#圣诞行情预测 #加密市场盘整 Christmas Market is about to walk the Christmas tree! Based on what I mentioned in my tweet yesterday about the trend at three o'clock this morning and the usual short-term trends, everything is as I said. So let me draw a short-term trend for the upcoming Christmas for everyone, hhhh. Still the same words: I don't have a good outlook for the future short-term market, hoping for a black swan deep consolidation. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: (when asked about Bitcoin reserves) We are not allowed to have Bitcoin, nor do we wish to change the law. The highlight of the bull market is Powell, hahaha. I hope my fans avoid contracts recently. The sudden changes in long and short trends can lead to liquidations of hard-earned money. Here, I wish everyone better and better! $BTC

According to the interest rate cut adjustment in the early morning of #加密市场盘整 , it is highly likely that there will be a rise followed by a fall. Personally, I am not optimistic about the subsequent short-term market; a deep washout is needed to reach new highs again, and the best condition for a deep washout would be a black swan event. It has been almost two years since a new black swan event occurred, and my position is only 30% left.

Experienced traders analyze the market from both external and internal perspectives. External refers to hard technical aspects such as patterns, breakout points, and indicators, while internal refers to the feelings of long and short positions in the market.
The market's rise and fall are composed of the forces from both long and short positions. The stronger side dominates the market; when it should fall but doesn't, or should rise but doesn't, this statement is used to describe the changes in long and short forces. To judge which side is stronger, one can look at key price levels and their gains or losses, as well as the overall situation of being at the end of a bear market with no room to fall or at the end of a bull market with no room to rise.

Taking the current situation as an example, the bears spent 150 days from June to November 2022 to break below 18600, even using the negative news from the struggle between two major exchanges to push the market down to nearly 15000. The cost was very high, and it showed the determination of the bears. However, after such a long struggle of 150 days, the bears should have taken advantage of their victory, but instead, they consolidated for 63 days without seeing new lows. It turns out that the bears exhausted their strength. When the bulls broke above 18600, I published that the bear market was over; this point was equivalent to the Nanchang Uprising. The bears no longer had the strength to resist or struggle. In the previous half year, they had already exhausted their power. Retail traders who followed the bears down from 69000 to 15000 began to lose confidence, believing that the value would not decrease much further. They became neutral. When the price broke above 18600, speculators joined the bulls, adding insult to injury to the bears.
Behind this alternating trend of bulls and bears, there are certainly larger driving forces—the main players. The main players are also waiting for the right timing and conditions. The main players are the leaders, willing to attack the first city for the uprising. As long as they capture the 18600 level, which the bears spent a huge cost to seize, it will generate a broader response, and more will join the bulls' camp. The main players are willing to let retail traders benefit because their cost basis is low, but in the future, they will still force this group to give up their profits. They will not allow too many people to ride the wave; future washouts will be discussed later.
Who would have thought that Bitcoin would reach 100,000 in the past two years?
$BTC

#USUAL现货上线币安 Usual has nearly five times the opening price. Today, I was almost eliminated by a Tiandizhen from the dog dealer.
Let me tell you why I am optimistic.
1. This team always surprises me. To be honest, I participated in it as a financial management at the beginning, especially after experiencing a bunch of points projects. This income is beyond my expectation. It has rekindled my motivation to find mines. @degens_grandma is very enthusiastic and hardworking. I think it may be possible to have a good income if I continue to grow with this team, especially I think the bull market will continue.
2. Investing in projects is investing in people and making good connections, because entrepreneurship is very addictive. If you succeed, you want to continue. If you fail, you want revenge. There are always opportunities to meet again for projects that flow, but people who are iron-clad. With a long-term vision, everyone will have the opportunity to meet again. I believe that kindness + hard work will definitely pay off, but the time has not come yet.
3. The narrative is in line with compliance, and compliance is becoming more and more important. Usual's background is strong enough. If you still have doubts before listing on Binance, the answer sheet has been given now. I believe that background + ability Usual will be me RWA One of the long-term holdings in the sector
4. In fact, there is not much communication with the project after the investment. It can only allow miners to consider digging and watch the TVL slowly grow. At this stage, it is at most icing on the cake, but it still has to be licked $USUAL

In the past 1-2 weeks, we have ushered in the DeFi revival and AI agent craze. Here are my thoughts on the DeFi world. We will add more content about AI in the future. Representative products @VelodromeFi @AerodromeFi

(1) Its team proposed the dex trilemma. The essence is that if you want to satisfy the interests of one party, you must take it from the other party. For example, if UNI turns on the fee switch, it needs to require the fees to be transferred from LP to UNI stakers, which may mean that LP will leave.
(2) MetaDEX solves the problem of balancing the interests of tokens, traders, and LPs, especially the sustainability of token issuance. Token holders (lockers) have the motivation to vote more for pools with high trading volume, and correspondingly, LPs with high trading volume receive higher token incentives to achieve dynamic balance.

Aerodrome recently launched AERO Fed, which allows veAERO voters to adjust the AERO token emission rate.

Aerodrome is based on Base, and Velodrome is based on Superchain. Both are representatives of ve33 at present, and are more suitable for this cycle version of the dex model. $BTC

When in doubt, it's best to ask GROK

GROK told me that @binance has a zero-fee regular investment event, extended to 2025/01/17. I checked and it's true, plus it can automatically deduct from my spot or savings account, so I'll use this for now $BTC