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张无忌wepoets
@wepoets
Juris Doctor || Web3 Poet || Crypto Options Trader || $RST Holder || Founder of Ice and Fire Island || DeBox Creator || Twitter(X):@wepoets1107
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Weekend low volatility, weekday high volatility, the weekend effect of options is really too obvious now. The main reason is that ETFs should be the primary influencing factor. Tomorrow is Monday again, and it's highly likely that volatility will rise again. So, everyone should understand how to operate now, right?
Weekend low volatility, weekday high volatility, the weekend effect of options is really too obvious now.

The main reason is that ETFs should be the primary influencing factor.

Tomorrow is Monday again, and it's highly likely that volatility will rise again.

So, everyone should understand how to operate now, right?
See original
Big players and whales are quietly taking profits. The remaining positions are using profits to buy some long-term options, to capture the last price increase. So, retail investors should also pay attention to risks. First, do not go all in. Second, remember to set insurance. Finally, if the profits are good, do not be greedy! It's appropriate to take profits on half of it first.
Big players and whales are quietly taking profits.
The remaining positions are using profits to buy some long-term options, to capture the last price increase.
So, retail investors should also pay attention to risks.
First, do not go all in.
Second, remember to set insurance.
Finally, if the profits are good, do not be greedy!
It's appropriate to take profits on half of it first.
See original
The sun moves down to the track at 209, not bad Shorted Take profit at 209, stop loss at 235 Sell some 195 put options to increase returns High-risk strategy, betting on analysis understanding, haha $SOL
The sun moves down to the track at 209, not bad

Shorted

Take profit at 209, stop loss at 235

Sell some 195 put options to increase returns

High-risk strategy, betting on analysis understanding, haha

$SOL
See original
The yield on China's ten-year government bonds is falling, and A-shares are expected to rise. Chinese concept stocks are also rising against the trend. The signals are quite positive. U.S. stocks and A-shares are resonating, increasing the probability of continued upward movement. The strategy of selling spot + out-of-the-money options is underway.
The yield on China's ten-year government bonds is falling, and A-shares are expected to rise.

Chinese concept stocks are also rising against the trend. The signals are quite positive.

U.S. stocks and A-shares are resonating, increasing the probability of continued upward movement.

