Good afternoon, brothers. The past two weeks have allowed everyone to hold and buy the dip. Now it's time to reap the rewards. Our analysis accurately predicted the market trends, The cryptocurrency market has launched a major counterattack. Today, the BTC mining hash rate once reached a historic high of 1000 EH/s, which is double that of a year ago. An increasing hash rate indicates more people are mining, The cost for miners to obtain BTC is getting higher, which is beneficial for the price increase. According to macromicro's calculations, the current cost for miners to obtain BTC is around $88,000. When the BTC price significantly deviates from the miners' costs, for example, when mining can earn over 30% (currently at $113,000), the risk for BTC becomes very high, because with large profits, miners will start to sell. Currently, the BTC MACD daily chart has just formed a golden cross. The big moves are still to come; returning to high points is not a problem. The major trends are as follows: (1) The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is still ongoing, with possibly three rate cuts in 2025, likely in March, June, and September. (2) Trump is about to take office, and expectations of BTC being included in the national reserves persist (regardless of whether it can be realized). (3) In the long term, the consensus around BTC continues to grow: 3.1 After Trump takes office, U.S. tariff policies exacerbate de-globalization, prompting other countries' central banks to buy BTC. 3.2 Expanding debt pressures affect the credit of the dollar, enhancing the status of BTC. Be patient, hold on, don't miss out, and don't short.
GRT AI Track Edge Material Daily MACD Golden Cross Bottom Divergence Spot can enter in batches at 0.21-0.2 Stop loss at 0.195 Contract entry near 0.2 Target 0.23-0.25
The pressure pullback near BTC4h98000 is currently average on the 4h chart. Pay attention to the support near 95000 and the pressure at 98000, which remains unchanged for now.
eth Pay attention to the support at 3400; if it holds, it may continue to rise.
move You can continue to focus on 0.9-0.88 during the day.
Good afternoon, brothers. The US stock market plunged after opening last night, leading to a drop in BTC, which is also a risk asset.
On-chain data shows two trends: (1) Stablecoin inflow for bottom fishing (2) A total inflow of over 5000 BTC into Binance and Coinbase
Regarding ETFs, BlackRock and FBTC data have not yet been released, while other ETFs have seen outflows of $200 million.
Is there no bull market? Let's analyze from several aspects.
There are two reasons for this correction: (1) Normal pullback after a significant increase (2) Fluctuations after the expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts are released
However, there are several larger trends: (1) The Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle is still ongoing, with the possibility of three rate cuts in 2025, potentially in March, June, and September. (2) Trump is about to take office, and the expectation of BTC being included in national reserves is still present (regardless of whether it can be realized). (3) In the long term, consensus on BTC continues to grow: 3.1 After Trump takes office, US tariff policies intensify de-globalization, prompting central banks of other countries to buy BTC. 3.2 Expanding debt pressure affects the credit of the US dollar, enhancing BTC's status.
Facing the 60-day moving average of BTC and a three-week-long adjustment, A significant rebound is expected after New Year's Day. BTC will return to the $100,000 mark.
Funds can be used to bottom fish BTC, Uni, BNB, Kaia, Doge, FTM, and other coins. BNB has performed strongly over the past week and is expected to break through $900 in Q1 next year.
Good afternoon, brothers. Generally speaking, the weekend market is the most sluggish time. On Friday, U.S. stocks fell sharply across the board, affecting the price of BTC, which is also a risk asset. When the market opens tomorrow, some people may panic about the U.S. stock market's performance after it opens. Therefore, BTC may have a small drop today, potentially retesting $93000.
BNB is quietly rising, and the daily MACD has formed a bullish crossover. After BTC stabilizes, it will rebound, and BNB should reach $850.
FTM has not performed well, but there is no need to worry. This coin can be manipulated from $0.27 to $1.4 by the market maker. The market maker's strength is still substantial. Currently, it has adjusted properly, and returning to above $1 is still easy.
We previously analyzed that USDT would rise, due to 1. The strong momentum of the U.S. economy 2. The threat of severe tariffs from elected President Trump. Currently, the U.S. dollar index has risen to 108, moving towards its best annual performance in nearly a decade. However, extremes may lead to reversals; the dollar may correct partially next week. A drop in the dollar is favorable for BTC's rise.
Therefore, our prediction for the market is as follows: BTC may retest $93000. In the first few days of next week, it may fluctuate while waiting for the U.S. stock market to stabilize. After ETF funds continue to flow in, BTC will return to the $100,000 mark. Altcoins will follow, with more altcoins rising by over 20%.
Good afternoon, brothers , BTC hits the 100,000 mark again, The copycat has not followed yet, and the market is short of funds.
Let's look forward to the big market, does BTC have support, Can it break through the previous high?
Yesterday, the Russian Finance Minister said that Russia is using Bitcoin for international trade, This is the result of legislative changes that allow such use in response to Western sanctions. He believes that cryptocurrencies have unique advantages in mitigating risks associated with sanctions, inflation, and currency fluctuations.
