCUSDT
Perp
5X
Opening Short
Unrealized PNL
+3,300.63USDT
Fiboo CDMA:
que buen analisis, yo lo tenía hasta 77 pero veo que no lo dejan subir en cada subida, entran muchas órdenes de venta, en los exchanges, de BTC entré los fines de semana, ..
В 2015 році я на останні кошти купив біткоін через обмінник. 200 доларів обміняв . Зайшов в обмінник. Обміняв на гаманець . Це не біржа . Це його власний блокчейн. Подумав, що щось не розумне купив . Через час деякий ноут відкрив... Граф в нфс. І згадав, що є гаманець . Зайшов. Там 17000 доларів. Думав, що збій. Почав оновлювати. Потім обміняв 5000 назад... і був в шоці. Почав витрачати кошти .Частину продав серед гаманець. Частину відправив в хайпи. Залишилось 2000. Варто продовжити історію з думками? І що ви думаєте, як вперше купили криптовалюту??? #btc
тревожная крипта:
Варто продовжити конечно)
🚨 $BTC TRADE SIGNAL — LIVE SETUP 🚨
PAIR: BTC/USDT
TIMEFRAME: 1H–4H
BIAS: Range → Breakout play
📍 Long Entry Zone:
• Pullback into demand / range support
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: Range high
• TP2: Liquidity sweep zone
• TP3: Breakout continuation level
🛑 Stop Loss:
• Below range support / structure low
📊 Confluence:
• Compression + declining volume
• No aggressive sell pressure
• HTF structure still intact
• Liquidity magnet above price
🧠 Execution Plan:
Wait for price to come to you.
Partial at TP1.
Trail after confirmation.
No breakout chasing.
#btc #WhenWillCLARITYActPass #StrategyBTCPurchase
PAIR: BTC/USDT
TIMEFRAME: 1H–4H
BIAS: Range → Breakout play
📍 Long Entry Zone:
• Pullback into demand / range support
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: Range high
• TP2: Liquidity sweep zone
• TP3: Breakout continuation level
🛑 Stop Loss:
• Below range support / structure low
📊 Confluence:
• Compression + declining volume
• No aggressive sell pressure
• HTF structure still intact
• Liquidity magnet above price
🧠 Execution Plan:
Wait for price to come to you.
Partial at TP1.
Trail after confirmation.
No breakout chasing.
#btc #WhenWillCLARITYActPass #StrategyBTCPurchase
🇺🇸 HISTORY MADE: PRESIDENT DONALD
TRUMP JUST BOUGHT A BURGER WITH BITCOIN
THE FIRST U.S. PRESIDENT TO COMPLETE A BC PURCHASE 🍔 BTC
CRYPTO ERA JUST LEVELED UP 🚀🚀🚀🚀
#TrumpCryptoSupport #btc #US #bullish #bitcoinwhale $BTC
TRUMP JUST BOUGHT A BURGER WITH BITCOIN
THE FIRST U.S. PRESIDENT TO COMPLETE A BC PURCHASE 🍔 BTC
CRYPTO ERA JUST LEVELED UP 🚀🚀🚀🚀
#TrumpCryptoSupport #btc #US #bullish #bitcoinwhale $BTC
لارا الزهراني:
مكافأة مني لك تجدها مثبت في اول منشور ❤️
🚨 Bitcoin Update
Despite mounting global uncertainties, Bitcoin remains strong above $60K! 💪
Challenges faced this week:
Trade tensions & tariff worries
US recession concerns
FUD around MicroStrategy & Binance
Ethereum Foundation selling pressure
Geopolitical conflicts: Iran & US, China/Taiwan
DeFi exploits & crypto hacks
Market shocks: bank collapses, VC unlocks, ETF outflows
Stablecoin volatility: USDT/USDC depegs
Whale fund movements & miner capitulation
Regulatory & tech concerns: SEC enforcement, quantum computing
No relief from rate cuts
Still, Bitcoin holds strong — a testament to crypto resilience! 🚀
#btc #USDT #eth #HarvardAddsETHExposure #BTCVSGOLD
$BTC $ETH $USDT
Despite mounting global uncertainties, Bitcoin remains strong above $60K! 💪
Challenges faced this week:
Trade tensions & tariff worries
US recession concerns
FUD around MicroStrategy & Binance
Ethereum Foundation selling pressure
Geopolitical conflicts: Iran & US, China/Taiwan
DeFi exploits & crypto hacks
Market shocks: bank collapses, VC unlocks, ETF outflows
Stablecoin volatility: USDT/USDC depegs
Whale fund movements & miner capitulation
Regulatory & tech concerns: SEC enforcement, quantum computing
No relief from rate cuts
Still, Bitcoin holds strong — a testament to crypto resilience! 🚀
#btc #USDT #eth #HarvardAddsETHExposure #BTCVSGOLD
$BTC $ETH $USDT
*Le bitcoin a brisé le modèle de canal et se négocie maintenant au-dessus de celui-ci. Cependant, il n'y a toujours pas de direction claire, et il pourrait chuter jusqu'au niveau de 65 000 dollars. Le bitcoin a réussi à sortir du modèle de canal et se négocie actuellement au-dessus de celui-ci !😁 Cependant, il est important de noter que la direction n'est pas encore très claire, et il est possible qu'il puisse chuter jusqu'à environ 65 000 dollars. Gardez un œil sur ça !🥹*#btc $BTC
$BTC SHORT SETUP
Sellers are still in control, and the downtrend is intact.
