#DOGE #ETH #BTC #特朗普宣布胜选 #UNI
🔹Cognitive Society Commentary.
On November 5, Bitcoin surged to 75600 under the positive stimulus of Trump's election as president.
This aligns with Cognitive Society's previous judgment; the market's core is whether Trump can be elected president, and other factors have little impact.
There are no clear resistance levels above Bitcoin since it's already at its historical peak, and there are no trapped investors, only clear support levels near 70,000.
Many people do not know what benefits Trump's presidency brings to the crypto space? Cognitive Society's exclusive analysis:
First: As the world's number one power, the attitude of the United States is very important, and the attitude of the U.S. President is particularly important. An expert says Bitcoin is very important for the future; Putin and other major country presidents won't care.

 #灰度XRP信托基金开放 #ETH #BTC #sol #美降息25个基点预期升温
🔹Cognition Society comments
On November 3, Bitcoin retraced to a low of 67800, which has a large error compared to yesterday's Cognition Society article at 68500.
On November 2, Bitcoin retraced to a low of 69000, which aligns with yesterday's Cognition Society article at 68800.
On November 1, Bitcoin rebounded to a high of 71700, which aligns with yesterday's Cognition Society article resistance level of 7200.
Bitcoin's drop isn't large; altcoins are just speechless.
The decline of altcoins is completely beyond Cognition Society's expectations. I dislike hindsight trading; such gradual declines are hard to predict because the market will lack liquidity.
When will the market stabilize? It will need to wait for the results of the new U.S. presidential election. Trump's extreme friendliness towards the crypto industry contrasts with Harris, who is very average and has never expressed a liking for the crypto industry.

#灰度XRP信托基金开放 #btc #XRP #doge
🔹Cognitive Society's comment
On November 2, Bitcoin retraced to a low of 69000, aligning with the support level of 68800 mentioned in yesterday's Cognitive Society article.
On November 1, the highest point of Bitcoin rebound was 71700, which aligns with the resistance level of 7200 mentioned in yesterday's Cognitive Society article.
Bitcoin's consolidation is still expected; altcoins are in bloodbath.
Every time before a new US president is elected, risk assets tend to drop because everyone is waiting for the new president to be confirmed before choosing investment methods and targets.
Because different US presidents have different policies and directions, everyone does not want to take too many risks. After all, there are few entrepreneurs who like to take risks like Musk; most people are neutral and wait for results like Buffett.

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#doge #sol #aave #mask #eth
🔹Cognitive Society comments
On October 30, the Cognitive Society reminded in yesterday's article that Bitcoin's surge does not lead to altcoins rising. If Bitcoin pulls back, altcoins face the risk of a sharp drop.
Bitcoin 70300 is the key support level. If it breaks down with volume, there is a risk of a significant drop due to daily divergence. Currently, the biggest positive is the monthly closing, and Bitcoin's monthly performance is still very strong.
The Cognitive Society believes that as long as Trump is elected President of the United States in November, Bitcoin and the crypto circle should have huge opportunities. Of course, if there is a 25-point rate cut in November, that would be a huge positive, and there may also be another rate cut in December.

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#BTC突破7万大关 #doge #ETH #BNB
🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin rebounded to a high of 72,000 on October 29, close to the pressure point of 71,000 in yesterday's article by Cognitive Society.
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 69,000 on October 28 coincides with the pressure point of 69,000 in yesterday's article by Cognitive Society.
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 67,800 on October 27 coincides with the pressure point of 67,800 in the article of Cognitive Society yesterday.
Bitcoin's lowest point of 65,600 on October 26 coincides with the support level of 66,000 in yesterday's article by Cognition Society.
There is a big discrepancy between the highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on October 25, 68,800, and the pressure point of 69,600 in yesterday's article by Cognition Society

#SOL #ETH #UNI #BTC重返6W8
🔹Cognitive Society Commentary
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 68800 on October 25 has a large discrepancy with the support level of 69600 mentioned in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 68000 on October 24 coincides with the support level of 67700 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's lowest point of 66000 on October 23 coincides with the support level of 66000 in the article from yesterday.
Bitcoin's lowest point of 66400 on October 22 coincides with the support level of 66000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's strong rebound still did not drive Ether.
The small inflow of funds into Ether spot ETFs has not saved Ether's weakness; it's important to know that Grayscale has recently sold very little, indicating that the funds in the market have become completely desperate for Ether, with many whales cutting losses.

