I've been trading for almost 17 years, 9 of which have been in cryptocurrency. So far I have seen bull market 3 times and dozens of declines. I started on Wall Street and lived through the global crisis of 2008. I mined bitcoin in 2012 and ethereum in 2015. Experienced its ups and downs before and after the Covid crash when all coins lost 50% of their value every day. Saw the fall of FTX when #BTC lost 40% of its value in a few days. I remember well over those 10 years all the excited talk when Bitcoin was rising and how the mood of the crowd changed when it fell. A time when there weren't all those useless memcoins and other shitcoins and blockchain technology was actually considered something mysteriously innovative, not a means of speculation like it is now. There used to be no fear and greed index, but just like now people had a fear of falling, which turned into panic terror. And after a while it turned into blind optimism and desire to invest the last penny in crypto in the hope of getting rich. That's why I look at the market realistically and without enthusiasm when it grows and without fear when it falls. Right now I see that we are in a correction phase, that's why I'm talking about it. When the time comes, I'll say we're going up... but not now.
#binance #Bitcoin #DeFi $BTC #Ethereum

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(you won't read that anywhere else) Bitcoin's trajectory according to "The Bitcoin Power Law Theory". This is an analysis based not on my personal experience, but on a quantum analysis algorithm and time-tested mathematical laws that accurately describe bitcoin's growth for over a decade.

The core tenet? Bitcoin's price, hash rate, and adoption are intricately bound in a perpetual cycle, each growing relative to the other per precise power law relationships.
With Bitcoin retesting $59,000 post-ATH, power laws suggest this pullback could extend further before reversal. At ~600 EH/s hash rate, a $53,000-$56,000 price floor aligns with the theoretical price to square-root-of-hash-rate relationship.

This underscores last month's surge beyond $70,000 as an unsustainable, emotional "bubble" requiring resets before new uptrends. However, these boom/bust cycles are "punctuated equilibria" - temporary deviations from Bitcoin's overarching power law growth curves, ultimately required for equilibrium.
Once this frothy bubble purges, the cubic (t^3) institutional adoption growth can regain footing, positioning Bitcoin for a $65,000-$75,000 range over 3-6 months as power laws reassert.

Then, projecting historic adoption growth rates and price's squared relationship to adoption, Bitcoin trajectories point to $100,000 in late 2025 and potentially beyond $120,000 by mid-2026. The Theory illuminates this path amid cycles - steady adoption driving growth, punctuated by dissolving bubbles. Stay focused on immutable power laws, not transient emotions. Therein lies logic's triumph.

In conclusion: this is a forecast according to quantum algorithmic analysis combined with "The Bitcoin Power Law Theory". It does not take into consideration speculative factors of "ETFs", "Black Swan" and simple human stupidity and greed, which move the market. Anticipating your questions like "I don't understand anything, should I buy or sell", I'll answer: "it's better to wait for now, but I expect it to fall to at least 53k"
#Bitcoin #BTC #binance $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
I don't want to upset you, but today unexpectedly arrived several very important and contradictory news, which can definitely affect the further movement of Bitcoin. Following this news, BTC has recovered after falling to $56.5k and is holding around $59,000. This is a very important level that should not be broken up and consolidated above so that the downward trend continues to work.

First of all, the news concerning Hong Kong ETFs. It turned out that Hong Kong crypto-ETFs attracted $292 million on the first day of trading, not $12 million. This is confirmed information. The reason for the discrepancy is that the assets that were invested as initial capital right before the launch were not counted as volume. This is definitely a good driver for BTC growth. But it's still too little...

The second piece of news in support of Bitcoin is that transaction fees on the Bitcoin network have decreased and are now coming to normal. The reason is that the hype around the #Runes protocol is subsiding. Because of which in April Bitcoin updated the historical maximum in the number of transactions per day. This is also a good driver for Bitcoin's growth in the long term, but it is still not enough to break the downward trend....

