LIVE战牛趋势论
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The US presidential debate is over, and China will unblock the crypto market!
Wang Yang, vice president of the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, said that China's total ban on cryptocurrency mining is very unwise, causing miners to move to the United States, bringing more than $4 billion in tax revenue to the United States. It is better to let state-owned enterprises go mining or state-owned enterprises take shares to ensure risk control. He said that with the possible election of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, the Chinese government should reconsider the significance of cryptocurrency.
"The country may rethink what digital assets are and whether we should embrace digital assets. In the development of the 'Belt and Road' countries, it must eventually be able to go out of the path of tokenization of real-world assets (RWA).
He continued: "But China's strategy may really need to go this way. If Trump comes to power, China will need to reevaluate all these policies in a very short time." ”
Trump’s recent stance on Bitcoin and cryptocurrency has undergone a 180-degree turn, and he expressed his willingness to support the self-custody rights of cryptocurrency.
Wang Yang admitted that he thought Bitcoin and blockchain were scams twice in 2012 and 2014, so he missed the opportunity.
“Hong Kong’s pace in service is too slow, and we seem to be satisfied with the status quo. Hong Kong should have a higher goal, determination, or even a belief, to lead the development of the entire region, including the future direction of blockchain technology.
Market changes are not temporary changes, and there may always be changes in the market. Opening up cryptocurrency is an inevitable result of market promotion, just like the acceptance of the US government. #美国PCE数据将公布 #BTC☀
Wang Yang, vice president of the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, said that China's total ban on cryptocurrency mining is very unwise, causing miners to move to the United States, bringing more than $4 billion in tax revenue to the United States. It is better to let state-owned enterprises go mining or state-owned enterprises take shares to ensure risk control. He said that with the possible election of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, the Chinese government should reconsider the significance of cryptocurrency.
"The country may rethink what digital assets are and whether we should embrace digital assets. In the development of the 'Belt and Road' countries, it must eventually be able to go out of the path of tokenization of real-world assets (RWA).
He continued: "But China's strategy may really need to go this way. If Trump comes to power, China will need to reevaluate all these policies in a very short time." ”
Trump’s recent stance on Bitcoin and cryptocurrency has undergone a 180-degree turn, and he expressed his willingness to support the self-custody rights of cryptocurrency.
Wang Yang admitted that he thought Bitcoin and blockchain were scams twice in 2012 and 2014, so he missed the opportunity.
“Hong Kong’s pace in service is too slow, and we seem to be satisfied with the status quo. Hong Kong should have a higher goal, determination, or even a belief, to lead the development of the entire region, including the future direction of blockchain technology.
Market changes are not temporary changes, and there may always be changes in the market. Opening up cryptocurrency is an inevitable result of market promotion, just like the acceptance of the US government. #美国PCE数据将公布 #BTC☀
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Options worth more than $10 billion will be delivered today. The market fluctuates greatly, but the IV of mainstream coins has not risen significantly.
Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, posted on social media that 107,000 BTC options expired, the Put Call Ratio was 0.5, the maximum pain point was $57,000, and the nominal value was $6.6 billion. 1.04 million ETH options expired, the Put Call Ratio was 0.59, the maximum pain point was $3,100, and the nominal value was $3.6 billion.
Today is the quarterly delivery, and options with a nominal face value of more than $10 billion are delivered. June is a difficult month for the crypto market. The prices of BTC and ETH are close to the maximum pain point that investors think is impossible to reach, and the market atmosphere is relatively pessimistic.
Despite the large market fluctuations, the IV of mainstream coins has not risen significantly. The IV of each major term of BTC is less than 50%, and the IV of each major term of ETH is less than 60%, both at a low level. There will be clearer news about ETH ETF at the beginning of next month. IV will be under strong downward pressure in the next few days after today's delivery. Buying some call options when IV is low will be a very cost-effective choice. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #美国PCE数据将公布 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC☀️ #ETH投资
Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, posted on social media that 107,000 BTC options expired, the Put Call Ratio was 0.5, the maximum pain point was $57,000, and the nominal value was $6.6 billion. 1.04 million ETH options expired, the Put Call Ratio was 0.59, the maximum pain point was $3,100, and the nominal value was $3.6 billion.
Today is the quarterly delivery, and options with a nominal face value of more than $10 billion are delivered. June is a difficult month for the crypto market. The prices of BTC and ETH are close to the maximum pain point that investors think is impossible to reach, and the market atmosphere is relatively pessimistic.