Entry: Market Price
TP1: 65,000
TP2: 63,000
TP3: 60,571
SL: 69,676
Price is respecting strong resistance, with higher timeframes (4H/1D) confirming the ongoing downtrend. Selling momentum remains valid, and as long as price stays below the stop level, further downside toward the targets is likely.
Trade $BTC here 👇🏻
#btc
Sellers are still in control, and the downtrend is intact.
Entry: Market Price
TP1: 65,000
TP2: 63,000
TP3: 60,571
SL: 69,676
Price is respecting strong resistance, with higher timeframes (4H/1D) confirming the ongoing downtrend. Selling momentum remains valid, and as long as price stays below the stop level, further downside toward the targets is likely.
Trade $BTC here 👇🏻
#btc
底裤曝光！$BTC被夹在5.5万与7.9万之间，链上数据揭示主力正在“磨刀”，散户却在幻想“牛回”？
市场分析指出，$BTC 目前被困在两个关键成本价位之间。上方是约7.92万美元的真实市场均值，下方是约5.5万美元的已实现价格。这种结构类似于2022年上半年的熊市磨底阶段，价格很可能在此区间内长期震荡，难以形成趋势性突破。
当前，$BTC 在6万至7.2万美元区间表现出一定的承接力，这个区域是2024年上半年的密集成交区。链上数据显示，筹码在此处并未大规模离场，说明有部分持有者仍在坚守。然而，这并不等同于强势积累。
真正的压力来自上方。8.2万至9.7万美元，以及10万至11.7万美元两个区间堆积了大量处于浮亏状态的筹码。任何向这两个区域的反弹，都将面临沉重的解套抛压。短期持有者普遍亏损，其盈利比例仅为4.9%，市场缺乏新进场的接力资金。
从资金流向看，情况同样不容乐观。包括ETF、企业、政府在内的各类机构投资者，其数字资产持仓正同步呈现净流出。这不是个别机构的调仓行为，而是市场整体在收缩风险敞口。现货市场的承接能力明显不足。
现货成交量仅在价格下跌时短暂放大，随后迅速萎缩。这表明交易行为多为被动应对下跌或恐慌性抛售，而非主动的抄底建仓。市场缺乏持续、坚定的买盘支撑。
衍生品市场也在降温。永续合约的资金费率已回落至中性水平，显示杠杆投机者的热情显著消退。与此同时，期权市场的隐含波动率全面跳升，尤其是短期波动率飙升超过20个百分点，表明市场正在为未来的不确定性重新定价风险。
更值得关注的是期权市场的偏斜度。1个月和3个月期的25 Delta偏斜度深度为负，意味着虚值看跌期权的价格远高于看涨期权。市场参与者正在持续买入下行保护，这是一种典型的防守姿态。
这种期权头寸结构直接影响做市商的对冲行为。做市商目前处于空Gamma状态，这意味着价格波动会被其对冲操作放大，加剧市场的脆弱性。未平仓合约热力图显示，大量看跌期权的保护性头寸堆积在5万至7万美元区间，进一步压制了价格的反弹空间。
综合来看，市场处于一个压力下的平衡期。流动性稀薄，参与度分散，头寸结构整体偏向防守。要打破当前的震荡格局，要么出现极强的买盘一举收复7.92万美元的关键均值，要么发生极端利空事件击穿5.5万美元的已实现价格支撑。在两者均未出现之前，最可能的路径便是在这个宽幅区间内继续消耗时间，等待新的变量出现。
---
关注我：获取更多加密市场实时分析与洞察！
#btc #Optimism #OP暴跌
$BTC
@BinanceSquareCN
当前，$BTC 在6万至7.2万美元区间表现出一定的承接力，这个区域是2024年上半年的密集成交区。链上数据显示，筹码在此处并未大规模离场，说明有部分持有者仍在坚守。然而，这并不等同于强势积累。
真正的压力来自上方。8.2万至9.7万美元，以及10万至11.7万美元两个区间堆积了大量处于浮亏状态的筹码。任何向这两个区域的反弹，都将面临沉重的解套抛压。短期持有者普遍亏损，其盈利比例仅为4.9%，市场缺乏新进场的接力资金。
从资金流向看，情况同样不容乐观。包括ETF、企业、政府在内的各类机构投资者，其数字资产持仓正同步呈现净流出。这不是个别机构的调仓行为，而是市场整体在收缩风险敞口。现货市场的承接能力明显不足。
现货成交量仅在价格下跌时短暂放大，随后迅速萎缩。这表明交易行为多为被动应对下跌或恐慌性抛售，而非主动的抄底建仓。市场缺乏持续、坚定的买盘支撑。
衍生品市场也在降温。永续合约的资金费率已回落至中性水平，显示杠杆投机者的热情显著消退。与此同时，期权市场的隐含波动率全面跳升，尤其是短期波动率飙升超过20个百分点，表明市场正在为未来的不确定性重新定价风险。
更值得关注的是期权市场的偏斜度。1个月和3个月期的25 Delta偏斜度深度为负，意味着虚值看跌期权的价格远高于看涨期权。市场参与者正在持续买入下行保护，这是一种典型的防守姿态。
这种期权头寸结构直接影响做市商的对冲行为。做市商目前处于空Gamma状态，这意味着价格波动会被其对冲操作放大，加剧市场的脆弱性。未平仓合约热力图显示，大量看跌期权的保护性头寸堆积在5万至7万美元区间，进一步压制了价格的反弹空间。
综合来看，市场处于一个压力下的平衡期。流动性稀薄，参与度分散，头寸结构整体偏向防守。要打破当前的震荡格局，要么出现极强的买盘一举收复7.92万美元的关键均值，要么发生极端利空事件击穿5.5万美元的已实现价格支撑。在两者均未出现之前，最可能的路径便是在这个宽幅区间内继续消耗时间，等待新的变量出现。
