On Christmas Eve, the US stock market opened high, triggering a rally. After breaking through the key level of 99,000, it fluctuated sideways during the day, which is a normal situation. The direction of the market will be seen in the evening; at present, one should wait and observe. Do not operate in an unclear market; wait for the trend to become clear before taking action to ensure safety.

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WIF Trend Analysis: Moderately Bullish, Key Price Levels Emerge

WIF is currently experiencing a sluggish recovery process. After declining from the peak of $3.50, it has been oscillating around the $2.00 area, with the current price at $2.0423.

Its RSI stands at 52.56, showing a moderately bullish trend, and the MACD is indicating a bullish crossover, suggesting that if the trend continues, WIF is expected to rise.

Support is at $2.00 and $1.80, remaining solid during pullbacks; resistance is at $2.20 - $2.30, close to previous local highs, with selling pressure potentially intensifying around $2.50, and the $3.00 area being a key resistance zone that could trigger a trend reversal, with subsequent movements awaiting market validation.

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Bitcoin Christmas Market Analysis and Strategy
Yesterday, the Bitcoin market rebounded from a low point, reaching a peak around 99500, maintaining a broad range of fluctuations overall. Due to the upcoming holiday closing, there were no significant market fluctuations, which was basically in line with expectations.

Currently, the four-hour chart shows that the price is still constrained within the 98500 - 99500 range. Given that today is Christmas, trading activity may be limited, and significant market changes are unlikely. After previously finding a bottom near 92000, the bottom has gradually risen. Currently, the key resistance levels for the day are at 99500 and 100300, with support levels at 97300 and 96500. The suggestion for intra-day operations is mainly to adopt a low-buy strategy, with potential buying around 97600. If the price falls back to 97300, add to the long position, set a stop-loss at 96850, and target 99000 - 99500. Seize opportunities amidst market fluctuations while paying attention to risk control.

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From the perspective of K-line patterns, a large bullish bar has appeared, indicating that the closing price of the last K-line is higher than the opening price, showing a certain upward trend. However, analyzing the trading volume of recent K-lines reveals a downward trend in trading volume, which has decreased compared to the previous few hours. This divergence from the price increase suggests that the upward momentum is gradually weakening.

Further analysis from a technical indicator perspective, based on the MACD indicator, shows that the current market trend does not exhibit obvious one-way trend characteristics. However, the MACD histogram remains positive and is gradually lengthening, indicating that the bullish forces are relatively strong at this stage. As for the KDJ indicator, there are no typical signals of a golden cross or death cross, and the market is in a relatively chaotic state, not yet providing clear buy or sell signals. The overall market situation needs to be assessed in conjunction with more information and indicators to more accurately grasp the market direction and potential trading opportunities.

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Regarding the 4-hour trend of BTC and ETH, in my opinion, judging from the current resistance situation, we might as well view it as a 'box oscillation within a short-term downtrend structure'.

It is referred to as short-term because the price has not yet broken below the key green area.

If considering to go long, I believe one should wait until the market successfully and effectively breaks through the area of 99300 before making a layout; this way, the subsequent upward momentum will be relatively strong.

It might be a good idea to add some altcoins that are expected to break through to the watchlist, and once Bitcoin achieves a breakout, we can then assess these altcoins, selecting entry opportunities either after a breakout or during a pullback rebound.

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$WIF currently shows signs of bottom formation in the short term. There are several key points to pay attention to regarding its trend.

The current K-line has exhibited a stabilization after a decline, and may potentially form a double bottom or rounded bottom pattern at a smaller scale.

The trading volume in the bottom area is showing a decreasing trend. If a breakout occurs subsequently with increased trading volume to confirm it, the possibility of a rebound will significantly increase.

2.45 is a significant short-term resistance level. Once this area is successfully broken, it is very likely to further test higher target price levels.

The current support area is between 2.0 - 2.2. If this support level is broken, caution is advised.

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NEIRO lowercase dog!

Some fans have inquired about the situation with this lowercase dog. After checking just now, I found that its trend is indeed quite promising. From the four-hour chart, this decline has reached the support zone of the first round of adjustment since the upper limit, and there has once again been a strong rebound upward trend.

According to the market trend, the current position is indeed a relatively ideal entry point, and timely replenishment can be made in the lower support zone, while the upper pressure zone should pay close attention to the range of 0.00168 to 0.00172. Many people mention that this is a domestic market; however, in my view, whether it is a domestic or foreign market, investors will not be deprived of profits when it is time to gain, and if facing losses, investors will also find it hard to escape. So don’t always use the domestic market as an excuse to comfort yourself.

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In-depth analysis of the current market structure shows that the market remains deeply trapped in a broad volatility pattern, making it difficult to break free. Such repetitive trends can be quite boring. In this market context, based on past experience, implementing a high-short, low-long strategy around the highs and lows generally does not lead to significant mistakes.

