Crypto—安总
@Square-Creator-fdb0b19b7f0f
公众号：Crypto—安总v（现货 合约）
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If you understand the 123 rules of Dow Theory, you will have opportunities to operate contracts everywhere.
Whether you are in the stock or cryptocurrency circle, the theory is basically the same, and the trend is composed of K-line.
The opportunity after the trend is formed is an opportunity that market investors should try their best to grasp. The so-called following the trend is just a simple and effective way to increase the success rate of investment in trading. In a downward trend, buying will most likely continue to fall; on the contrary, buying in an upward trend will have a greater chance of continuing last week.
The key to the problem is how to effectively and simply judge the trend. This article introduces a method with a high winning rate, the 123 rule.
1. What is the "123 Rule"
The opportunity after the trend is formed is an opportunity that market investors should try their best to grasp. The so-called following the trend is just a simple and effective way to increase the success rate of investment in trading. In a downward trend, buying will most likely continue to fall; on the contrary, buying in an upward trend will have a greater chance of continuing last week.
The key to the problem is how to effectively and simply judge the trend. This article introduces a method with a high winning rate, the 123 rule.
1. What is the "123 Rule"
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Field Theory and Geometry "Chan Theory"
1. Basic concepts of field theory
1.1 Definition and classification of fields
Field theory is a mathematical theory in physics that describes how physical quantities change in space and time. In physics, a field is defined as a definite value of a physical quantity corresponding to each point in the entire space or part of the space. Depending on the nature of the physical quantity, the field can be divided into a number field and a vector field.
A quantity field, also called a scalar field, is a field in which each point in space corresponds to a scalar value, such as a temperature field or a pressure field. The isosurface of a quantity field is a surface composed of points in the field where the function takes the same value. These isosurfaces can help us intuitively understand the distribution of the field.
1.1 Definition and classification of fields
Field theory is a mathematical theory in physics that describes how physical quantities change in space and time. In physics, a field is defined as a definite value of a physical quantity corresponding to each point in the entire space or part of the space. Depending on the nature of the physical quantity, the field can be divided into a number field and a vector field.
A quantity field, also called a scalar field, is a field in which each point in space corresponds to a scalar value, such as a temperature field or a pressure field. The isosurface of a quantity field is a surface composed of points in the field where the function takes the same value. These isosurfaces can help us intuitively understand the distribution of the field.
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Ending the 'Thousand Interpretations of Chan Theory' — Modified Chan Theory Morphology
The recursion in Chan theory has clear definitions at every stage in the original text, but this does not prevent the situation where 'everyone has their own interpretation'. Since its creation, Chan theory has gone through more than a decade of development. Currently, whether in QQ groups, Zhihu articles, or any offline location, discussions involving the classification of Chan theory will inevitably and immediately lead to various differing opinions. The situation of 'thousands of interpretations' has become an objective fact. Without breaking, there is no establishment. After careful consideration, I have created a set of recursive rules that are completely different from the original Chan theory, and there is no room for controversy. Whether a single stone can stir up layers of waves is up to everyone to evaluate.
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How does the center solve the dilemma of continuity versus reversal? 'Chan Theory'
This is actually a big problem and a very challenging one because this problem is equivalent to almost everywhere certainty. If we expand step by step, it is my original set of [Dynamic Systems] and that set of [Almost Everywhere Certain] analysis systems. Due to space limitations, I will unfold a small part here.
Every center has an entering segment and a departing segment, comparing the strength of the two segments generates the properties of reversal and non-reversal.
Reversal, the center is a pull for the departing segment;
Non-reversal, the center is a thrust for the departing segment;
Every center has an entering segment and a departing segment, comparing the strength of the two segments generates the properties of reversal and non-reversal.
Reversal, the center is a pull for the departing segment;
Non-reversal, the center is a thrust for the departing segment;
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In addition to advanced techniques, I strictly adhere to the following 10 trading rules.