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🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin's lowest point of 66,400 on October 22 coincides with the support level of 66,000 in yesterday's article by Cognition Society.
The pressure level of Bitcoin rebound is 68,000-70,000. The selling pressure at 68,000 is not big. The selling pressure at 70,000 is average. The real strong pressure level is actually 73,000.
Because many air forces will be stuck near the previous high and look bearish.
66600 is still a short-term cooperative support level, but when too many people get stuck here to enter the market, the main force will maliciously drop sharply to stop loss, so

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#API3 #APE #BLUR #DYDX #BTC
🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin rebounded to a high of 69,000 on October 20, which is consistent with the pressure point of 69,000 in the article of Cognition Society yesterday.
No one cares about a one-point fluctuation of Bitcoin, but the sharp rise of DYDX BLUR API3 APE is attractive, because few retail investors hold a large position in Bitcoin, while Ethereum altcoins are the main holdings.
Bitcoin chose a short-term direction on October 21, and will continue to be bullish as long as it does not break 6666.
As long as Bitcoin's weekly MACD holds 66666, it will slowly turn positive. This is very important because in the six months since the May crash, Bitcoin's weekly MACD has the potential to be greater than 0 for the first time.

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🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin rebounded to a high of 69,000 on October 19 and there is a big discrepancy between the pressure point of 70,000 in yesterday’s article by Cognition Society
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 68,500 on October 18 coincides with the pressure point of 68,200 in yesterday's article by Cognition Society.
Bitcoin 69,000 triggered a four-hour top divergence. This level of top divergence will continue to be bullish if it falls back to 66,600. The ideal way to play is for Bitcoin to consolidate from 66,600 to 70,000, with repeated top divergences and sharp drops, and use sideways fluctuations to consolidate.
Bitcoin's strong sideways fluctuations have not changed, and Ethereum's weak consolidation has not changed. It is really weak that it has not been able to stand firm at 2720. The cottage industry still has not seen a surge in the general level. The most important reason is that Ethereum is weak and lacks a leader and hot spots.

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🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 68,500 on October 18 coincides with the pressure point of 68,200 in yesterday's article by Cognition Society.
Bitcoin consolidated strongly around 68,000 due to the 2 billion purchase of Bitcoin spot ETF.
The key to the market is that the Ethereum altcoins do not follow the rise, because Ethereum has not stood firm at 2720, and the main altcoins dare not exert their strength, because Ethereum is the leader. Ethereum has reached a very embarrassing moment. Whether the Cancun upgrade and transformation is right or wrong, history will give an evaluation. At present, we are also helpless, because we cannot change whether Ethereum is POS or POW.

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#SAGA #TAO #sats #美国大选   #ETH
🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 66,600 on October 17, a strong consolidation.
As long as Bitcoin holds 66,000 on October 18, it will be a strong consolidation and continue to be bullish.
The surge in Bitcoin this time is mainly due to abnormal buying of spot ETFs in the United States, with an inflow of 1.64 billion in 4 days, which is an invincible buying. Therefore, Cognitive Society always says that Bitcoin is already the Bitcoin of the United States, and Americans have complete control over the pricing power of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin 64600 is the core support level. If it holds, everything will be fine. If it falls below, it will become weak.

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🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 62,300 on October 11 coincides with the pressure point of 63,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's sharp drop to a low of 60,200 on October 10 coincides with the support level of 60,000 in yesterday's article.
The market believes that the CPI data is bearish. Cognition News exclusively analyzes the significance of the CPI data. Bitcoin's support near 60,000 is still a strong rebound.
Currently 63000 is the key for short-term, 64500 66666 is a strong pressure point.
Bitcoin's daily line on October 11 is likely to be a golden needle bottoming out, indicating that the bottom-fishing power near 60,000 in the cognitive society is very important and consistent. The interest rate cuts in November and December are expected, and the specific rate cuts are 25 points to 50 points.

