又见炊烟
Frequent Trader
4.6 Years
胜利并非终点，失败也不是末日，唯有勇气才是永恒。
6 Following
120 Followers
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The Essence of Trading
There are two core contradictions in trading. First, although predecessors have summarized countless experiences and lessons, even if we know these lessons, we must try step by step ourselves to truly comprehend the principles within. Relying solely on others' advice cannot lead to self-awareness. Second, learning to trade often requires experiencing significant losses to awaken oneself. However, after going through these losses, very few can persist and ultimately succeed. Many young people, like myself, have fewer opportunities for trial and error, and the cost of mistakes is high, often using the savings accumulated over several years after graduation to try. This poses a huge test for both the body and mind, as well as for the future.$BTC $ETH $BNB
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Today is the first day of February, tomorrow will be the Dragon Raises Its Head. The current market sentiment is extremely fearful, making a prediction that even I can't believe. $BTC will reach a new high within 30 days! We shall see!
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Some are destined by fate, while others have not yet found their opportunity.
February 3, 2025, the sixth day of the Lunar New Year. The entire cryptocurrency market did not welcome the God of Wealth; instead, it faced the largest altcoin liquidation event in history. Within 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the network reached at least 8 to 10 billion US dollars.
Since December 2024, in just under two months, most altcoins have already lost two-thirds of their value. This time, although I entered the market late and with 3x leverage, I still held on to the lucky belief that the 'altcoin season' would rebound. I watched my position continuously lose money, yet I did not stop losses as planned. Until 1 AM, I felt something was wrong; when I woke up, I found that altcoins were still crashing, and my account balance was continuously dropping. I hesitated for about an hour and finally, at 2 AM, I painfully cut my losses and switched to spot trading. At this point, my account balance had not just halved; it had directly dropped to my calf level.
Since December 2024, in just under two months, most altcoins have already lost two-thirds of their value. This time, although I entered the market late and with 3x leverage, I still held on to the lucky belief that the 'altcoin season' would rebound. I watched my position continuously lose money, yet I did not stop losses as planned. Until 1 AM, I felt something was wrong; when I woke up, I found that altcoins were still crashing, and my account balance was continuously dropping. I hesitated for about an hour and finally, at 2 AM, I painfully cut my losses and switched to spot trading. At this point, my account balance had not just halved; it had directly dropped to my calf level.
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$ETH Currently, negative news about ETH is flying everywhere, and the exchange rate of $ETHBTC has reached the lowest point in recent years. From the perspective of the form, the K-line has reached the final stage of the convergence triangle, and the rise or fall will be revealed soon. I personally have a bullish view at present, because the general public believes that Ethereum is dead. Of course, the result will be revealed in the market.
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$TRUMP said yesterday, just now his wife issued the coin, the Solana chain is already congested, the Phantom wallet has crashed directly. The cryptocurrency circle is now in chaos.
$TRUMP Regarding Trump issuing coins, I vaguely feel uneasy. Some people might say, as long as it can make money, who cares how it’s done. Little do they know this is just survivor bias; how many memes open directly to zero, which is no different from gambling. He started as president, and other celebrities can also issue coins. The crypto world no longer needs to be built; we can just gamble. This will lead to many people leaving this circle in disappointment, while also taking away a lot of funds, leaving some people to play these so-called meme bets.
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$TRUMP suddenly thought of a possibility, the president issues currency to attract countless outside funds to come in and take over, similar to Musk's call for Dogecoin in 2021. These people don't even look at the token economics, only worried about buying too late. When the timing is right, the funds that bought in early will escape into other altcoins, leaving new investors trapped there looking bewildered, waiting as they watch other altcoins skyrocket, ultimately unable to resist selling at a loss to chase other high points of altcoins, the bull market ends.
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$TRUMP Regarding Trump issuing coins, I vaguely feel uneasy. Some people might say, as long as it can make money, who cares how it’s done. Little do they know this is just survivor bias; how many memes open directly to zero, which is no different from gambling. He started as president, and other celebrities can also issue coins. The crypto world no longer needs to be built; we can just gamble. This will lead to many people leaving this circle in disappointment, while also taking away a lot of funds, leaving some people to play these so-called meme bets.
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$BTC $ETH $BNB
#altcoins Is the copycat season coming?
It is not that it is not coming, but it is coming flexibly and strategically. It must come, but it must come with a rhythm and foresight. It is not coming casually, but it is coming after careful consideration, planning, and steps, and it is coming with sustainable strategic development.
#altcoins Is the copycat season coming?
It is not that it is not coming, but it is coming flexibly and strategically. It must come, but it must come with a rhythm and foresight. It is not coming casually, but it is coming after careful consideration, planning, and steps, and it is coming with sustainable strategic development.
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$BTC $ETH I knew that the market risk was huge, but I still had a fluke mentality and held a low-multiple long order, and did not close the position according to the previous stop loss price. Black swans are really everywhere, especially the decline of altcoins is unpredictable. I am willing to bear the pain brought by this huge retracement.
