The Panic of Retail Investors! The Great Opportunity in the Crypto World!
Looking back at the last bull market from 2020 to 2021, Bitcoin rose
from the end of September 2020 to December 2020, during which all DEFI
coins were in a correction, and most altcoins were also lying low.
Bitcoin shone alone, rising from 10,000 to nearly double.
The leading DEFI token UNI fell from a low of 8 dollars to 1 dollar;
by February 2021, Bitcoin was nearing 60,000 at its peak, while Ethereum
was still hovering below 2,000. If you review the subsequent trends
in the candlestick chart, you will see that Ethereum doubled
from 2,200 to over 4,000 in just two weeks.
We must recognize one thing: Bitcoin determines the overall trend
of the crypto market, but! The rhythm and lifecycle of altcoins
are different from that of Bitcoin.
#加密ETF申请热潮涌现

History cannot repeat itself, but it is always remarkably similar. Looking back at the bull markets of 2017 and 2021, each bull and bear cycle is accompanied by the timing of Bitcoin halving. According to this pattern, 2025 will be a crazy bull market, and 2026 will enter a bear market. But will ETFs change the cycle and bring the bull market earlier? As of now, we haven't seen that. Only when Ethereum breaks through its historical high of 4800 and Bitcoin stabilizes at 70,000 can we confirm that the bull market has begun. Once the bull market is confirmed, please remember not to change positions. 1. Why not switch back and forth according to market conditions in real time? One reason is that most people's operations really cannot keep up, don't doubt it; another reason is that for beginners, as long as the right targets are selected, not changing positions is already great wisdom. 2. Previously, when a coin was stagnant, some people began to feel anxious, saying, 'Why is it not rising while everyone else is?' #2025加密趋势预测

The Most Stable Trading Strategy for Contracts: Techniques for Making Money with Perpetual Contracts
1. The Most Stable Trading Strategy in Cryptocurrency
Choose the right coins and be a good person. As a leveraged trader, volatility can be magnified by the leverage factor. The primary consideration during trading is not volatility, but certainty.
In a bullish market, go long on strong coins; conversely, in a bearish market, short the weakest coins.
For example, at the start of a new quarter, the strongest performers are eos and eth. When there's a pullback, these two coins are the first choices for going long; during a downturn, shorting Bitcoin is the first choice. Even if the final result shows that mainstream coins drop more than Bitcoin, only shorting or chasing a short position on Bitcoin can greatly reduce the risk of violent rebounds.
Most traders in the crypto space are short-term traders, making it difficult to hold onto ideal exit points during trades. They are also not very skilled at position control and cannot rely on oscillation to average down their positions. Given this situation, for most traders, a good entry price is worth more than anything else.
Once there is a profit, take some off the table to secure gains, and set a stop-loss at the cost price for the remaining portion.
#BTC上攻11万

#市场反弹迹象 1, Coin Holding Method: Suitable for Bull Market and Bear Market; The Coin Holding Method is the simplest and also the most difficult way to play. It is the simplest because it involves buying a certain coin or several coins and then holding them for six months or more without acting. Generally, the minimum return is ten times. However, beginners can easily see high returns or encounter price crashes, leading them to consider changing coins or cashing out. Many people find it difficult to refrain from acting for even a month, let alone a year. Therefore, this is actually the most challenging aspect.

I. Layout for the 2024-2025 Bull Market:
(1) First half of 2024: Accumulate BTC+ at the bottom before the bull market, hold steady until it breaks the previous high of 69,000. Reason: At the beginning of the bull market, BTC's dominance will rise, draining altcoins, and BTC will remain strong.
(2) Second half of 2024: BTC breaks the previous high of 69,000, exchange for ETH*+ hot altcoins: AI, Web3, L2, chain games, metaverse, NFT, social, RWA, decentralized concepts, new public chains, BTC ecosystem, staking, MEME, filter quality coins for layout.
(3) Second half of 2025: Gradually take profits. Short BTC, low leverage long-term short.
II. Second half of 2026: Take profits on short positions. Stage bottoming out: BTC, ETH, quality new projects, layout for a small bull (oversold rebound in the bear market).
III. Layout for the new round of the bull market in 2028-2029.
#比特币市场波动观

#加密市场回调
You have missed the best time to accumulate chips. As a cryptocurrency holder, consistent investment in a bear market and exiting in a bull market is essential. The bull market in 2025 will reach its mid to late stage. If you are a newcomer to the space, now is a good time to buy some Ethereum and exit when it reaches $7000 to $8000 next year. Don’t think about getting rich overnight; take this opportunity to accumulate experience, observe the market, work hard to make money, save well, and wait for the next bear market (when Bitcoin drops by about half) to strike hard and hit the target.

