I haven't spoken for a long time. A lot of big guys who are long have made a lot of money, and then they all see that it is going to set a new high, haha
Have you switched to the weekly chart to see if it has bottomed out, has it reversed?
The weekly chart pattern The plunge on August 5 was the first large-scale decline
Has there been a large-scale decline since then?
It is just a rebound at present, where is the reversal
A 50bp interest rate cut is extremely good for US bonds, how can it be good for virtual currencies
Look at the Bitcoin fund yourself, in the past few days of this week's rise, funds have been significantly outflowed every day...
I don't know who will take the last baton, anyway, it is still high and empty #美联储宣布降息50个基点 $BTC
$ETH

The market has ups and downs. Before the interest rate cut was announced on September 19, all bulls were speculating on expectations, and who stipulated that interest rate cuts would lead to a rise.
It is still the previous judgment that every high is short. There is no weekly level of large-scale decline. A lot of people in the square are shouting to buy the bottom and go long. The fluctuation is 1,000 or 2,000 points. It is not tiring to stare at the 15-minute line every day to enter the market.
The content of the square is getting worse and worse. Compared with Tianya, it is really too bad. Who who really makes money has the leisure to come out and talk about it. Dispersed, sleep $ETH
#美联储何时降息？

Everyone is waiting for Nvidia's financial report. After the release, all the data exceeded expectations. According to many people's thinking, it is a brainless long Bitcoin😊
Berkshire Hathaway has a small number of outstanding shares, and its current total market value is 385.3 billion US dollars. Dashen has 24.6 billion outstanding shares and a total market value of 3090 billion US dollars. According to the analysis of the square god, it continues to rise beyond expectations, rising to 6 trillion, and Bitcoin is 150,000 US dollars. Emm, how to say it, you will feel that humans have fantasies about beautiful things, but they are unrealistic.
Nvidia's current increase has actually reflected the funds' pursuit of it. Don't talk nonsense that AI has just started to develop. According to this logic, is Nvidia going to break through 6 trillion or even 9 trillion? Go and look at the top ten listed companies on the Nasdaq. Does everyone in the world need a 40 series graphics card now? Not really, without this graphics card, it will not affect your life. On the contrary, without a smartphone, your life will be affected, so Apple's current total market value still exceeds Nvidia. This is the logic.
Back to the cryptocurrency world, the current situation is inflation, especially for the second coin. Every time it is pulled up, it is for a decline. The gains of half a year can be lost in one day, but there is no situation where the gains in one day or a few days are recovered.
So at this stage, the strategy is still to close the high and open short. #英伟达财报 $ETH $BTC

The short position at 2733 was sold too early.

The last message tonight, wait half an hour before deciding to open an order, don't think that you didn't buy at the lowest or sell at the highest, you are not a dealer, recognize the money you can make.

Tonight I estimate that the US stock market will fill the gap downwards, there is no only rise and no fall, there is no only 📉 not rise, if the prediction is wrong, it means that the funds still want to continue to rise at this stage, but the US stock market has already had two big positive lines on the weekly line, and another one is unlikely to happen. Everything will have to wait until Powell finishes speaking, and the market will have a clear direction.
Tonight I estimate that the US stock market will fill the gap downwards, there is no only rise and no fall, and there is no only 📉 not rise, if the prediction is wrong, it means that the funds still want to continue to rise at this stage, but the US stock market has already had two big positive lines on the weekly line, and another one is unlikely to happen. Everything will have to wait until Powell finishes speaking, and the market will have a clear direction.
Big pie and two pie, no matter long or short, the probability is 50-50 at present. Now at the halfway point of the mountain, do your own profit and loss points, and then let the market go by itself,

A few words to say
Short at every high. At present, I think that every rise in the price of big cake or second cake is for better cashing out. Because at the current interest rate level in the United States, paying interest is a huge amount of money, so the rise is just for shipping.
So my strategy for the next few weeks will be to short at every high. $BTC
$ETH
#美联储何时降息？

During the weekend, there won’t be much market fluctuation. If you can’t control yourself, just open a neutral grid and let the system run.