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$UTK is really strong, every time it can randomly encounter a dead mouse 🤣
$OSMO
$UTK
$PYR
I scanned the current available coins on An An that have no contracts, and I personally believe these three have a relatively high cost-performance ratio for buying. They are similar in nature to the previous SCRT and ACT, and there is a possibility of sudden price surges later. DYOR
$UTK
$PYR
I scanned the current available coins on An An that have no contracts, and I personally believe these three have a relatively high cost-performance ratio for buying. They are similar in nature to the previous SCRT and ACT, and there is a possibility of sudden price surges later. DYOR
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$UTK 幸好没被打脸🤣
$OSMO
$UTK
$PYR
I scanned the current available coins on An An that have no contracts, and I personally believe these three have a relatively high cost-performance ratio for buying. They are similar in nature to the previous SCRT and ACT, and there is a possibility of sudden price surges later. DYOR
$UTK
$PYR
I scanned the current available coins on An An that have no contracts, and I personally believe these three have a relatively high cost-performance ratio for buying. They are similar in nature to the previous SCRT and ACT, and there is a possibility of sudden price surges later. DYOR
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$OSMO
$UTK
$PYR
I scanned the current available coins on An An that have no contracts, and I personally believe these three have a relatively high cost-performance ratio for buying. They are similar in nature to the previous SCRT and ACT, and there is a possibility of sudden price surges later. DYOR
$UTK
$PYR
I scanned the current available coins on An An that have no contracts, and I personally believe these three have a relatively high cost-performance ratio for buying. They are similar in nature to the previous SCRT and ACT, and there is a possibility of sudden price surges later. DYOR
Translate
【随笔杂谈】-什么是胆识
绝大部分人看到别人挣钱，以为只要学习别人怎么做，他也可以轻松的挣钱。他们总是想积累财富，却又不敢承担风险。这就类似于人们都想长生，现在有一瓶药水摆在他们面前，他们必须在20多岁最快乐的时候做出抉择，喝了药水40％几率长生，60%瞬间死亡。我想绝大部分人不敢冒这个险，等他想冒这个险的时候，已经错过了这个机会。所谓的胆识，并不是你敢做某件事，而是敢承担这件事最坏的结果。一个人看着别人挣钱，一时冲动将积蓄投入交易市场，开着高倍杠杆梭哈，等到爆仓的时候泪眼婆娑，但是市场不会可怜他们。他们入场的时候自认为自己有胆量，开着高倍杠杆，不过是个冲动的魔鬼罢了。一个人想要逆天改命，跨越阶层，胆识是不可或缺的，不仅在交易上，在其他事情上依然适用。$BTC $ETH $BNB
绝大部分人看到别人挣钱，以为只要学习别人怎么做，他也可以轻松的挣钱。他们总是想积累财富，却又不敢承担风险。这就类似于人们都想长生，现在有一瓶药水摆在他们面前，他们必须在20多岁最快乐的时候做出抉择，喝了药水40％几率长生，60%瞬间死亡。我想绝大部分人不敢冒这个险，等他想冒这个险的时候，已经错过了这个机会。所谓的胆识，并不是你敢做某件事，而是敢承担这件事最坏的结果。一个人看着别人挣钱，一时冲动将积蓄投入交易市场，开着高倍杠杆梭哈，等到爆仓的时候泪眼婆娑，但是市场不会可怜他们。他们入场的时候自认为自己有胆量，开着高倍杠杆，不过是个冲动的魔鬼罢了。一个人想要逆天改命，跨越阶层，胆识是不可或缺的，不仅在交易上，在其他事情上依然适用。$BTC $ETH $BNB
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【刻舟求剑】-Prediction of the bottom
Currently, many people believe that $BTC will pull back to $45,000 or even $40,000, and everyone will get on board at that time. This reminds me of the extremely bearish market sentiment in December 2022. After experiencing the situation in November when $BTC fell to $15,000, everyone agreed that $BTC would fall to around $10,000 before getting on board. But the reality is that the price of Bitcoin quickly rose, and $15,000 was gone forever. I vaguely feel that this time is very similar to that time. I firmly believe that it is near the bottom and I am firmly bullish. DYOR
Currently, many people believe that $BTC will pull back to $45,000 or even $40,000, and everyone will get on board at that time. This reminds me of the extremely bearish market sentiment in December 2022. After experiencing the situation in November when $BTC fell to $15,000, everyone agreed that $BTC would fall to around $10,000 before getting on board. But the reality is that the price of Bitcoin quickly rose, and $15,000 was gone forever. I vaguely feel that this time is very similar to that time. I firmly believe that it is near the bottom and I am firmly bullish. DYOR
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【Guessing Mode】-Has $BTC reached the bottom?
差不多53000～54000
53%
还没到40000～50000
29%
远没到30000～40000
18%
114 votes • Voting closed
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