Bottom line: I think that the current Bitcoin growth is just a local rebound and Bitcoin will still go down to at least $53,000. This news is not enough to change Bitcoin's trajectory in the near future, but it may be enough to start the liquidity overflow into altcoins and create growth drivers for the altcoin season. To be honest, I get too many messages with questions in the comments about where to invest money, which altcoin to choose and how to live further, I will answer briefly - read carefully what I write, so as not to ask me again later. I don't have time to answer all comments even considering the fact that I use an algorithm for this purpose. Appreciate your time my little friends and be patient, this May promises to be interesting...
#BTC #binance #Bitcoin $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(optimism holiday canceled) Yesterday was a very important and difficult day for Bitcoin, which started a new local trend down. The FED rate remained unchanged, Powell's rhetoric was dovish, which should have helped BTC grow. However, Bitcoin made a small local bounce upwards and went down again. Bitcoin also consolidated under the previously impenetrable support at $59,000, which has now become equally impenetrable resistance. If such strong news engines could not help the growth, I am afraid to even imagine what further movement awaits us. One thing is clear: there will be no flight to the Moon. The show is canceled, so you can turn in your tickets and go home...
#BTC #binance #Bitcoin $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(fall gaining momentum) I am not a fan of technical analysis but today is a special day. A big event, as a classic and obvious bearish engulf pattern has formed on the monthly chart of Bitcoin. The pattern consists of two candles, with the second red (bearish) candle completely overlapping or engulfing the body of the previous green candle. It usually appears on the market after a rapid growth and means a price reversal at the top in the opposite direction, i.e. downwards. This is a strong and reliable signal that shows that the strength of buyers has dried up. So I am not changing my target, but I am assuming a small bounce up after a sharp fall before we go lower. By the way, I want to say that I dislike techanalysis because of its subjectivity and misinterpretation of the man looking for signs and hints everywhere. I prefer algorithmic quantum analysis. But today is an exception. I didn't expect much use from candlestick patterns, but even a broken clock is right twice a day...
#BTC #Bitcoin #BullorBear $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(falling exactly as planned) Here we are, breaking strong support in the $59,000 area. No surprises, everything is going strictly according to the plan of the Great Fall I was talking about earlier. The next target for BTC is 53k. Nevertheless, at the bottom there will be a strong buyback, so it will be shaky both ways. Just in case I will repeat for the especially gifted, do not get into the market and wait until at least mid to late May. Though if you are a kamikaze pilot, then only go ahead...
#BTC #binance #Bitcoin $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(the fun is just beginning) Bitcoin is showing weakness as expected. Yesterday I answered in comments that there are no drivers for growth, but there are a lot of arguments for falling. I answered that the Hong Kong ETF is just dust compared to the American ETF and has no influence on the price, at least for now. Who wants to hear - hears, who doesn't want to hear - sits in deep trouble. I will not get tired of repeating for the 20th time that any growth now is just a bull trap for liquidity gathering and profit taking by big market players. But blind optimists cannot be defeated by arguments, so we have what we have. Hundreds of millions of dollars of liquidations in a couple of hours, most of which are buy positions. Lots of liquidations to sell, too. For the especially gifted, I repeat - do not enter the market now unless you have experience of driving an inflatable boat in a 10-ball storm...
#BTC #binance #Bitcoin $BTC

#BTC
#dump
(market turbulent days are coming) Now is the worst time to enter trading positions. Especially dangerous to open buy positions, as the market, despite its deceptive calmness, can surprise you very much. And here are the reasons...

First of all, on April 30, Changpeng Zhao (the founder and former CEO of Binance) will be sentenced. This event is not so clear cut, and I believe that the US may give him a 3 year prison sentence as an example to others. This will negatively affect the cryptocurrency market in general and the price of BNB in particular. On the other hand, positive news on this event will lead to local growth, which I mentioned in my previous forecasts. This will allow Bticoin to grow a bit, gather liquidity and take profits before a further fall.

Secondly, on May 1, there will be the US Fed interest rate decision and labor market data. No interest rate cut is expected and although this is already built into the price, the pressure on risky assets and cryptocurrency remains. This means that the rule 'sell in May and go away' may turn out to be not just a hilarious phrase, but a reality. So I'll say it again - stay away not only from buying, but preferably from selling also until end of May as the market can go both ways on this roller coaster...🎢
#binance #Bitcoin #BullorBear $BTC $BNB

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(fall as planned) Bitcoin has returned to the $64,000 area after a slight decline and is holding in a range. Local growth is needed only for one purpose - to gather liquidity and take profits, and the higher bitcoin grows now, the harder and sharper it will fall later. I am very pleased to see the optimism of crypto-enthusiasts, who celebrate any micro growth of bitcoin by 1-2 thousand and immediately start shouting that we are going up. I am also happy to see the fear and greed index rising and sentiment towards BTC growth. This shows that the plan to trap the bulls is working perfectly and as soon as we reach profit taking levels at the top, Bitcoin will rocket downwards. But until it breaks support $59,000, Bitcoin is still in the range. I look forward to 1,000 of your poisonous comments - they are fuel and a storehouse of inspiration for me.
#Bitcoin #binance #BTC $BTC

#Bitcoin
#dump
(the Great Fall is coming) Those who are very sensitive, please do not open this message and do not read it, it may harm your fragile optimistic psyche. The rest of you, those who are in the position to realistically accept the truth of life are welcome in the comments. Now to the point...