In the market, achieve financial freedom and break class barriers; always adhere to the iron rules of the market: the effectiveness of trading coins is a crucial point.
1. Monitor the Bitcoin trend.
In the market, Bitcoin often leads the trend when it drops sharply, while Ethereum can be strong at times, but many other coins are mostly affected by Bitcoin.
2. Pay attention to the relationship between special coins and USDT.
Bitcoin and USDT often move inversely; when USDT rises, be cautious of Bitcoin. This is the time to buy USDT when Bitcoin drops.
3. Control the timing of trades.
Every day from 0 AM to 1 AM, there is a phenomenon of easy price fluctuations. Domestic coin friends can place buy orders for their desired coins at low prices and high prices for selling. There might be pleasant surprises and easy profits.
1. Monitor the Bitcoin trend.
In the market, Bitcoin often leads the trend when it drops sharply, while Ethereum can be strong at times, but many other coins are mostly affected by Bitcoin.
2. Pay attention to the relationship between special coins and USDT.
Bitcoin and USDT often move inversely; when USDT rises, be cautious of Bitcoin. This is the time to buy USDT when Bitcoin drops.
3. Control the timing of trades.
Every day from 0 AM to 1 AM, there is a phenomenon of easy price fluctuations. Domestic coin friends can place buy orders for their desired coins at low prices and high prices for selling. There might be pleasant surprises and easy profits.
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How to make sure you make money with a contract
The answer is definitely no!!!
Don't always talk about tens of millions or hundreds of millions. You should start from your actual situation. Bragging is only for the sake of comfort. Trading requires the ability to identify the size of opportunities. You can't always have a light position or a heavy position. Usually, you can play with small guns, and when the big opportunity comes, you can pull out the damn Italian cannon.
For example, rolling positions can only be performed when a big opportunity comes. You can't roll positions all the time. It doesn't matter if you miss it, because you only need to roll positions successfully three or four times in your lifetime to go from 0 to tens of millions. Tens of millions are enough for an ordinary person to join the ranks of rich people.
Don't always talk about tens of millions or hundreds of millions. You should start from your actual situation. Bragging is only for the sake of comfort. Trading requires the ability to identify the size of opportunities. You can't always have a light position or a heavy position. Usually, you can play with small guns, and when the big opportunity comes, you can pull out the damn Italian cannon.
For example, rolling positions can only be performed when a big opportunity comes. You can't roll positions all the time. It doesn't matter if you miss it, because you only need to roll positions successfully three or four times in your lifetime to go from 0 to tens of millions. Tens of millions are enough for an ordinary person to join the ranks of rich people.
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Is it really a bull market now?
Currently, I believe the overall market is approaching a phase bottom, especially with the widespread collapse of many altcoins, many cryptocurrencies have halved, and retail investor sentiment is generally in panic.
In my view, this round of decline is caused by human factors, aimed at suppressing the spot market. Notably, a day before Powell's speech, the market already showed a downward trend, with daily top divergence, weekly TD13 signals, and the entry of large short positions (which have all been closed now) making me feel that all of this is not a coincidence.
I hope everyone can control their emotions right now, rather than asking bloggers about the trend of a certain coin everywhere. Don't easily waver your judgment just because someone casually says they are not optimistic about what you hold; this will only increase unnecessary anxiety. If you are trading spot without faith (in a coin you believe in), then you really are not suitable to continue participating in this market; you will eventually sell at a loss.
If you are a contract trader and believe the bull market is not over, then you should remain patient now and not rush to enter the market. The market may continue to rise, and if you are shorting just for the sake of a small profit, that is irrational. Even if you happen to make a little profit, it is just luck; you may still get stuck in the future because you haven't fully considered the risks.
If you believe the bull market has arrived, then I can only wish you good luck. After all, in a bull market, the typical rotation of funds is: Bitcoin > Ethereum > altcoins. Currently, funds are flowing into Ethereum; you can check the inflow of Ethereum funds on Coinbase.