This year, Russia allowed the use of cryptocurrencies in foreign trade, and took measures to legalize the mining of cryptocurrencies.
The recent strong rise in BTC may be related to the fact that Russia and Iran, countries sanctioned by the United States, secretly bought BTC. It is unknown whether the Chinese government is secretly buying it. But Russia is now a real hammer.
As Trump's inauguration date approaches, some US states have begun to test the waters in advance: Trying to include BTC in the strategic reserve of state finances.
In the past few days when BTC fell, On December 17, Ohio proposed a bill to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the state.
Texas proposed a bill in December to establish a Bitcoin reserve. In November, Pennsylvania proposed to use 10% of the state general fund to purchase nearly $1 billion worth of Bitcoin. By 2025, it is estimated that at least one US state will establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Cities outside the United States, such as Vancouver, may also establish Bitcoin reserves. These are all factors that drive BTC up. BTC is strong, and copycats benefit from it. Therefore, there is still room for fun in the currency circle.
Good evening brothers Yesterday BTC dropped to a low of over $92000, but a strange phenomenon occurred this time where many altcoins remained stable during the decline Especially our recommended BNB performed strongly, once rising close to $700 From on-chain data, there are slightly bearish signals 1. Stablecoins flowed out of exchanges, and the current reserves are at the level of December 7 2. 5000 BTC flowed into exchanges, mainly from Binance Yesterday the ETF saw outflows exceeding $84 million, marking the third consecutive day of outflows However, the issue is not significant The next two days will be to defend the $92000 level After the Christmas holiday, many large institutions are expected to return to the trading market, which will likely activate quickly and sound the counterattack horn. If BTC stabilizes without falling, even if it doesn't rise Then it is possible to welcome a season of lucrative altcoins Recommended dollar-cost averaging: Uni, FTM, BTC, BNB During this period, dollar-cost averaging suggestions: Uni, FTM, BNB, BTC Follow the rhythm of the community, escape when it's time to take profits When it's time to mine, don’t hold too much, the community will ride the waves together with you.
Congratulations to the brothers who got on board, FXS has already made a profit
颜宝宝
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BTC Weekly close is not very ideal, resistance level 97000/98000-100000 Small level support 94000-92000, possible rebound in 4h ETH Support level 3200-3100, resistance level 3350-3500, temporarily follows Bitcoin FXS Pay attention to the pullback at 2.4-2.45, can be monitored within the day
BTC Weekly close is not very ideal, resistance level 97000/98000-100000 Small level support 94000-92000, possible rebound in 4h ETH Support level 3200-3100, resistance level 3350-3500, temporarily follows Bitcoin FXS Pay attention to the pullback at 2.4-2.45, can be monitored within the day
Daily News 2024/12/22 Brothers, good weekend, From on-chain data, from yesterday to today (1) The BTC deposited to exchanges is not much and is stabilizing. (2) The buying power of stablecoins is average, with a slight outflow. Accompanied by a big drop, the outflow of 10,000 BTC from exchanges the day before yesterday indicates that large funds are again bottom-fishing, mainly from Coinbase. In this round of significant decline, Binance has seen inflows. From yesterday to today, the willingness to bottom-fish in the crypto circle is average, but the selling power is also insufficient. Currently, the funds affecting the market are not from the traditional crypto circle, nor from the old retail investors on exchanges, but from traditional finance's old money, which will need to be revealed on Monday. Let's see if ETFs can continue to attract funds for bottom-fishing (ETFs have seen a total outflow of 800 million USD over the past two days). Due to the Fed's hawkish policy last week, the US stock market fell sharply, and the crypto market also dropped. Additionally, the PCE data was lower than expected, cushioning the expectation that the Fed will not cut interest rates. Trump has already boarded the crypto ship and will spare no effort to promote BTC's rise, which should have another wave. BTC has a chance to break new highs before Trump’s inauguration on January 20. Therefore, the main trend next week is still to look for a rebound. Follow the rhythm of the community; when it's time to escape the peak, escape!
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Good morning, brothers. Although the market has been unpredictable these past two days, we have navigated through the fog to grasp the overall direction and emphasized holding on. Currently, BTC has broken new highs, and ETH has also surpassed $4000.
Investment is about controlling the overall direction. If you get it right, it’s all profit, it's just a matter of earning more or less. But if you guess blindly without logic, you'll either miss out or lose money by shorting.
This week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan will announce their interest rate decisions. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will remain steady. In addition, the U.S. will announce the November PCE and the third-quarter real GDP data.
Economic data has little short-term impact on the crypto market, but it determines the extent of next year's pullback.
Upcoming strategies: 1. Hold onto various cryptocurrencies and take partial profits after they rise. 2. Do not chase after coins that are surging; being stuck can last for months.
Hello brothers, good weekend. Since Friday, the market has felt sluggish. Is something big about to happen? Is it going up or down?
First, let's take a look at the K-line. BTC has been consolidating from its high on November 22 to December 15, maintaining strength for over 20 days, with the bottom getting higher and higher. Last time it dropped to $94,000, it rebounded quickly.