I am not one of those who say "I told you so" and nevertheless my prediction on the decline is working exactly. I'm still waiting for a BTC test of the $59,000 level and a likely bounce up before the big drop. There is only one point that confuses me. The narrative on the crypto market as a whole is starting to get much more negative than I expected. Regulators from the US are pushing harder, SEC harassment of cryptowallets and the decline in the fear and greed index are just the first bells telling us that Rocket to the Moon is off, and at best we will see a drop to $53000 in the next month and then consolidation in a range for a long time. In the worst case, we will see bloody rivers flowing through the cryptocurrency streets. Optimists will swamp themselves in these rivers, but those who look realistically at the market, know that correction is inevitable, it always was, is and will be between periods of growth. So don't panic friends, get your boats and oars ready to calmly navigate the rivers of blood of optimists...
#BTC #binance #BullorBear $BTC

#BTC
#dump
(bad news) Friends you know how much I hate to upset you, and yet I have to do it so that the truth remains the truth. And there are two truths now. First, as before I expect the crypto market to fall after Bitcoin breaks through the strong resistance around $59,000. As a minimum, I set $53,000 as the downside target. And that was good news. Now the bad news... I expected that bitcoin could fall to $45,000, which is a great level, not critical for the market, which will allow the market to recover and give it strength for further growth. But I am now seeing an accumulation of negative sentiment and talk of a deep bitcoin drop to 40/30/20k. The market is always going against the crowd, so I don't rule out that we could go up a bit to dislodge this negative sentiment and then plummet straight down to $53,000. In any case there will be a fall, only it may hit you in the balls harder than I expected... Stay strong friends and be patient, don't let the calm in the market confuse you, the roller coaster is still ahead...
#binance #Bitcoin #BullorBear $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(this indicator shows an imminent crypto market dump) I found one non-obvious but great indicator of greed and idiocy. As long as it rises for no reason, as it is now, healthy growth of bitcoin and the entire crypto market can be forgotten. Meet PEPE. This graph of the junk shitkion shows how stupid and greedy the crowd is, and such conditions always, I repeat - ABSOLUTELY ALWAYS lead to opposite results. And what are the opposite results of growth? I think the question here is not whether Bitcoin will fall, but how soon it will...
#BTC #Bitcoin #PEPE $BTC $PEPE

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
take a very close look at this chart prepared by my quant analytics department. Do you see Bitcoin rising to 120k in the near future? Or do you see BTC rising to 100k? Or maybe 80k? In my humble opinion, backed by impenetrable logic and years of trading experience, all optimistic crytpo-enthusiasts will be shaken out of the market. It awaits all those who like to buy Bitcoin with big leverage. It won't happen right now, it will happen a little later when we gain more liquidity at the top and when the optimism grows even more. I don't envy everyone who has bought tickets for front row seats on a rocket to fly to the Moon...
#BTC #Bitcoin #BullorBear $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(growth will not continue without a correction) My previous near-term target for Bitcoin is still $53,000. The only thing I can say is that now there are all chances to make a small local growth, as there is not enough strength for a good fall and breaking the strong support at $60,000. The bulls have no strength for growth at all, and yet the price is trying to grow, which is simply due to the desire to gather liquidity higher and fix their profits of large investors who are tired of waiting for BTC at 100k and just want to take profits. In favor of my prediction is also the mood of the crowd, which again went wild buying all sorts of memcoins, shitcoins and other garbage, and the fear and greed index is again growing in the direction of exorbitant greed. This means only one thing - cryptooptimists have not yet learned the lesson, and as we know "repetition is the mother of learning"....
#BTC #bitcoin #BullorBear $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#ETH
(first signs of the altseason) As Bitcoin hangs around 66k in the middle of the range, liquidity is starting to flow into some altcoins. I am sure Bitcoin will fall, and there is no doubt about the correction, but it may not be so drastic and sudden. In previous times when Bitcoin fell, the market just collapsed and BTC.D (domination) still grew. Now I assume that when Bitcoin falls, altcoins will not fall so much and so fast, and Bitcoin dominance will gradually decrease. I think ETH is next in line in terms of growth. It has all the fundamental signs to grow, and in fact only Bitcoin's instability and possible prolonged correction prevent it from doing so quickly. That said, I don't consider meme/shitcoins a good investment. Look very carefully at buying, and definitely shouldn't do it now even with leverage of x3 or more. But personally, I've bought a bit of ETH on the spot, although I do allow Etherium to drop even to $2400 in the worst case scenario. For bitcoin, the target is still the same 53k. Don't forget to leave your wonderful and very useful comments.
#BTC #bitcoin #Binance $BTC $ETH