---
关注我：获取更多加密市场实时分析与洞察！
#btc #Optimism #OP暴跌
$BTC
@BinanceSquareCN
🚨 BITCOIN ALWAYS MOVES IN MACRO CYCLES
BULL RUN 2018-2021 -> 1066d
BEAR RUN 2021-2022 -> 365d
BULL RUN 2022-2025 -> 1066d
BEAR RUN 2025-2026 -> 365d
BULL RUN 2026-2029 -> 1066d
HISTORICALLY, THIS IS THE BEST BUY ZONE BEFORE NEXT PUMP
DO NOT SLEEP ON THIS ONE! 👀
$BTC $OG $BNB
#btc #og #bnb #jibonbroz #HarvardAddsETHExposure
BULL RUN 2018-2021 -> 1066d
BEAR RUN 2021-2022 -> 365d
BULL RUN 2022-2025 -> 1066d
BEAR RUN 2025-2026 -> 365d
BULL RUN 2026-2029 -> 1066d
HISTORICALLY, THIS IS THE BEST BUY ZONE BEFORE NEXT PUMP
DO NOT SLEEP ON THIS ONE! 👀
$BTC $OG $BNB
#btc #og #bnb #jibonbroz #HarvardAddsETHExposure
📊 BTC ĐANG Ở VÙNG QUYẾT ĐỊNH
Bitcoin (BTC) hiện vẫn giữ cấu trúc tăng trên khung 1D, nhưng động lực đang yếu dần khi tiến sát vùng kháng cự gần nhất.
🔹 Nếu break kháng cự kèm volume lớn → khả năng mở rộng sóng tăng.
🔹 Nếu mất vùng hỗ trợ gần → dễ xuất hiện nhịp rũ bỏ về vùng thanh khoản thấp hơn.
🎯 Chiến lược:
• Ngắn hạn: Chờ xác nhận breakout rõ ràng.
• Dài hạn: Ưu tiên DCA tại hỗ trợ mạnh, quản trị vốn chặt chẽ.
⚠️ Thị trường đang ở vùng “quyết định xu hướng” – đừng FOMO.
Bạn đang nghiêng về kịch bản tăng hay điều chỉnh? #btc
Bitcoin (BTC) hiện vẫn giữ cấu trúc tăng trên khung 1D, nhưng động lực đang yếu dần khi tiến sát vùng kháng cự gần nhất.
🔹 Nếu break kháng cự kèm volume lớn → khả năng mở rộng sóng tăng.
🔹 Nếu mất vùng hỗ trợ gần → dễ xuất hiện nhịp rũ bỏ về vùng thanh khoản thấp hơn.
🎯 Chiến lược:
• Ngắn hạn: Chờ xác nhận breakout rõ ràng.
• Dài hạn: Ưu tiên DCA tại hỗ trợ mạnh, quản trị vốn chặt chẽ.
⚠️ Thị trường đang ở vùng “quyết định xu hướng” – đừng FOMO.
Bạn đang nghiêng về kịch bản tăng hay điều chỉnh? #btc
BTC – HTF Supply Short Setup
📍 Zone: 69.2k – 69.8k
🛑 SL: Above 70.6k
🎯 Target: R:R 1:3 (66.8k / 65.8k)
⚖️ Risk: 1–3% per trade
📊 Estimated Winrate: ~65–70% (with confirmation at supply)
Waiting for confirmation inside the zone.
No mid-range entries.
Wait is a position. Respect your system.
$BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #TradeCryptosOnX #btc70k #btc #Bitcoin❗
📍 Zone: 69.2k – 69.8k
🛑 SL: Above 70.6k
🎯 Target: R:R 1:3 (66.8k / 65.8k)
⚖️ Risk: 1–3% per trade
📊 Estimated Winrate: ~65–70% (with confirmation at supply)
Waiting for confirmation inside the zone.
No mid-range entries.
Wait is a position. Respect your system.
$BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase #TradeCryptosOnX #btc70k #btc #Bitcoin❗
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