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🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin's sharp drop to a low of 60,200 on October 10 coincides with the support level of 60,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin was rebounding, but the negative CPI data interrupted the rebound.
The CPI data is higher than expected, which is a small negative, but Cognition Society does not think it is that simple, because the unsatisfactory CPI data makes it more likely that the interest rate will be cut by 50 basis points in November; at the same time, the small increase in CPI data also shows that the economy is not in recession, so it is actually neutral strictly speaking.

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#aave #TAO #WIF #trump2024   #doge
🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
Bitcoin's retracement to the lowest point of 61,600 on October 6 is still within expectations, and it is a very strong consolidation.
Bitcoin began to slowly sprint above 62,500, and the altcoins also followed suit, which was consistent with the expectations of the cognitive society the day before yesterday. The altcoins' rebound paid close attention to Bitcoin's 66,600, because many people were trapped on September 30.
The market in September is still very good. If the market rises for half a month in late October, the cottage will slowly stabilize, because the continued volume and stabilization of the monthly line is of great significance to the cottage.

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#aave #TAO #sats #near  #eigen
🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
On October 1, Bitcoin rebounded weakly and then plummeted. Near 60,000 is an important support level.
Bitcoin's weekly critical point is that if it holds 60,000, it can sprint to 65,000. The weekly MACD will hopefully be greater than 0, but
If Bitcoin falls below 60,000 with large volume, the support level of 55,000 will be too far away.
The Fed Chairman said in his speech that the interest rate will be cut by 25 basis points in November and December, and the desire of institutions to buy Bitcoin will decline. Cognition Society believes that this negative impact is not big. In Cognition Society's view, as long as the US economy does not decline and the interest rate cuts continue, the rest is just a matter of time.

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🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
It’s the last two days, and Bitcoin is still consolidating strongly, which is a good thing. As long as it holds at 65,000, it will be bullish.
When Bitcoin fluctuated sideways today, the old batch of altcoins did not take advantage, while the FTT batch of altcoins soared. This is the reason for the rotation of sectors, and also because the early altcoins reached a strong pressure point, and the main force waited and watched Bitcoin.
Currently, Bitcoin mainly relies on Bitcoin spot ETFs. This reliance will bring huge additional funds to Bitcoin and Ethereum due to interest rate cuts. Of course, it may also bring huge risks due to the US election and whether the US economy will decline.

