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I saw a sentence: Market conditions often arise in despair, rise in hesitation, and perish in madness.
Who supports and who opposes?

From 2020 to now, the price of Christmas $BTC 👇 has doubled by 392800 times! I dare not imagine how happy I would be now if I bought a few big cakes in 10 years🥺#“圣诞老人行情”再现

On the macro level, it is mainly about the number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, Powell's last speech, and the publicly available dot plot indicating that the rate of cuts next year will decrease to about two times. However, this can change at any time, and it only means a reduction in the number of rate cuts, not that there will be no cuts. From the trends in the US stock market, we can feel that retail investors' trading enthusiasm has returned, and additionally, the People's Bank of China has already cut interest rates, which will inevitably lead to capital outflow.
In the past few days, I've seen many people discussing how to buy US stocks on Xiaohongshu. Whenever the central banks of major countries lower their interest rates, it leads to asset outflow. It's a very simple logic: money goes where the returns are higher. I believe this is not hard to understand.
I believe there are no major macroeconomic negatives at the moment. An important turning point from bull to bear was the introduction of policies and giant macroeconomic negatives, such as interest rate hikes. Currently, no policies have been introduced, and the Fed is maintaining a stance of rate cuts, so I still believe the bull market is ongoing, and there's no need for everyone to panic too much.
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From a historical perspective, before the Christmas market, the trading enthusiasm for U.S. stocks and Bitcoin tends to be relatively low. For Western users, Christmas is their biggest holiday of the year, and most people return home to celebrate, resulting in a lack of trading enthusiasm.
In fact, we can also clearly feel recently that both the market liquidity and trading volume of Bitcoin have decreased, but it should be noted that after the holiday ends, there is usually an influx of capital. In addition to individual retail investors' funds, institutions also make purchases at the beginning of the year, as fund managers will complete their portfolio adjustments before the end of the year, which is also before the Christmas holiday. This adjustment involves some turnover, and some assets will be taken for profit. As the year ends, dividends need to be distributed to shareholders, so many assets will be sold. However, after the new year begins, which is after the Christmas holiday, fund managers will readjust their portfolios and choose some higher-quality assets for their clients. As we all know, institutions often deal with tens of millions or even hundreds of millions in capital, and their movements can cause significant market fluctuations.
Therefore, after the Christmas holiday, along with institutional adjustments and historical data, it is highly likely that U.S. stocks and Bitcoin will rise.

Yesterday I looked at Xiaohongshu and YouTube, 😓 a bunch of teachers said BTC is going to 78,000, 😖 I'm filled with anxiety from all the altcoins and the stuff that Bing Ge got me into!!!! 😤
🤬F*ck you short sellers!!!!!!!
Shorting the most valuable assets in this industry! #Bitcoin
$XRP's market cap has surpassed Pinduoduo!!!! 😡
What are you guys thinking? 🧠 What?!?!
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When you are close to breaking even, the rebound suddenly stops,
When you profit and exit, a dark horse emerges,
When you are complacent, a big drop arrives as expected,
When you are broke, good coins are everywhere,
When you are fully invested at the bottom, the decline has just begun.
#“圣诞老人行情”再现

🌟 Rapid Rise, Slow Fall 🌟
Usually indicates that the market makers are actively accumulating. When the price of a coin rises rapidly but falls slowly, it suggests that the market makers are preparing for the next wave of price increase, accumulating positions.

🌟 Rapid Fall, Slow Rise 🌟
This is a sign of market makers offloading. If the price of a coin falls rapidly but rises slowly, it means that the market makers are gradually reducing their holdings, and the market may soon enter a downtrend.

🌟 Volume at the Top and No Volume 🌟
At the top, if the trading volume is high, there is no need to rush to sell, as the price may still have room to rise. However, if the trading volume at the top shrinks, it indicates that the upward momentum is weakening, and one should quickly withdraw to avoid risk.

🌟 Volume at the Bottom and Continuous Volume 🌟
At the bottom, a simple increase in volume may just be a temporary pause in the downtrend, and it is not advisable to rush to buy. Only when there is continuous volume can it be indicated that funds are consistently flowing in, at which point buying can be considered.

🌟 Market Sentiment and Trading Volume 🌟
Trading cryptocurrencies is essentially trading market sentiment, and the market consensus is reflected in trading volume. The fluctuations in market sentiment directly affect the price of the coin, and the size of the volume truly reflects the market consensus and investor behavior.

What stage do we think the current bull market has reached, and how should we operate next?
First of all, regarding contracts, because it involves relatively precise points and the market trends change too quickly, I will publish all the first-hand information and timely news in the Wealth Code.
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So what operational suggestions are there for the spot market?
Actually, I have mentioned in the videos over the past two weeks that when Bitcoin reaches a new high and gets close to $100,000, you can take profits on your spot holdings in waves, after all, securing profits is yours. Holding tokens all day and enduring their volatility every day is not real money earned by you.
Why do I say this?
We need to clarify the essence of the secondary market or finance—asset issuance. In stocks, this is called an IPO listing; their essence is essentially the same, only one issues stock securities, and the other issues cryptocurrencies. Once you understand the essence of finance, you will know that the project parties, market makers, and others you face are essentially following a logic of selling.
So what is a bull market for them? It is for selling! So how do they sell? It is to sell after the token price rises.
Thus, the logic for project parties and retail investors trading tokens to make money is the same: it is to sell during the rise. You need to understand this logic; holding on too tightly means running slower than others. The target of the project party's sales could be you, and you might end up being the one who gets harvested.