Firmly bearish, those who didn't add short orders at the intraday relative high of 2615-2625 today can wait until 9:30 to see if there is a chance to go short at a high position, and the rebound is not strong.
Last night, the US stock market rose sharply, but the currency circle collapsed instead. Ethereum's fund also fell sharply yesterday. The big trend has a long upper shadow on the weekly line. I don't know if the position of 2500 can be supported tonight. If not, it will go to 2300.
The above is just my opinion, and it is in real operation. You can just take a look for fun. #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 $BTC
$ETH

The data is out, the number of people receiving unemployment benefits has decreased, and retail sales are 1%, which has suppressed gold and benefited the US dollar. The relationship between the big cake and the second cake and gold is a rise and fall. Try a light position

$ETH

Pre-market tips
Today, the big and second cakes were weak, and they were sideways in the morning, so I fumbled and opened a grid robot. The investment was small, but it did have a good experience in the volatile market.
The Japanese stock market was not too strong today, but I didn't expect that when it surged in the morning, the big and second did not follow and continued to sideways. It was a bit weird, so I opened a short order to test the waters, and the return was not bad.
Generally speaking, it is unlikely to fall before the release of important data, but 2600 has been broken in the afternoon. I dare not say that it will bottom out again, but with the overall trend and sentiment being weak, let's take a look at tonight's data.
Tonight there are two data, one is the number of people applying for unemployment benefits that week, and the other is retail data. The current retail data forecast is 0.3%. If it is higher than this value, it will ease the concerns about the US economic recession, otherwise it will have the opposite effect.
After the release of CPI last night, the big and second were inserted into the world and eventually fell. It was mainly expected to fall by 50bp. Now this expectation has fallen, because CPI has indeed fallen, but it is still a low point, and it remains to be seen from the Fed's 2% target. If the data tonight continues to be unexpected, it is highly likely that the second test will be made. Whether 2112 can be maintained depends on the next two days.
If you don’t have a position, please wait for it. If you are itching to open a grid, you can play around and wait for the general direction to be announced.

Attached is a screenshot of the grid transaction #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #美国销售数据 $BTC $ETH

Sharing of personal opinions before important data
After the short order was prompted on Monday, I hope that friends who follow my thinking will exit in time. If it brings losses, I am really sorry, because trading is a very lonely thing, and I can't help but want to share my views
This year, I mentioned in the mid-March of domestic futures exchanges with colleagues that most domestic agricultural products and chemical products are currently high in inventory and low in demand. Go short at highs. Cotton 16010 short price, see around 13900, it has arrived, lithium carbonate, 99000 short orders, and I have made money until now, because our electric cars are really super cute and seriously oversupplied. The production and mining costs of lithium carbonate are only about 40,000 to 50,000, and lithium concentrate is a little higher, but it is also in a serious oversupplied stage. The problem is that you see the profit taking during the holding process, especially the short orders, which are simply unholdable...
Back to the topic, the same is true in the currency circle. After I held too high a position in the night trading of Monday, I saw the profit taking back. After all the stop losses, it returned to the position below my average price in less than half an hour. I felt a little powerless looking at the screen, so I started a series of operations that did not conform to my technical judgment, until the funds were only four digits, and then I felt at ease.
I started with 2600u and experienced the first blow-up in my life. After losing more than 2000 for the third time, I started with 2000 parents for the fourth time. I seized the opportunity of the plunge in early August. The account instantly reached nearly 30,000u. After transferring 4000 out, I started to make self-destructive operations again.
When sharing so many personal wins and losses, I want to remind individual investors that if you are a 🈶 trading system, please strictly abide by it. If you make excess profits, make half of it. Only the money you leave this market is yours; open a grid or use one-tenth of the funds to play in the wild in a volatile market. This market can be done at any time. Everyone wants to copy low and sell high, and vice versa, but ask yourself, can you hold a trend order for a week?
The CPI data will be released at 8:30 tonight. It is another game of long and short. If you stand on the right side, your assets will be lost. If you are wrong, you will leave the market. Therefore, the prudent approach is to announce the data, enter the market after the announcement, and run ahead.
Finally, I wish all retail investors can make money and leave the market. $BTC
$ETH