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🔹认知社点评 
和前面半年不一样，这轮比特币反弹不仅带动了山寨的反弹，大量的山寨反弹力度远远超过比特币.甚至山寨出现大量的普涨行情.
在市场绝望的时候希望果然出现了，如果说4月14的暴跌是清理合约，6月18暴跌是清理杠杆，8月5日的灭世大跌则击穿了持仓山寨现货人的最后的希望.
一个山寨跌幅超过51%的时候，后续的暴跌其实和合约关系不大了，因为2倍杠杆都爆仓了，更多的是山寨现货的绝望.
当然包括认知社自己24年山寨也是血亏，跌幅太深，超预期和判断了，SAGA  W PYTH  币安大多数新币的跌幅是8到10倍.
在比特币涨五倍的环境下，新币亏10倍是真的想不到的.
敢于面对问题 才有可能在总结中进步
意淫和马后炮对进步没意义
还有三天就10月，如果比特币站稳67000对市场信心意义巨大，毕竟比特币慢慢的企稳，山寨才能在年底完成底部的建设.
很多山寨到了强压力位，山寨能否进一步暴涨的关键是以太2800的战斗.
以太是山寨的领袖
11月大概率还有一次降息，希望市场越来越好，大家都在市场中，每个人都渴望暴涨，渴望财富.
9月27日比特币反弹最高点66400和昨天认知社文章压力位67000吻合
9月26日比特币回踩最低点62700和昨天认知社文章支撑位63000接近
9月25日比特币反弹最高点64800和昨天认知社文章压力位65000吻合
9月24日比特币回踩最低点62400和昨天认知社文章支撑位62300吻合
9月23日比特币回踩最低点62300和昨天认知社文章支撑位62300吻合
🔹 认知社新闻解读
据TraderT监测，美国现货以太坊ETF昨日净流出10万美元。
美国现货比特币ETF昨日净流入3.6471亿美元。
📍认知社解读：哎如果3亿买以太...........
美国8月核心PCE物价指数月率0.1%，预期0.20%，前值0.20%
美国 8 月核心 PCE 物价指数月率 0.1%（为 5 月以来新低），预期 0.20%，前值 0.20%。
美国 8 月核心 PCE 物价指数年率 2.7%（为 4 月以来新高），预期 2.70%，前值 2.60%。
美国 8 月 PCE 物价指数月率 0.1%，预期 0.10%，前值 0.20%。（金十）
美国核心PCE年率略微上升，降息幅度争论加剧
美联储青睐的核心 PCE 年率 8 月份小幅上升，突显出经济正在降温。此外，实际个人消费支出月率增长 0.1%。美国国债收益率和美元下跌，因市场预期这些数据将使美联储在未来几个月继续降息，同时也加剧了有关降息幅度的持续争论。美联储本月选择大幅降息 50 个基点，开启其降息周期。利率期货数据显示，投资者对美联储是会在 11 月采取类似举措，还是选择幅度较小的举措存在分歧。
📍认知社解读： 如果美国11月降息50个点肯定是大利好，可是降息力度如此巨大，会不会美国经济衰退风险.........
彭博社：TrueUSD的储备中有相当一部分被投资于高风险的离岸基金
彭博社报道表示，TrueUSD 的储备中有相当一部分被投资于高风险的离岸基金，这引发了美国证券交易委员会（SEC）对 True­Coin LLC 和 Trust­Token Inc. 的指控。SEC 认为这些公司对 TrueUSD 稳定币完全由美元或等值货币支持的声明是虚假的。该指控突显了加密货币领域的透明性和信任问题，尤其是在复杂的所有权结构和储备管理方面。
此前，TrueUSD 的储备被转移到巴哈马的银行，且其所有权被转交给一家名为 Techteryx Ltd. 的离岸实体。这样的操作在加密货币领域并不罕见，但由于行业对去中心化和无信任体系的信仰，许多人未曾对这些变化提出质疑。然而，如果 SEC 的指控属实，这将是一个典型的欺诈案例，不仅限于加密货币领域，而是对整个金融监管体系提出挑战。
📍认知社解读： 虽然USDC暴雷过，但是也要配置一点USDC，当时是因为硅谷银行倒闭.
🔹总结：比特币只要站稳65000市场还有反弹的空间， 比特币每次暴跌都是以太的入场机会
24年5月开始是比特币以太的牛市中期 ，每次暴跌都是机会，长线的k线研究重点关注以太次UNI OP  NEAR BLUR和link大饼；
🔹短线数据
免责说明：认知社提供的k线数据分析，是基于数据的分析，不代表任何立场，也没收任何项目方一分钱
🏷比特币
支撑位：64600     63200
压力位：67000     69000
🏷以太坊
2700  2800是关键压力位
以太遇到急跌都是入场机会
布局以太是核心策略.
压力位：2700    2800
支撑位：2620    2580
🏷️SOL
 能否补涨的关键是164
🏷LINK 
准备磨13.2   其实15才是强压力位
新的的价值 新的RWA龙头  暴跌可以配置，认知社22 23年5布局的LINK
🏷uni
 急跌是机会，没涨
认知社认为UNI想起飞需要做将利润回购代币，然后销毁
 压力位：7.6   8
支撑位：7.2   7
🏷️WIF
 2.5不是强压力位 强的是2.8
🏷️BLUR
站稳0.24将反复冲0.3附近
🏷OP
想强势需要站稳2
认知社认为1.2附近的OP还是可以考虑的
压力位：2  2.4
支撑位：1.7  1.6
🏷CRV
想补涨站稳0.36
🏷️JTO  
急跌可以关注，没什么涨   
2.6不是强压力位 ，强的是2.9
🏷️BOME  
补涨了 0.00084不是强压力位   0.00088毕竟压制 
🏷1000SATS
波动极大，严控仓位
   0.00027 是核心支撑位，不破一直看涨；0.00035是短线关键，其实真正的强压力位0.00044
🏷1000RATS
 0.016  0.019是强压力位
1000RATS反弹到成本附近减仓，减仓后降低长线仓位比例，波动太大，一般人受不了
🏷NEAR
5.9不是强压力位 6.5才是强压力位
NEAR23年价格1附近的时候，认知社是独家在near1.3到1提醒定投的
压力位：5.9   6.2
支撑位：5.4  5
🏷️JUP
想补涨估计需要SOL站稳162    1附近是强压力位
🏷AI
跌太深，不是不更新，是只能等
想强势需要站稳0.65
🏷BNB 
  600  660极端重要，关键BNB的周线是不是二顶
地球上，BNB在200附近的时候，认知社独家提醒BNB210到180定投
支撑位：600   590
压力位：620   640
其他等反弹多一点更新
🔹认知对赚钱的态度
认知社不爱马后炮
也不爱和那些KOL鼓吹的什么钱 都赚到的样子
如果币圈哪个人每个币的涨跌都能吃到
一年搭配杠杆不是要赚100亿
可是地球第二大交易所是看着庄家操纵市场的，也才亏几十亿破产了
形成自己的交易系统，赚自己认知范围的钱，不要幻想每天的涨跌都吃，更不要幻想每个币的涨跌都吃，地球不存在这个人，也不存在这种机构，如果有这种机构存在，作为看着主力后台的交易所FTX就不会倒闭.
欲望和能力不匹配
内心永远不能平静
你的内心不平静怎么会能拿住币？
很多人总喜欢暴跌的时候靠别人承诺和保证来拿住币
银行都有倒闭的  甚至有的大国法币都会倒闭的  恒大和中植系几万亿都破产
你以为在加密行业如此高风险的地方，承诺收益的人可信？
神棍信口开河而已，真暴跌和熊市，你见过牛市那些天天鼓吹的人还在吗？