The strategy of selling spot + out-of-the-money options is underway.
See original
Honestly, this round of the bull market hasn't seen a decent wave of altcoins Maybe there won't be one Bitcoin stands out alone The others have been continuously sold off and are consistently refreshing $ETH $SOL $XRP
Honestly, this round of the bull market hasn't seen a decent wave of altcoins
Maybe there won't be one
Bitcoin stands out alone
The others have been continuously sold off and are consistently refreshing
$ETH $SOL $XRP
See original
Let's manage risks based on the gamma level. Currently, ETH is most likely to fluctuate between 3600 and 4100. Sol has resistance at 220 for upward movement, and there is no support for downward movement. I'm relying on it.
Let's manage risks based on the gamma level.
Currently, ETH is most likely to fluctuate between 3600 and 4100.
Sol has resistance at 220 for upward movement, and there is no support for downward movement. I'm relying on it.
See original
Big Pie and Auntie returned to the middle track, both in the form of pins. Sol returned to the lower track. Although the callback method is disgusting, it is still healthy. It is recommended to buy put insurance near the middle track In the long run, it is still a bull market expectation, at least a double top You can open a position between the middle track and the lower track, or grid Options + spot, basically equal to invincibility You won’t make a lot of money, but you can retire with stable income
Big Pie and Auntie returned to the middle track, both in the form of pins. Sol returned to the lower track.
Although the callback method is disgusting, it is still healthy.
It is recommended to buy put insurance near the middle track
In the long run, it is still a bull market expectation, at least a double top
You can open a position between the middle track and the lower track, or grid
Options + spot, basically equal to invincibility
You won’t make a lot of money, but you can retire with stable income
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张无忌wepoets
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This week's retracement risk has surged, be careful
Trump's TV interview has made a big move, institutions are bearish on the bubble
Ethereum is still relatively strong, but the risk of retracement is imminent
It depends on whether Bitcoin can continue to lead the rise
Some whales have already cleared their positions
Take care and cherish what you have
Prepare for a downturn insurance
See original
This week's retracement risk has surged, be careful Trump's TV interview has made a big move, institutions are bearish on the bubble Ethereum is still relatively strong, but the risk of retracement is imminent It depends on whether Bitcoin can continue to lead the rise Some whales have already cleared their positions Take care and cherish what you have Prepare for a downturn insurance
This week's retracement risk has surged, be careful
Trump's TV interview has made a big move, institutions are bearish on the bubble
Ethereum is still relatively strong, but the risk of retracement is imminent
It depends on whether Bitcoin can continue to lead the rise
Some whales have already cleared their positions
Take care and cherish what you have
Prepare for a downturn insurance
See original
【Is it contradictory that both the employment rate and the unemployment rate in the U.S. are rising?】 On Friday, December 6, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released data showing that the U.S. added 227,000 non-farm jobs in November, exceeding expectations of 220,000 and the previous value of 12,000. The unemployment rate in November was 4.2%, surpassing expectations and the previous month's 4.1%. Is it contradictory that both the employment rate and the unemployment rate are rising? The simultaneous increase in the number of new jobs and the unemployment rate in the U.S. is not contradictory. This phenomenon can be understood from the perspective of the economic cycle. According to the economic cycle, consumption is the source of the U.S. economy; economic indicators can be divided into leading indicators (such as consumption), coincident indicators (such as inventory, industrial production, capital expenditure), and lagging indicators (such as employment, unemployment rate). In a high-interest-rate environment, pressure first manifests at the consumption and production levels, which are reflected in leading and coincident indicators, while employment and unemployment rates, as lagging indicators, experience changes with a delay. In the first half of this year, despite a decline in consumption and PMI, the unemployment rate remained low for a long time. This is logically consistent, as the pressure in a high-interest-rate environment had not yet fully spread to lagging indicators like employment. However, in the second half of the year, employment as a lagging indicator began to weaken, and the unemployment rate gradually rose, raising concerns about a market recession. Therefore, the increase in new jobs may reflect short-term dynamics in the labor market, such as seasonal factors and changes in specific industries, while the rise in the unemployment rate may reflect longer-term trends and changes in the economic cycle. Moreover, the rise in the unemployment rate may also be related to changes in labor market participation. For instance, if more people enter the labor market seeking jobs, the unemployment rate may rise even if the number of employed increases. Thus, the simultaneous changes in these two indicators can result from a combination of various economic factors and are not necessarily contradictory. Currently, the unemployment rate part of the data has a greater impact and is favorable for interest rate cut expectations. Therefore, after the data was released, U.S. stocks rose, and traders became more confident about a rate cut in December. $BTC $ETH
【Is it contradictory that both the employment rate and the unemployment rate in the U.S. are rising?】

On Friday, December 6, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released data showing that the U.S. added 227,000 non-farm jobs in November, exceeding expectations of 220,000 and the previous value of 12,000. The unemployment rate in November was 4.2%, surpassing expectations and the previous month's 4.1%.

Is it contradictory that both the employment rate and the unemployment rate are rising?

The simultaneous increase in the number of new jobs and the unemployment rate in the U.S. is not contradictory. This phenomenon can be understood from the perspective of the economic cycle. According to the economic cycle, consumption is the source of the U.S. economy; economic indicators can be divided into leading indicators (such as consumption), coincident indicators (such as inventory, industrial production, capital expenditure), and lagging indicators (such as employment, unemployment rate). In a high-interest-rate environment, pressure first manifests at the consumption and production levels, which are reflected in leading and coincident indicators, while employment and unemployment rates, as lagging indicators, experience changes with a delay.