Therefore, if you don't want to be harvested, you must gradually take profits during the waves; it is better to sell high than to be stuck. Think about how you felt during the recent downturn; that can give you some understanding. At that time, did you feel regret, thinking about why you didn't sell during the big rise a couple of days ago, and why it crashed today?
As the saying goes, a fall into a pit brings a lesson. Since you've already experienced this inner pain, you need to remember that feeling and not let it happen again. #交易心理

Last week's panic was mainly driven by Powell's hawkish remarks.
Powell's comments and the latest dot plot indicate that the interest rate cut range may be adjusted downward next year, leading to a wave of panic selling in the market. Looking ahead, there isn't much important data this week, and after all, these two days are also Christmas, and Americans are going on holiday.
The first chart below shows the price fluctuations of Bitcoin before and after Christmas. Generally speaking, based on historical trends, Bitcoin usually rises after Christmas. Moreover, according to the second chart from Coinglass, the quarterly return rate of Bitcoin is typically quite good in the fourth quarter, so I believe everyone can look forward to it. #比特币市场波动观察

A key factor for the recent lackluster market performance is the tightening of capital liquidity⬇️
Last Saturday, when the market rebounded to a high, the circulation of USDT unexpectedly decreased by over 700 million, which directly caused the market to shift from rising to falling📉. Following that, yesterday, the supply of USDT decreased by another 88 million, leading to continued market sluggishness😢.
Today, the situation has improved, with the supply of USDT increasing by 112 million, indicating a rebound in capital liquidity, and the market has also shown a degree of recovery📈.
However, whether capital liquidity can sustain this warming trend still requires observation of subsequent market performance. Tomorrow is Christmas Eve, so I suggest everyone enjoy their food and drinks and relax for the holiday🎄.

"Rich Dad Poor Dad" author Robert Kiyosaki posted on X: The global economic collapse has already begun. Europe and the United States are both in recession. Is the Great Depression approaching?
⚠️ Here's the key: he stated that regardless of the economic direction, gold, silver, and Bitcoin retain their value.
"For many, an economic collapse is the best time to get rich. I plan to become richer. I also hope you become richer and smarter." Let's encourage each other~

Stay calm and don't act rashly…
The cryptocurrencies you've laid out will eventually see a rise.
Your task is not to chase those that have already increased, but to hold on to those that have yet to take off.

My investment mindset has always been firm: the worst-case scenario is just going to zero.
If I can accept this, what else in the crypto world can harm me?

What is human nature?
Human nature is to think Bitcoin is too expensive during a bear market, believing it won't multiply many times, and thus turn to buy altcoins.
When Bitcoin starts to surge, they regret not going all-in on Bitcoin and become skeptical of the altcoin season.
Finally, when altcoins start to dance wildly, they have already sold them…

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This round of the bull market seems to be a microcosm of the history of cryptocurrency, which may be difficult for newcomers who have just entered the market in the past two years to understand: why haven't the old investors who entered the market in 2017 achieved financial freedom, and why haven't those who bought BTC in 2014 and 2015 reached financial independence?
Everything you have experienced recently, especially the fluctuations in the past few days, is exactly what these old investors have gone through over the years.
From the results, if you held onto BTC worth several thousand dollars, BNB from 2017, and various other coins until now, you should theoretically have achieved freedom. But the problem is, many people didn’t hold on; it’s not just the old investors who couldn’t hold on in the past, but even with ETH in the past few days, how long could you persist? This is the same principle, the same psychological state.
#市场调整後的机会？
In the early days, let alone ETH and altcoins, we couldn’t even guarantee that BTC wouldn’t go to zero. Now, at least we have BTC ETFs and ETH ETFs as support, along with Trump’s policy endorsement; what more could we ask for?
In this context, if you can’t even hold onto ETH, don’t mention the major events we experienced like 312 and 519.
Looking at the entire history of cryptocurrency, it cannot be said that simply holding on will make you rich. Some people have held onto EOS until now, while others have gone to zero. But one thing is certain: those who trade frequently and lack patience will definitely not achieve great returns in the cryptocurrency market. The ones who can truly hold on are those with determination and perseverance.

The true manifestation of confidence in a Meme coin is: when its price drops, you feel excited because it's your opportunity to increase your position, rather than a moment for panic selling.
If you plan to hold a Meme coin long-term, it's definitely because the community and concept behind it attract you.
A good Meme coin, if it truly has potential, will give you multiple opportunities to get in before it takes off. Those speculators who exit just because of a price drop often miss out on the complete investment gains from the trough to the peak, only managing to profit from chasing the rise.

Therefore, it's important to clearly distinguish whether you are speculating or genuinely optimistic about a Meme coin. If you are buying in at a high during a major upward trend, you should consider exiting during the crazy surge. Because when the price drops, you are very likely to panic and cut your losses.

Let's face a reality 😂 In a bull market, many people not only fail to successfully sell at the top but actually continue to incur losses... The reasons for these losses often stem from several stubborn beliefs.
First, the biggest stubbornness is the pursuit of selling at the exact highest point, believing that selling for even one cent less is a loss 😅
Secondly, smaller stubbornness includes: constantly making comparisons. Comparing to one's own principal (some people are always trying to break even), comparing to one's highest earnings, comparing to the market peak, and so on. By constantly comparing, one often misses the best opportunity. #PCE通胀降温

The strategies that the dealer is best at are "washing the盘" and "lifting the盘"🤫
During the washing phase, the dealer will create a sharp decline at the bottom, triggering market panic and forcing unstable retail investors to sell. In the lifting phase, the dealer will quickly push up the price, not giving retail investors a chance to react, leading to indecisive retail investors buying at high levels🥺

If one can see through the dealer's tricks, control their panic during market downturns, stay calm during the dealer's washing, avoid cutting losses easily❌, and not blindly chase prices when they rise, sticking to their own trading rhythm and only using the dealer's movements to earn reasonable profits, then they can avoid being trapped at high levels and render the dealer helpless against us😎
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