At the same time, BTC has been flowing out of exchanges. On the 11th, Binance saw over 10,000 BTC flowing out, indicating that people are still buying and holding coins.
Therefore, there's no need to worry about a big drop in BTC; something big is coming, and it’s going up. It might challenge the $127,000 position.
Altcoins will follow after BTC breaks upwards, so just hold on; it’s not a big issue.
So, today’s market analysis can be summarized in four words: It’s going up, hold on.
Market Analysis Good afternoon, brothers. BTC broke 100,000 and surged upwards, then pulled back down, facing significant resistance above. From on-chain data, in the past two days: (1) Stablecoins have seen some small outflows, a slight bearish signal. (2) BTC continues to flow out, with 9,000 units flowing out of Binance. Considering these three factors, we judge that the bull market is still ongoing, and this is a new accumulation phase. (1) After Trump's victory, ETF funds have significantly surged in. (2) BTC continues to flow out of exchanges. (3) There is still one month until the favorable effects of Trump's election on January 20. Yesterday the market rebounded violently, and today until next Monday, we can expect it to be range-bound, so don't anticipate a sudden spike. Therefore, what we need to do now is to patiently hold our coins. The US stock market has surged too much, prepaying for profits expected in early 2025. Additionally, the decline in US inflation has stopped, or at least stagnated. It is possible that December will be the last interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, or that cuts next year will be minimal. Thus, although we anticipate another wave of increase, we must not be complacent; the market is more complicated than we imagined. We need to plan in advance for the take-profit of the next upward trend. Follow the rhythm of the community; escape when it's time to take profits. When it's time to mine, do not hold a large amount of coins; the community will sail with you through the winds and waves.
Market Analysis Hello brothers, yesterday 500,000 people faced liquidation, it was truly devastating. Some contract trading groups we know have been completely wiped out. Fortunately, we advised everyone to reduce their positions in advance, Additionally, the Thunder Community does not recommend trading contracts to avoid a major disaster. In a bull market, why are some people still losing money? Because of greed and reckless trading. No matter how much you earn, it will all go to zero. Yesterday's analysis reminded everyone that BTC retested $94,000 and hit the bottom once again. It has now rebounded to $97,000. Many brothers are asking, is the bull market over? Whether it is over or not, we shouldn't guess blindly, Our approach is to combine macro and on-chain data to make rational analyses. From the on-chain data, over the past two days, BTC has continuously flowed out from exchanges during the decline. Among them, Binance's BTC has not shown significant growth, remaining stable compared to a few days ago, with a certain increase in stablecoins. On the 9th and 10th, there was no significant outflow of ETFs, thus our market prediction is as follows: (1) The bull market is not over yet; currently, the bull is grazing but is close to the bull's tail, as the benefits of Trump's election are gradually being realized. (2) In the next few days, the market is expected to fluctuate for a while before making an upward attack. (3) BTC will need to continue correcting down after rebounding to 100,000; there is significant resistance above. (4) BTC may break $110,000 before Trump's inauguration speech on January 20th.
So amazing!!! In 14 years, 30 million times, The myth of Bitcoin creating wealth! Back then, it was less than 250 RMB, Now it is 740,000 RMB for one! 1. Satoshi Nakamoto, holding 1 million coins, 740 billion RMB! 2. Michael Saylor, 130,000 Bitcoins. 3. Barry Silbert, over 300,000 Bitcoins. Did those who bought Bitcoin back then still hold it? Did they hold on? Have they achieved financial freedom? Everyone says it’s a bubble that will burst, But who knows when it will burst!
Good evening, brothers. ETH has once again broken through $4000. Let's start with the data and see the current situation. Total market cap of stablecoins has increased by 0.7% compared to the previous day, indicating that the market continues to push for U. The balance of Bitcoin on exchanges has decreased by 0.3% compared to the previous day, indicating that large capital is still bottom fishing BTC. US BTC ETF: Net inflow of $767 million. US ETH ETF: Net inflow of $428 million, reaching the highest net inflow in history. With $400 million coming in daily, it's no wonder ETH is taking off. This bull market is no longer driven by the veteran traders in the crypto circle, but rather by traditional funds from outside the crypto circle, which is significantly different from previous years. The US has added two publicly traded companies that are purchasing BTC: Marathon Digital has purchased another 1,423 BTC in the past 6 hours. The US medical company Semler Scientific has also spent $29.3 million to continue purchasing Bitcoin, as proposed by the Mayor of Vancouver to include Bitcoin in municipal finances. The Financial Times in the UK, which has long held a critical stance towards Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general, started publishing articles yesterday apologizing for its biases. In contrast, media such as Caixin in mainland China continue to criticize cryptocurrencies even after BTC broke $100,000. In a bull market, as long as you don't short and hold contracts without being aggressive, you're making money. Finally, one more step: to escape the peak and take profits in time. Cryptos that can still be bought now: SHIB, STX.