Upon detailed observation of the 4-hour level trend, the K-line closely follows the short-term moving averages, showing a slightly stronger volatile trend. In the moving average (MA) system, short-term moving averages such as the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, providing a certain degree of support for Bitcoin's upward movement, indicating that the short-term bullish forces occupy a relatively favorable position.

Although the current price is temporarily near the support level, the Bollinger Bands indicator shows that the middle band provides strong support for the price, and the opening of the Bollinger Bands is gradually narrowing, suggesting that the market is about to choose a direction. From the stochastic indicator (KDJ) perspective, the J value is turning upward in the oversold area, forming a golden cross with the K value and D value, indicating that the short-term market's oversold condition is easing, and bullish strength is gradually increasing. Based on these technical indicators, Bitcoin basically does not have much downward adjustment space and is inclined to continue the rebound trend in the short-term.

Today, it is essential to focus on the ebb and flow of bullish and bearish forces, paying attention to whether the price trend will strongly recover after a retracement or accelerate further downwards. If the price further declines, it will not only break the current strong upward pattern, leading to a short-term pullback but also is likely to trigger a series of technical indicators to reverse, such as the destruction of the bullish arrangement of moving averages and the KDJ indicator re-entering the overbought area. Conversely, if Bitcoin stabilizes and rebounds, successfully recovering lost ground, bullish forces will continue to accumulate strength and launch an assault on higher price levels.

Go long on Bitcoin at the 94200 line, stop loss at 800, target at 96000; go long on Ethereum at the 3395 line, stop loss at 40, target at 3455.

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The emergence of the alt season is still tied to BTC

If the alt season is to come, the market must not have a unilateral downward trend. Even if there is no rise, just sideways is enough.

The situation in the past few weeks is a clear proof. At that time, when BTC was sideways, altcoins rose together.

Therefore, I have been paying close attention to the retracement of the 91200 area of ​​the daily K. If a highly effective green K appears here, there is at least a possibility of rebounding upward again, which is a good sign for the overall upward trend.

If this area falls below, risk aversion is inevitable in the short term to prevent the market from plummeting.

If BTC collapses, there will be few survivors.

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Yesterday, the trend of Bitcoin remained the same. It gradually rose during the day and tested 96500 four times. After failing to break through, it fell sharply to 92250 at midnight, which showed that the upper and lower pressures and support potential were strong.

The current market fluctuates around 94500, with a slight correction compared to the early morning. Today and tomorrow are American holidays, and the influence of the daytime market may increase. If the day continues to rise and does not fall at midnight, Bitcoin is expected to rise temporarily.

Strategy: Bitcoin is long between 93500 and 94000, with a target of 96500 to 97000, a stop loss of 800 points, and Ethereum is operated synchronously.

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In the past two days, BTC has shown a shrinking and narrow downward trend, which is a relatively benign secondary testing method.

Currently, Bitcoin is still in a pattern where the bottom of the decline and the top of the rebound are gradually moving lower, making it difficult to determine whether the secondary test has concluded. From the perspective of moving averages, this secondary test has continuously been suppressed by the 72-hour moving average. Only by breaking through this suppression can we confirm the end of the secondary test.

However, today's issuance of USDT has positively affected the volume-price relationship, with Bitcoin's rebound trading volume increasing and surpassing the trading volume during the decline, indicating that the secondary test is nearing its end.

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GOAT Goat
Watch GOAT's recent trend, the rebound after breaking the previous low is good, but it has fallen again due to the market's drag. In terms of its trend and subsequent development, the potential is quite considerable, and it can secure a spot in the spot layout.

Currently, the range of 0.5 to 0.48 is a relatively good entry point, and if the price falls below 0.4, additional positions can be taken. For long-term positioning, the profit expectation starts at least doubling. For short-term operations, attention can be paid to the three resistance levels of 0.768, 0.9, and 1, implementing a staggered profit-taking strategy.

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December 23rd Lunch Strategy

In the market, I never blindly do only long or short positions. The key is to learn to follow the trend and never go against it. From the current 24-hour heat map, it can be seen that the possibility of short positions being defeated is increasing. Don't blindly stick to short positions. Be decisive when it's time to stop to prevent the upcoming profits from becoming a bubble.

Operation suggestions:
Bitcoin: Go long around 94,000 to 93,800, and the expected rising target is 96,000 to 97,000.
Ethereum: Go long around 3,240 to 3,210, and the expected rising target is 3,350 to 3,400.

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The recent decline has led many investors to become pessimistic about the market outlook, even believing that prices may fall back to the range starting with 8. This is the nature of the market; investor sentiment often dominates. However, making market predictions and actually executing trades are two completely different things. Purely analyzing market trends without putting them into practice is merely theoretical and one should not be disturbed by various noises from the market.