In the cryptocurrency market, there used to be a confrontation between the East and the West. In the past, there would always be market activity both during the day and at night, with the main activity occurring during Western hours, specifically between 21:30 and 7:30 Beijing time. Significant rises typically happen in the early morning, so a qualified trader's routine should involve going to bed at 20:00 and waking up at 4:00 to monitor trades.
1. If there is a continuous drop during domestic daytime, one must buy the dip, as foreigners will pump the market at 21:30.
2. If there is a big rise during the day, do not chase the high, as it will likely fall back at night.
3. The key signal for buying and selling is the 'spike'; the deeper the spike, the stronger the buy and sell signals.
4. Major meetings or positive news will usually lead to a rise, but once it materializes, the price will drop.
5. In group discussions, when the community promotes a coin and speaks highly of it, if you get excited, it’s likely you’ll get burned; consider doing the opposite. If a coin is extremely hot, you can short it immediately.
6. If a friend in the group recommends something and you feel disinterested, it’s likely to take off; when in doubt, it may be worth trying a little bit.

Four Great Kings: ETH, DOGE, SOL, BNB
Four Classic Brands: ADA, LTC, BCH, BSV
Four Leaders: ATOM, DOT, FIL, UNI
Layer Two DeFi: NEAR, OP, ARB, INJ, SSV
#市场调整後的机会？

It has become a common understanding among retail investors that making money in the cryptocurrency market is difficult this round. The small bull market is missing out, Bitcoin is fluctuating at a high position, altcoins have plummeted, and retail investors love altcoins, so making money is even harder to imagine. The only outcome is losses, regardless of whether they are large or small, most people are losing money.
In fact, everyone should feel that from last year to this year, not only is it difficult to make money in the cryptocurrency market, but even working outside is not easy to earn money. The market economy is very poor; previously, it was thought that losing money in cryptocurrency wasn't a big deal since there was still a job to earn from, but now it's also hard to find a job, let alone in the cryptocurrency market.
#加密市场回调

#加密市场狂欢 trade, light positions are fine, heavy positions can also work
When trading, capital management has always been an important
part.
Many people emphasize light positions, saying it can reduce risk; there are also many
people who emphasize heavy positions, saying you need to seize opportunities, as light positions can't achieve that.
So is it light positions or heavy positions?
Actually, it can be considered from several aspects:
First, your ability level. If you are very good at entering the market,
often able to enter at the market's explosive points, then of course you should seize
the opportunity to take heavy positions.
If your entry ability is weak, then light positions are definitely better, with wider stop losses
being more beneficial; otherwise, you will face repeated stop losses.
Second, your level of desire. If your desire is strong, your position should definitely be
heavier; if your desire is small, your position should be lighter.
Third, your risk tolerance. For a single trade, how much loss can you
accept? If your tolerance is high, your position will definitely be
heavier; if you can't accept significant drawdowns, your position will definitely be lighter.

I officially started playing in the cryptocurrency circle* in May 2023. At that time, I had just changed my second job and didn’t have much money. I usually bought 500 or 1,000 a month for fixed investment. I bought all spot coins. At that time, BTC+ was still around 20,000 or 30,000. I felt that the price was too high. To make money, I had to buy ETH+ and other small altcoins. At that time, I was still thinking about fixed investment in spot coins. Later, I saw on Twitter that rndr would explode in the future, so I bought it. I had very little money at that time, and it doubled over time. Later, I became greedy and watched others play contracts I made money, so I started to play with contracts. At that time, there were no concepts such as fund management and position management, and there were no K-lines. I used 20 times leverage, and I would hold the order without stop loss if I lost money. 3. I finally waited until July. I went to see the movie "All or Nothing" at that time. It was also on this day that I lost a lot of money in the contract, more than 100 U. It seems small now, but I felt that I lost a lot of money at that time. I felt very uncomfortable, especially after watching the movie, I felt that the sky was falling, but I still encouraged myself and I could make it back; #加密市场狂欢

Conditions for Selecting a Hundredfold Coin
The last round of hundredfold coins mainly came from new coins launched during the bear market, characterized by
a market capitalization of no more than 500 million USD. The narrative direction focuses on
L2, AI, blockchain games, NFT, DEFI, etc.
1. Project Background and Team Strength
Projects with more institutional investment are worth paying attention to, with a circulation ratio
between 40%-60% after unlocking, and a total market capitalization controlled at below 100 million.
2. Sector and Valuation
The top of the sector should have at least a 1 billion USD valuation, avoid choosing too obscure
sectors. Early hundredfold coins often have poor liquidity,
traded on small exchanges or on-chain.
3. Best Research and Purchase Timing
Choose projects that have been launched for 6-12 months and have a circulation rate greater than 50%.
The price should be low, increasing the number of zeros after the decimal point.
#纳斯达克100指数宣布纳入微策略

Actually, making long trades is the way to earn big money; shorting won't make you profits.
You can try your current strategy; give it a shot, and practice will lead to true knowledge.
Controlling drawdowns is more important than generating profits.
Slow is fast; many people have to lose a lot of money to understand this principle.
Two years ago, I thought I had a deep understanding of this issue.
However, throughout this journey, I feel that my understanding is still not deep enough.
What you can control is actually how much you lose; how much you can earn is determined by the market—small gains, big gains, unexpected gains.
As long as you survive in this market long enough, there will always be opportunities for you.
What we often do is look for opportunities and seek returns.