In the first half of this year, despite a decline in consumption and PMI, the unemployment rate remained low for a long time. This is logically consistent, as the pressure in a high-interest-rate environment had not yet fully spread to lagging indicators like employment. However, in the second half of the year, employment as a lagging indicator began to weaken, and the unemployment rate gradually rose, raising concerns about a market recession. Therefore, the increase in new jobs may reflect short-term dynamics in the labor market, such as seasonal factors and changes in specific industries, while the rise in the unemployment rate may reflect longer-term trends and changes in the economic cycle.

Moreover, the rise in the unemployment rate may also be related to changes in labor market participation. For instance, if more people enter the labor market seeking jobs, the unemployment rate may rise even if the number of employed increases. Thus, the simultaneous changes in these two indicators can result from a combination of various economic factors and are not necessarily contradictory.

Currently, the unemployment rate part of the data has a greater impact and is favorable for interest rate cut expectations. Therefore, after the data was released, U.S. stocks rose, and traders became more confident about a rate cut in December.
$BTC $ETH
See original
Guess when Ethereum will break 4000? I guess this weekend
Guess when Ethereum will break 4000?
I guess this weekend
See original
I feel very comfortable with double selling in recent days. I hope it can fluctuate widely until the Fed’s interest rate meeting😄
I feel very comfortable with double selling in recent days. I hope it can fluctuate widely until the Fed’s interest rate meeting😄
See original
Profit has been closed, opened a new double sell position Range, 3400 to 3800 +ddh Expiration on the 4th Volatility is rising, continue to lick blood on the knife edge
Profit has been closed, opened a new double sell position
Range, 3400 to 3800
+ddh
Expiration on the 4th
Volatility is rising, continue to lick blood on the knife edge
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张无忌wepoets
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Today, some 3-day settlement ETH double sales + ddh were opened, with a price range of 3500-3900. The volatility is higher than daily settlements and double days, making it relatively cost-effective.

Bitcoin and Solana have not surged significantly, while ETH has been leading these days. However, the volatility is still on the decline, so the likelihood of breaking through the previous high is not very high. Take the opportunity to double sell and capture some profits from the wide fluctuations. The correctness of the judgment will be verified in 3 days.
See original
Today, some 3-day settlement ETH double sales + ddh were opened, with a price range of 3500-3900. The volatility is higher than daily settlements and double days, making it relatively cost-effective. Bitcoin and Solana have not surged significantly, while ETH has been leading these days. However, the volatility is still on the decline, so the likelihood of breaking through the previous high is not very high. Take the opportunity to double sell and capture some profits from the wide fluctuations. The correctness of the judgment will be verified in 3 days.
Today, some 3-day settlement ETH double sales + ddh were opened, with a price range of 3500-3900. The volatility is higher than daily settlements and double days, making it relatively cost-effective.

Bitcoin and Solana have not surged significantly, while ETH has been leading these days. However, the volatility is still on the decline, so the likelihood of breaking through the previous high is not very high. Take the opportunity to double sell and capture some profits from the wide fluctuations. The correctness of the judgment will be verified in 3 days.
See original
The wave has dropped, the buyer's time has come! Ambushing long-term bull spreads or bear spreads is relatively suitable and inexpensive. The big pie must break through 100,000, but it's hard to predict how high it can ultimately go. Low volatility is just right for building buyer strategies.
The wave has dropped, the buyer's time has come!

Ambushing long-term bull spreads or bear spreads is relatively suitable and inexpensive.

The big pie must break through 100,000, but it's hard to predict how high it can ultimately go.

Low volatility is just right for building buyer strategies.
See original
Weekend volatility decreases, double selling is more comfortable Bitcoin supports it, altcoins won't crash significantly Trading SOL is relatively okay
Weekend volatility decreases, double selling is more comfortable

Bitcoin supports it, altcoins won't crash significantly

Trading SOL is relatively okay
See original
With a big drop imminent, have you set up a bearish put spread strategy? A major correction is not far away In the coming month, consider buying a put option to profit from the decline, you can set it up now Buy 100,000 puts, sell 90,000 puts, to form a bearish spread combination
With a big drop imminent, have you set up a bearish put spread strategy?