I'd better post a reminder. At present, the big cake and the second cake are a bit decoupled. The second cake did not fluctuate much from the afternoon trend. Yesterday, the short-term stop-profit position was prompted. The first time was 2506, and the second time was 2514. The technical form of short-term double bottoming, combined with the 1-hour MACD turning green, formed a rebound. However, the important thing is here. Take a look at the current one-hour line and daily line of the big cake, and then combine it with the same indicator of the second cake. Do you find any problems? The daily line of the big cake is a downward trend, while the second cake is rising. It is not ruled out that the second cake will have a waterfall at the hourly level before 8 o'clock. The main reason is that the US CPI will be announced on Thursday, so before Thursday, you can make money and leave, or wait and see with a short position. $ETH
$BTC

The second cake fell from its high, and it is expected to be between 2553-2565. Why? Today's intraday high is 2720.78, only 3 points away from the previous high of 2723.77. Then the second cake began to pull back. This round is not greedy. The short order opened near 2680 was placed between 2560-2565. If it breaks through 2551, it will definitely continue to go down. Moreover, during the intraday rise today, the price continued to break through the previous high point. Friends who opened short positions in the middle are likely to stop losses. Trading confidence comes from every experience of your success and failure. No one can help you, not even the so-called teacher who guides you. You can only save yourself $ETH
#交易秘籍 #美国CPI即将发布

It's been almost a month, and I've discovered a phenomenon. The cryptocurrency market is simply a cash machine for the US and Japan. The trends are basically the same. There's Japan during the day and Nasdaq at night. Even if you trade 24/7, everyone is terrified. How many people can hold on to the so-called trend? If making money is so easy, you might as well take a class.

I have suggested to try to go long in the morning. This is also what I have been thinking about recently. Our vision cannot deviate from the trend. Since all technical indicators are upward this morning, we should withdraw from the short position and stand on the side that is favorable to us. After all, we are here to make money. Before we become a giant whale, we should make more money and lose less.

Try to buy in the short term, always thinking that I will try to find the second bottom
Guess today's script, will it rebound in the morning, go sideways in the afternoon, and plummet in the evening$BTC
$ETH

Today, I reviewed the previous big drop and had an idea. Is there a possibility that the second big drop we have been waiting for has already been completed? 😢
It’s just that the speed is too fast, so people don’t feel much
If the second bottoming out is really completed on the same day, then it is not just an oversold rebound, but a new round of market has started, but we haven’t discovered it yet
It does not constitute any investment advice, just sharing of opinions $ETH
$BTC

Soon, the second bottom will come in the next two days$ETH
$BTC

I dare not say anything at the moment. You say continue to test the bottom? This is weak, you say rebound, no matter how you look at it, there is still a needle missing, but I don’t know how deep this needle is and when it will be inserted...
Trading is like this. I am extremely proud of the process of holding positions. I can’t make money from intraday short-term trading. For me, the most familiar thing is trend trading, and I have indeed made a lot of money from yesterday’s plunge, but the saddest thing about human nature is that if it falls, I hope it will continue to fall, and if it rises, I hope it will continue to rise.
Looking back at the previous situation in this round, I have been waiting for the 4-hour line to fall with large volume and close with a long lower shadow, and I waited; after the large volume, there must be a rebound, and I saw it. 2112 rebounded by more than 400 points, but in the middle, I continued to open shorts at the position near 2300-2400, and it was a heavy position, and the result was that the profit was spit out two-thirds. I was reviewing my own operations in the morning. There was no problem with the judgment, but I couldn’t control this greedy heart and hands, because a sharp drop is always the fastest way to make money, but medium- and long-term long orders are always the most profitable in this market.
Finally, let me guess whether it will go according to my idea. The last needle tonight or tomorrow, 2112 will not be broken, and it will quickly rebound between 2120-30. Long orders will be entered, and 2800 will be enough.
$BTC
$ETH