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(Bitcoin's uptrend is coming to an end) Bitcoin has gotten so boring and slow the last couple weeks that all the fire of wanting to fly "to the Moon" has been quickly extinguished. The Fear & Greed Index has already managed to drop to its lowest level in the last 3 months. But it didn't last long, and just the next day it started to rise again. This still means that most people believe in further growth, which is certainly in the hands of market makers to fix their profits and shake everyone else out of the market. People desperately don't want to believe in the end of BTC growth. This blind faith will be paid for by the loss of deposits, liquidations, and snot smeared all over Binance Square. But in the meantime, my previous prediction stands, we should go up a bit, collect liquidations there, lock in profits there and drop back down, breaking through the $60,000 support level and consolidating below it. Remember the more you hear cries along the lines of "crypto is a scam", the closer the next phase of growth will be... but it won't be anytime soon.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BullorBear $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(halving passed, falling as planned) After Bitcoin's halving, as expected, there were no big changes in the price movement, as everything was put into the price a long time ago. However, the price is still treading in the middle of the range around $65,000 showing the obvious weakness of the bulls. But! The necessity of correction for further continuous growth is obvious, and this fall needs fuel. And this fuel will be long positions opened at the top in the area of 67-70k, which can be used by big players to fix profits. Besides, there is a huge amount of liquidations accumulated in the area of 70-72k, and it would be rash not to enter there with a very fast squeeze to take liquidity and rocket down to 53k minimum. There is also an option that the bulls will not be strong enough even to reach 67k and we will just go down from the current levels. The fact is that we are going down and this fall will not end quickly...
#BTC #Bitcoin #BullorBear $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(how to make money on the future fall of Bitcoin) Everyone knows how to make money on the growth of Bitcoin, you take money out from under the pillow, from grandma's chest or from a jar buried in the vegetable garden and go All-in in Bitcoin.... and wait... But it happens (very rare, but it happens) that the market may not grow. There are many objective and not so objective reasons for this. Profit fixation of large dealers, growing tension in the world, periods of tax payments in the U.S., the general level of inflation and even a simple correction caused by overbought assets. And here you are sitting in front of the Bitcoin chart on the screen 24/7, and there are 10 red rectangles with sticks for one green rectangle with sticks. And you don't like what you see, because green = good and red = bad. But sometimes (very rare but possible) you can make money on the fall of Bitcoin. For example, right now BTC seems to have turned green to 65k. Is it the best time to buy? Maybe, but definitely not Bitcoin. Bitcoin is now in the middle of the range, at the bottom supported by the strong level of 60k and the optimists' belief in a bright future. At the top there are no strong levels but there are market makers and miners fixing their profits. Therefore, in such a market (when Bitcoin declines to local resistances) one can cautiously buy heavily oversold altcoins (not shitcoins), and sell locally Bitcoin when it grows to new ATH. This is all relevant until the correction is over and the market has moved into a new phase of growth.... i.e. now
#BTC #Bitcoin #bitcoinhalving $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(Bull Trap #2) Bitcoin surged to $65,000 and in the same second everyone changed into optimists and forgot about the signs of correction. Being an optimist is good in life, in trading you need to be realistic. Why think with your head when it is better to buy on the highs and sell on the lows? And the fact that this is happening only confirms my confidence in further decline. Whether it is further local growth, even up to 72, even up to the new ATH, as I have already said, it will lead only to an even greater and dramatic fall. What we have seen now was not a correction, it is still a range between 60k and 72k. Only breaking out of it downwards will lead to a cumulative effect of correction, and breaking upwards will just lead to a new ATH and a drastic return downwards again. You should not go long on bitcoin. It is my duty to warn you, and your duty to leave me 1000 poisonous comments here
#BTC #Bitcoin #bitcoinhalving $BTC

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥
#dump
(big storm expected) Bitcoin is quiet before the big move and is consolidating in a range at the lower boundary of strong resistance at around $60000. At the moment BTC has gained some strength around $63-64k to gather liquidity at the top as always, trap the bulls and continue to fall. The historical volatility index shows that a big move is coming soon. The main direction of the move will be down. Forget the bullrun, forget growth. A correction has come to the market and the fear and greed index is going down every day, but not enough. It must fall at least to 40, or better to 20, which will mean that hope is gone and there is no light at the end of the tunnel. And then the bottom will come... and we will start to go up to the Moon...
#BTC #Bitcoin #bitcoinhalving $BTC