(The bears may have a different opinion, but I hope you will allow me to express my view.) For contract traders, I want to emphasize: always set a stop loss when entering the market, and never blindly hold onto losing positions. Every day, many people can be seen holding onto losing positions and asking everywhere if they can break even. Our goal is to earn stable returns through reasonable risk control, not to blindly hold onto large positions and then be unable to take profits when the market reverses. (A common problem for most people: they can hold onto losses, but when making money, they can't hold on.)
#比特币市场波动观察 #市场调整後的机会？
$ETH $ETH
Currently, I believe the overall market is approaching a phase bottom, especially with the widespread collapse of many altcoins, many cryptocurrencies have halved, and retail investor sentiment is generally in panic.
In my view, this round of decline is caused by human factors, aimed at suppressing the spot market. Notably, a day before Powell's speech, the market already showed a downward trend, with daily top divergence, weekly TD13 signals, and the entry of large short positions (which have all been closed now) making me feel that all of this is not a coincidence.
I hope everyone can control their emotions right now, rather than asking bloggers about the trend of a certain coin everywhere. Don't easily waver your judgment just because someone casually says they are not optimistic about what you hold; this will only increase unnecessary anxiety. If you are trading spot without faith (in a coin you believe in), then you really are not suitable to continue participating in this market; you will eventually sell at a loss.
If you are a contract trader and believe the bull market is not over, then you should remain patient now and not rush to enter the market. The market may continue to rise, and if you are shorting just for the sake of a small profit, that is irrational. Even if you happen to make a little profit, it is just luck; you may still get stuck in the future because you haven't fully considered the risks.
If you believe the bull market has arrived, then I can only wish you good luck. After all, in a bull market, the typical rotation of funds is: Bitcoin > Ethereum > altcoins. Currently, funds are flowing into Ethereum; you can check the inflow of Ethereum funds on Coinbase.
(The bears may have a different opinion, but I hope you will allow me to express my view.) For contract traders, I want to emphasize: always set a stop loss when entering the market, and never blindly hold onto losing positions. Every day, many people can be seen holding onto losing positions and asking everywhere if they can break even. Our goal is to earn stable returns through reasonable risk control, not to blindly hold onto large positions and then be unable to take profits when the market reverses. (A common problem for most people: they can hold onto losses, but when making money, they can't hold on.)
#比特币市场波动观察 #市场调整後的机会？
$ETH $ETH
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How to earn 10,000 from 3,000
In the crypto world, 3000 is about 400u!
Optimal strategy recommendation: Contracts
Every time use 100u, gamble on hot coins, do a good job of taking profit and stopping loss
100 turns into 200, 200 turns into 400, 400 turns into 800.
Remember a maximum of three times! Because the crypto world requires a bit of luck, every time you go all-in like this, it’s easy to make money 9 times and lose once!
If 100 passes three levels, then the principal becomes 1100u!
At this time, it is recommended to use a triple strategy to play
Trade two types of orders in one day, ultra-short orders and strategy orders, and if the opportunity arises, then enter trend orders
Ultra-short orders are used for quick strikes, doing 15-minute level trades
Optimal strategy recommendation: Contracts
Every time use 100u, gamble on hot coins, do a good job of taking profit and stopping loss
100 turns into 200, 200 turns into 400, 400 turns into 800.
Remember a maximum of three times! Because the crypto world requires a bit of luck, every time you go all-in like this, it’s easy to make money 9 times and lose once!
If 100 passes three levels, then the principal becomes 1100u!
At this time, it is recommended to use a triple strategy to play
Trade two types of orders in one day, ultra-short orders and strategy orders, and if the opportunity arises, then enter trend orders
Ultra-short orders are used for quick strikes, doing 15-minute level trades
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Dogecoin Price Prediction 2024 – 2030: Will DOGE reach $1?