From a short-term perspective, there is a support level for Bitcoin at 93800. If this level is not broken during a second test, it should not be deemed that it will continue to decline. In terms of this upward trend, it has retraced 20% from the highest point, which meets the minimum retracement requirement. If this support level is broken, the next support level can be looked at around the 91300 price corresponding to the 0.382 retracement level.

Generally speaking, retracement usually ends within the Fibonacci retracement range of 0.2 to 0.618, and after this adjustment, the next round of upward trend will begin.

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Monthly line doji star, though it has surged, it is not stable. One week away from the closing, the bull has not ended, the closing of the bullish K is uncertain, the pullback is a surge, and the opening position of 96500 is crucial.

Weekly KDJ death cross, volume shrinking, pullback, supported by the bottom, breaking 90,000 is difficult. Though there is a pullback, the heavy support level and the impact of Christmas suggest that the market may rise. This week shows a large bearish candle indicating a pullback.

In the small cycle, after a pullback to 95000 during the day, it has recovered. The reverse bullish price is pressured downwards by the middle track, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, the bottom support is stable, and it is likely to oscillate and correct. The lower track stabilizes and shows a recovery momentum, looking bullish in the short term.

For Bitcoin, buy during the day at 95700, protect at 94900, target at 97500.

For Ethereum, buy during the day at 3320, protect at 3280, target at 3390.

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The market has been falling recently.

However, USUAL and MOCA are extraordinary.

$USUAL has reached a new high! The initial coin was poor, but now it has changed its route. It has a strong background, high consensus, and great potential. If you hold it for half a year, you will probably double your returns.

$MOCA, for example, rose in early July and then fell to mid-December without rebounding, and many early investors suffered losses.

Two core logics for selecting coins: whether the project party has strong background resources; whether it has absorbed a lot of funds at the bottom.

According to this logic, the probability of a subsequent rebound is nearly 99%.

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December 23, 2024 9:28 BTC/ETH Market:
The market is retreating and consolidating, with large fluctuations and sideways movement; it is normal if new lows are not reached without significant volume. Trade according to indicator signals, use stop-losses, and manage positions based on medium to short-term plans.
BTC support at 92600, 91800, 89500, with no resistance levels. ETH support at 3190, 3100, resistance at 3486, 3605, 3725.
Contract trading focuses on BTC and ETH; do not stack leveraged positions with altcoin contracts. It is advisable to hold spot positions for the long term and avoid making frequent trades with large positions.

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Bitcoin daily line showed three consecutive negative lines and continued to fall, while Ethereum daily line showed four consecutive negative lines. Yesterday, the price ratio of the two rebounded to 12800 and 3908, then encountered pressure and fell back, continued to fluctuate and gave up the recent gains, and finally closed at a low level, which was consistent with the situation expected by yesterday's evening review.

Currently in the stage of wide-range shock washing, the short-term trend is falling. As far as the current situation is concerned, there is still room for further correction.

Given that both the daily line and the small cycle closed at a low level, a small step shock and fall pattern has been formed, and the market can be further expected to fall today. The 1-hour chart of the price ratio of Bitcoin and Ethereum is running in the shock step downward channel, and a secondary high point is currently formed at 99000/3530, which basically coincides with the downward trend line above.

The short-term expected market will fall further during the day, and the rebound short-selling strategy is still appropriate in terms of operation. Due to the large fluctuation base, the stop loss price and entry price need to be adjusted accordingly. You can enter the market in batches to prevent missing the ideal point.

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The trend of Bitcoin has retreated as expected. In the four-hour chart, two large negative lines fell rapidly. Although the four lines rebounded, they were weak and were in the stage of consolidation and repair. It is difficult to return to the $103,000 level in the short term, and there is still room for further exploration.

At the daily level, the bullish trend has been completely reversed after two consecutive days of negative closings. It is difficult to rise sharply in the short term. There is a high probability that it will fluctuate downward in the future, and the retracement process has not yet ended.

On the upside, we should pay attention to the strong resistance level of $103,000 at the daily level, and on the downside, we need to pay attention to the first support of $94,000, the second support of $90,000, and the strong support of $85,000.

In my opinion, Bitcoin will fluctuate downward in the future, but the market is unpredictable, and prudent decisions are still needed when investing.

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The point on Friday morning was 98200, up 1000 points. After breaking the position, look up, and go long when the callback meets support. The strategy revolves around long and short. The big market is bullish but fluctuates repeatedly. Go long according to the support below. When the market is volatile and unclear, wait and see.

Now it is heading towards the 98500 pressure level, and it will continue to rise if it breaks. Although Ethereum is weak, it supports it. Look up to 3500 in the evening, and continue to rise if it breaks.

At noon, go long on Bitcoin near 97500, with a target of 99000-100000, and defend 97000; go long on Ethereum near 3360-3380, look at 3500, break 3550 and look up again, and defend 3330.

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