A major correction is not far away

In the coming month, consider buying a put option to profit from the decline, you can set it up now

Buy 100,000 puts, sell 90,000 puts, to form a bearish spread combination
See original
The pancake is really hard, it actually accelerated in rising! This year, not buying pancakes is considered missing out. However, is a pullback far away? Let's set up a put ambush.
The pancake is really hard, it actually accelerated in rising!

This year, not buying pancakes is considered missing out.

However, is a pullback far away?

Let's set up a put ambush.
See original
[How to use the DDH tool for sol options, real-time teaching] DDH, in Chinese, means dynamic hedging. Delta neutrality is achieved through parameter settings. When the hedging threshold is set, when the delta value of positive and negative deviation is reached, hedging will be triggered to rebalance delta neutrality. Therefore, the smaller the threshold, the more frequent the triggering. Double sell options should be triggered at the critical point as much as possible. How to calculate the critical point? As shown in the figure. I opened a double sell position at 238, sold call 255, and sold put 222 The total time value is 84 dollars. Set the threshold to rise or fall 12 dollars to trigger hedging 12×gamma total value 0.88, about delta total value 10.5 As shown in the figure↓ If you have any questions, please discuss in the Ice and Fire Island community.
[How to use the DDH tool for sol options, real-time teaching]

DDH, in Chinese, means dynamic hedging. Delta neutrality is achieved through parameter settings.

When the hedging threshold is set, when the delta value of positive and negative deviation is reached, hedging will be triggered to rebalance delta neutrality.

Therefore, the smaller the threshold, the more frequent the triggering.

Double sell options should be triggered at the critical point as much as possible.

How to calculate the critical point? As shown in the figure.

I opened a double sell position at 238, sold call 255, and sold put 222

The total time value is 84 dollars.

Set the threshold to rise or fall 12 dollars to trigger hedging

12×gamma total value 0.88, about delta total value 10.5

As shown in the figure↓

If you have any questions, please discuss in the Ice and Fire Island community.
See original
$SOL sol When will it break the previous high of 259? Today? Next week? The rise is unstoppable, 300 can't hold it back The sold call options have triggered hedging, I'm really impressed It has surged dramatically The last time I was this speechless was last time This time I can only admit defeat sol, I give up
$SOL sol When will it break the previous high of 259?

Today? Next week?

The rise is unstoppable, 300 can't hold it back

The sold call options have triggered hedging, I'm really impressed

It has surged dramatically

The last time I was this speechless was last time

This time I can only admit defeat

sol, I give up
See original
Let's talk about Ethereum, when will it go bullish It will definitely go bullish, no doubt The premise is that Grayscale has sold out, currently 4 billion, and there is about half a year left. During the selling process, it fluctuates widely and keeps raising the middle track Then it will suddenly rise, doubling in a week, making it impossible for people to get on board The dealer has tried it many times and it works So, if you can't bet on the dealer's time, leave yourself a positive exposure Next year, Ethereum will definitely be enthroned, and time will reward those who ambush in advance No money to ambush? Use the bull market spread strategy in September next year, which is deeply out of value. Bet on a dawn! If you are brave, go all in!
Let's talk about Ethereum, when will it go bullish

It will definitely go bullish, no doubt

The premise is that Grayscale has sold out, currently 4 billion, and there is about half a year left.

During the selling process, it fluctuates widely and keeps raising the middle track

Then it will suddenly rise, doubling in a week, making it impossible for people to get on board

The dealer has tried it many times and it works

So, if you can't bet on the dealer's time, leave yourself a positive exposure

Next year, Ethereum will definitely be enthroned, and time will reward those who ambush in advance

No money to ambush?

Use the bull market spread strategy in September next year, which is deeply out of value. Bet on a dawn!

If you are brave, go all in!
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