Dogecoin is one of the best-performing memes and is currently making a strong comeback. In the broader market recovery, the coin has soared to key
Psychological level of $0.30. With Bitcoin expected to break the $82,000 mark this week, Dogecoin is likely to soar further.
As the broader market fluctuates, potential dynamics are changing, and investors begin to wonder, "Will Dogecoin reach $1?" to "How high will Dogecoin go?" Do you have the same questions? Don't worry.
Coinpedia's predictions for Dogecoin prices from 2024 to 2030 will alleviate all these concerns; please check this well-researched and detailed Dogecoin price prediction to understand future trends
Psychological level of $0.30. With Bitcoin expected to break the $82,000 mark this week, Dogecoin is likely to soar further.
As the broader market fluctuates, potential dynamics are changing, and investors begin to wonder, "Will Dogecoin reach $1?" to "How high will Dogecoin go?" Do you have the same questions? Don't worry.
Coinpedia's predictions for Dogecoin prices from 2024 to 2030 will alleviate all these concerns; please check this well-researched and detailed Dogecoin price prediction to understand future trends
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Is Technical Trading = Gambling?
The Relationship Between Technical Analysis and Gambling
When it comes to trading, people often compare trading to gambling. Some believe that whether engaging in stock trading or gambling, there is a certain level of randomness and uncertainty involved, thus they share similarities.
First, let's clarify the difference between gambling and trading. In gambling, the outcomes are entirely determined by luck; you cannot control the results.
There are no technical or strategic means to influence the outcomes. However, in trading, despite the risks, you can develop strategies through technical analysis and use probability to assess risks and rewards.
When it comes to trading, people often compare trading to gambling. Some believe that whether engaging in stock trading or gambling, there is a certain level of randomness and uncertainty involved, thus they share similarities.
First, let's clarify the difference between gambling and trading. In gambling, the outcomes are entirely determined by luck; you cannot control the results.
There are no technical or strategic means to influence the outcomes. However, in trading, despite the risks, you can develop strategies through technical analysis and use probability to assess risks and rewards.
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What is happening with altcoins now?
Recently, the cryptocurrency market seems to be on a roller coaster, with altcoin prices plunging and causing a market uproar. The turmoil in this market is due to the intertwined influence of multiple factors. Macroeconomic uncertainty, tightening regulatory policies, and fluctuations in investor sentiment have together woven a complex market picture.
Globally, governments are increasingly strengthening their supervision of cryptocurrencies. In particular, the strict investigation of Ripple by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has not only put Ripple in deep trouble, but also cast a shadow on the entire cryptocurrency market. The tightening of supervision has undoubtedly exacerbated the panic in the market, making investors more cautious and even choosing to temporarily leave the market and wait and see.
Globally, governments are increasingly strengthening their supervision of cryptocurrencies. In particular, the strict investigation of Ripple by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has not only put Ripple in deep trouble, but also cast a shadow on the entire cryptocurrency market. The tightening of supervision has undoubtedly exacerbated the panic in the market, making investors more cautious and even choosing to temporarily leave the market and wait and see.
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Musk was arrested? The stock price fell so much
Someone asked, are there three dishes and one soup?
Will it eat Dogecoin when it comes out? I mean, empty the pool.
Spot coin friends who have made profits should reduce their positions and switch to contracts
Now is a good time to play contracts, and we are now fully deploying all currencies
Will it eat Dogecoin when it comes out? I mean, empty the pool.
Spot coin friends who have made profits should reduce their positions and switch to contracts
Now is a good time to play contracts, and we are now fully deploying all currencies
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Does PENGU coin still have prospects as the official token of the Pudgy Penguins NFT series?
Pudgy Penguins is a popular NFT project that has quickly emerged in the NFT market with its unique art style and cute penguin image since its launch in 2021. The project has strong community support, and community members actively participate in project activities, providing strong guarantees for the long-term development of the project.