$AVA Me: "Boss, you said that Bitcoin is too outrageous,
just a bunch of data, a bunch of 'air', how can it rise to nearly
$100,000 per coin?"
Me: "What's wrong with this world? Just because Trump supports this thing?"
Boss: "In fact, I have been puzzled by this problem before, or because there are almost no transactions in this area in China, I have selectively ignored thinking about this aspect for a long time."
Boss: "But recently, with more and more headlines related to Bitcoin, I tried to collect some information to think about and connect the cause and effect relationship. Do you know what I thought of?"
Boss: "I found that Trump and Musk may be creating a new cognition and betting on a future possibility!"
Boss: "When I thought of this, I suddenly realized that my thinking was so limited."
Boss: "To put it simply, the problem I discussed with you is still how to make more delicious instant noodles. Others directly reduce the dimensionality and engage in takeout."
Collapse

$XRP XRP
After a recent surge, the price of XRP is entering a
downward channel and may be in a consolidation phase. The key support levels are
$2.20 and $1.90. Although the downward trend of MDIA
indicates a potential strong rebound, a breakdown below these supports
could trigger further declines. If XRP can regain
stability above $2.50, it may challenge $2.80 again,
but short-term volatility should not be ignored.

$ME 1. Seeing everyone around me making money, I made a small profit
(+20%)
2. I feel that making money is too easy, I am the chosen one
(+100%)
3. I started to regret my low position, rushing in with full investment only to get stuck at the peak
(-20%)
4. Anxious to break even, joining various news groups, trading groups, and dogecoin groups, because I didn't understand, I was harvested by various smart players, feeling tortured and completely worn out
(-50%)
5. I began to think that contract traders were all liars, started to fall in love with value investing, and began to play long-term spot trading. At first, I was full of confidence, but after 2 months, it dropped by 30%, and I started to doubt myself. Plus, with various negative news flying around, I reflected deeply and decided to sell first, planning to buy back when it drops
(-80%)

How long will this bull market last?
It's that time again for the once-every-four-years honey tangerine (BTC+) harvest season,
honey tangerines breaking 150,000 dollars is just around the corner, so how long will this
bull market last? Currently, based on various topping indicators,
the bull market will likely end in 2-4 months, most likely wrapping up in
February-March 2025, and it won't last until mid-year or even the end of next year as
many wishful thinkers imagine!!!
Not selling at the top means four years of hard work will be in vain, so
farmers must take profits in batches at the top!
On December 2, 2024, the altcoin* prosperity index reached 75,
indicating the final leg of the bull market has begun, and according to this indicator,
the bull market is expected to end around mid to late February.
$MOVE

$FTT In China, the vast masses have two dreams of getting rich: the first is to buy lottery tickets, and the second is to buy stocks and speculate. As far as I know, the probability of earning 5 million through lottery tickets is one in ten million, and you also have to pay 20% tax, so you only end up with 4 million. This means you need to win 5 million eight times to achieve financial freedom, a probability equivalent to that of you mutating into Spider-Man; therefore, achieving financial freedom through the lottery is unrealistic.
The other path is stocks and speculation, a difficult yet reliable way to get rich. I believe that friends who enter the market without systematic learning and purely gamble will not have a much higher probability of achieving financial freedom through speculation than through the lottery.
Every lottery player has the same probability of winning 5 million, but the probability of financial freedom is different for each investor. Some people have a 100% chance of achieving financial freedom, some have a 1% chance, and some have a one in ten thousand chance.

$COMP When I first entered the cryptocurrency space, I was into mining.
Many big names in the industry told me not to trade coins, not to
play with contracts.
Later in March, I saw the price of FIL surge and thought it would
increase further, so I decisively used the mined coins + a little cash to leverage
FIL * 3, buying at the peak and after two days of earnings, I didn't know when to exit, encountered a big pullback, and lost
7000 in one day. At that time, everything felt dark; I had spent so little on a 1T mining machine, and I lost that amount in one day. I left with my tail between my legs. Later, when the price pulled back to 1200,
I thought this time I would buy the dip, as it was falling so sharply every day that I couldn't miss the opportunity. Again, I foolishly charged some USDT to buy FIL * -3. As a result, I lost another 5000 before exiting...
C

$AMP First: Do not operate with a full position, always maintain a certain proportion of
reserve funds:
Second: Buy and sell in batches to reduce risk, average down
costs, and amplify returns. The advantage of buying in batches
downwards and selling in batches upwards is that your
average price is lower than others, resulting in higher
returns.
Third: When the market is weak, hold a light position; in a bear
market, it is best not to exceed half a position. In a strong
market, you may take a heavier position, and in a bull
market, it is recommended that the maximum position is 80%,
with the remaining 20% for short-term or reserve funds to
deal with unexpected events.
Fourth: As the market changes, make corresponding
adjustments to your positions, appropriately increasing or
decreasing your holdings.
Fifth: During a sluggish market, you can hold a short-term
empty position and wait for opportunities.
Sixth: Position switching: retain strong cryptocurrencies,
sell off weak cryptocurrencies.