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🔹Reviews from Cognitive Society
On September 25, Bitcoin fell back to 62,600 and rushed to 65,200. It should be said that it is still in the range of fluctuations, but the high point of the rebound has increased.
If Bitcoin can stabilize at 65,000, the altcoin is likely to have a strong rebound. Near the end of the month, if the rebound can last for a month and the monthly line has a big positive line, the altcoin will slowly stabilize.
There is a high probability that there will be another interest rate cut in November. I hope the market will get better and better. Everyone is in the market, and everyone is eager for a surge and wealth.

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🔹Reviews of Cognitive Society
Bitcoin is sprinting towards 64,800. Although it is still consolidating in the range, the pressure of 65,000 still exists.
On September 25, the popularity and strength of the counterfeit market increased, especially the surge in BLUR, which made many brothers feel relieved. Although it has not reached 0.3, it has surged after all.
Don't chase highs in the short term, because the price has risen too much. The biggest hidden danger in October and November is the US election. Trump's victory is naturally the most perfect outcome, but if... there will definitely be a sharp drop.

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#uni #sats #Sui #saga #aave

🔹Reviews of Cognitive Society
On September 22, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 62,300, which coincided with the support level of 62,300 in the Cognitive Society article yesterday.
On September 21, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 62,300, which is close to the support level of 61,800 mentioned in yesterday's article.
On September 20, the highest point of Bitcoin rebound was 64,100, which was close to the pressure point of 63,500 mentioned in yesterday’s article.
64000 still firmly suppressed the market, and the highest point of the rebound on September 22 was 63500, and then fell back.
Although Bitcoin and altcoins have rebounded strongly recently, it is still not possible to say that Bitcoin has stabilized, because Bitcoin's weekly lows continue to decline, and the rebound highs continue to decline, indicating that the market's confidence is still insufficient. Whether Bitcoin can stabilize at 65,000 by the end of September is of great significance.