PENGU will be launched on the Solana blockchain at the end of 2024, with a total supply of 88,888,888,888. This large supply may put some pressure on price performance, but it also provides sufficient liquidity for the long-term development of the project.
PENGU will be launched on the Solana blockchain at the end of 2024, with a total supply of 88,888,888,888. This large supply may put some pressure on price performance, but it also provides sufficient liquidity for the long-term development of the project.
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In the current market environment, we must not compare today's situation with the brilliant bull markets of 2017 and 2021. Although we keenly captured the budding trends of altcoins as early as the beginning of August, those brief bursts were as dazzling and fleeting as the Tyndall effect. The large-scale influx of capital has not yet materialized, and the participation of retail investors seems relatively lukewarm, leading to a long and complicated process of consolidation. During this period, the narratives of older coins still dominate the market, with familiar faces making frequent appearances.
However, it is important to note that the bull market cycle has not been interrupted; rather, the consolidation is giving rise to new opportunities. Yet, the duration of these opportunities is difficult to predict. For altcoins that have already surged significantly, blindly chasing highs is not a wise move, and there is no need to lament missed opportunities. True opportunities often lie hidden among new coins that have undergone FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) consolidation. Once they successfully navigate this storm, showing a solid bottom on the daily chart and after a period of sideways consolidation, they deserve our careful consideration and timely intervention. Particularly, new coins related to L1 layers, public chains, RWA (Rights and Assets in Decentralized Finance), and AI (Artificial Intelligence) should be our key focus, as they hold the potential for doubling or even greater growth.
However, it is important to note that the bull market cycle has not been interrupted; rather, the consolidation is giving rise to new opportunities. Yet, the duration of these opportunities is difficult to predict. For altcoins that have already surged significantly, blindly chasing highs is not a wise move, and there is no need to lament missed opportunities. True opportunities often lie hidden among new coins that have undergone FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) consolidation. Once they successfully navigate this storm, showing a solid bottom on the daily chart and after a period of sideways consolidation, they deserve our careful consideration and timely intervention. Particularly, new coins related to L1 layers, public chains, RWA (Rights and Assets in Decentralized Finance), and AI (Artificial Intelligence) should be our key focus, as they hold the potential for doubling or even greater growth.
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Position Management
The importance of position management
Many people are looking for the secret to making profits in the market, thinking that they can win stably in the long term by accurately judging the market direction. In fact, the most important thing to make stable profits in the market is money management.
Warren Buffett believes that safety is the first principle of investment: "The first rule is to preserve the principal, the second rule is to preserve the principal, and the third rule is to remember the first two.
George Soros said: I want to survive rather than take devastating risks. If we don't know how to stop the losses, our door will be destroyed.
Many people are looking for the secret to making profits in the market, thinking that they can win stably in the long term by accurately judging the market direction. In fact, the most important thing to make stable profits in the market is money management.
Warren Buffett believes that safety is the first principle of investment: "The first rule is to preserve the principal, the second rule is to preserve the principal, and the third rule is to remember the first two.
George Soros said: I want to survive rather than take devastating risks. If we don't know how to stop the losses, our door will be destroyed.
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Trading is like running a business; capital management is a crucial factor that can determine survival.
Stability should be your primary consideration. Traditionally, capital management includes issues like the profit-loss ratio of each trade, the overall risk of trading, and the issues of increasing positions and exiting during the trading process. We can summarize it into several points: 1. Portfolio: Investment direction 2. Position size: How much to invest 3. Timing: When to enter and exit.
Trading is like running a business; capital management is a crucial factor that can determine survival. Stability should be your primary consideration. Traditionally, capital management includes issues like the profit-loss ratio of each trade, the overall risk of trading, and the issues of increasing positions and exiting during the trading process. We can summarize it into several points:
Trading is like running a business; capital management is a crucial factor that can determine survival. Stability should be your primary consideration. Traditionally, capital management includes issues like the profit-loss ratio of each trade, the overall risk of trading, and the issues of increasing positions and exiting during the trading process. We can summarize it into several points:
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Will you come back to the human world in your next life?
One year in the cryptocurrency world is like ten years in the real world
“One day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the human world” has a literal meaning. Old insiders are familiar with this saying, but outsiders and new friends may not feel it deeply. “One day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the human world” is a metaphor used to describe the rapid changes in the cryptocurrency market. One day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the human world. For those who do not feel this saying deeply, it is a good opportunity to watch TRB last night and feel the rapid changes in the cryptocurrency market in a short period of time.
In the cryptocurrency world, sometimes one day's effort is better than ten years of traditional struggle; yesterday, a player made 30 million in the cryptocurrency world. He couldn't understand the saying that one day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the real world, so he naturally felt confused and questioned.
“One day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the human world” has a literal meaning. Old insiders are familiar with this saying, but outsiders and new friends may not feel it deeply. “One day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the human world” is a metaphor used to describe the rapid changes in the cryptocurrency market. One day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the human world. For those who do not feel this saying deeply, it is a good opportunity to watch TRB last night and feel the rapid changes in the cryptocurrency market in a short period of time.
In the cryptocurrency world, sometimes one day's effort is better than ten years of traditional struggle; yesterday, a player made 30 million in the cryptocurrency world. He couldn't understand the saying that one day in the cryptocurrency world is equivalent to ten years in the real world, so he naturally felt confused and questioned.
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Musk posted two interesting pictures on social media.
One picture shows a dog running in the city, the other shows it riding a pony.
The release of these two images triggered a surge in the MEME sector, with Babydog's daily increase reaching 90%, Doge also saw a slight rise, while PEPE set a historical high at night.
The entire market experienced a small climax, this is the power of Musk.
Let’s look at some certain positive events for the crypto world in the future:
1- A large amount of funds may enter the market in January, FTX payouts; in December, 98% of retail investors were compensated, totaling $1.1 billion, and it is expected that a large payout in the first quarter will total $13.4 to $15.2 billion, with a high likelihood of compensation in USDC, which is equivalent to over 100,000 bitcoins in support, even if only a small portion of funds flow into the market, it still represents a huge buying power.
The release of these two images triggered a surge in the MEME sector, with Babydog's daily increase reaching 90%, Doge also saw a slight rise, while PEPE set a historical high at night.
The entire market experienced a small climax, this is the power of Musk.
Let’s look at some certain positive events for the crypto world in the future:
1- A large amount of funds may enter the market in January, FTX payouts; in December, 98% of retail investors were compensated, totaling $1.1 billion, and it is expected that a large payout in the first quarter will total $13.4 to $15.2 billion, with a high likelihood of compensation in USDC, which is equivalent to over 100,000 bitcoins in support, even if only a small portion of funds flow into the market, it still represents a huge buying power.
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A trading system that can be directly used
A trading system only requires repeated learning to ensure profitability
Position management is very simple. You don't need to think too complicated; executing it won't disappoint you.
I often share some technical insights online, and long-time fans say: Mr. An, someone commented wanting you to share a trading system that can be used directly, as they feel overwhelmed by learning indicators with no results.
I am quite stubborn!!! Whatever others tell me to do, I just do it ^_^... So today I will share a simple and practical trading system that can be directly used.
The article is relatively long
The indicators used in this trading system
Position management is very simple. You don't need to think too complicated; executing it won't disappoint you.
I often share some technical insights online, and long-time fans say: Mr. An, someone commented wanting you to share a trading system that can be used directly, as they feel overwhelmed by learning indicators with no results.
I am quite stubborn!!! Whatever others tell me to do, I just do it ^_^... So today I will share a simple and practical trading system that can be directly used.
The article is relatively long
The indicators used in this trading system