Despite the large market fluctuations, the IV of mainstream coins has not risen significantly. The IV of each major term of BTC is less than 50%, and the IV of each major term of ETH is less than 60%, both at a low level. There will be clearer news about ETH ETF at the beginning of next month. IV will be under strong downward pressure in the next few days after today's delivery. Buying some call options when IV is low will be a very cost-effective choice. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #美国PCE数据将公布 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC☀️ #ETH投资
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PCE data will be released tonight. Is the Fed's September rate cut stable?
The core PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, will be released at 20:30 tonight. The market expects the year-on-year growth rate to hit a new low
The IMF lowered the US economic growth rate this year to 2.6%, expecting its PCE to return to the 2% target by mid-2025, and said that the Fed should wait until at least the end of 2024 to lower the policy rate.
It is one of the economic indicators showing US price trends, and both the rest market and the core market are expected to slow down
According to forecasts, expectations for a September rate cut may increase further, which may trigger major market fluctuations
If the data release value is greater than the expected value, it is good for the US dollar, otherwise it is bad
The current market expectation is 2.6%. If the release value is greater than 2.6%, it is good for the US dollar and bad for cryptocurrencies. If the expected value is less than 2.6%, it is bad for the US dollar and good for cryptocurrencies!
It is expected that the volatility will be relatively large in the evening, so it is recommended to do a good job of risk control! #美国PCE数据将公布 #美联储何时降息？ #
The core PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, will be released at 20:30 tonight. The market expects the year-on-year growth rate to hit a new low
The IMF lowered the US economic growth rate this year to 2.6%, expecting its PCE to return to the 2% target by mid-2025, and said that the Fed should wait until at least the end of 2024 to lower the policy rate.
It is one of the economic indicators showing US price trends, and both the rest market and the core market are expected to slow down
According to forecasts, expectations for a September rate cut may increase further, which may trigger major market fluctuations
If the data release value is greater than the expected value, it is good for the US dollar, otherwise it is bad
The current market expectation is 2.6%. If the release value is greater than 2.6%, it is good for the US dollar and bad for cryptocurrencies. If the expected value is less than 2.6%, it is bad for the US dollar and good for cryptocurrencies!
It is expected that the volatility will be relatively large in the evening, so it is recommended to do a good job of risk control! #美国PCE数据将公布 #美联储何时降息？ #
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Choice is always better than hard work, and the right direction will get you twice the result with half the effort!
Yesterday evening, the price was stable, 1000 stores for the big store and 40 stores for the aunt. If you keep up, you will succeed. Only long-term trust can lead to a win-win situation! #BTC☀ #ETH收益
Yesterday evening, the price was stable, 1000 stores for the big store and 40 stores for the aunt. If you keep up, you will succeed. Only long-term trust can lead to a win-win situation! #BTC☀ #ETH收益
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Bitcoin basically showed a slow upward trend in yesterday's market. After reaching the highest level of 62400 in the evening, it was under pressure and stepped back again. After reaching the 61300 line in the early morning, it rebounded. It was running at the 61600 line. After the idea of slightly taking Li in the morning yesterday, the idea of short selling was swept after noon. In the evening, it was also clearly stated that 62400 suppressed short-selling. The market trend is also perfectly consistent with our short-selling point, and the overall retreat is 900 points. In the short-term rhythm, neither the long nor the short continues, so the operation is maintained in the range.
The current trend is still in a weak market. Although there is a rebound in the short term, the rebound has not continued too much, and the upward movement is still blocked. In the short-term trend of the daily line, a yin-yang alternating movement is formed in the short term, which is in line with the current market after the continuous decline. After all, the market will not fall or rise all the time. In the short term, a low-level box oscillation rhythm is formed, and neither the long nor the short continues. Then the operation needs to be stuck. If the range is not broken, the idea of high-altitude and low-multiple is maintained. End the unilateral view in the short term, and follow the break.
It is recommended to short the 62000-62500 area of the big cake, and look at the vicinity of 61000-60500. If it does not break, look back to 1000 points.
It is recommended to short the 3460-3480 area of the aunt, and focus on the 3400-3350 line. If it does not break, look back to 100 points #BTC☀ #ETH收益
The current trend is still in a weak market. Although there is a rebound in the short term, the rebound has not continued too much, and the upward movement is still blocked. In the short-term trend of the daily line, a yin-yang alternating movement is formed in the short term, which is in line with the current market after the continuous decline. After all, the market will not fall or rise all the time. In the short term, a low-level box oscillation rhythm is formed, and neither the long nor the short continues. Then the operation needs to be stuck. If the range is not broken, the idea of high-altitude and low-multiple is maintained. End the unilateral view in the short term, and follow the break.
It is recommended to short the 62000-62500 area of the big cake, and look at the vicinity of 61000-60500. If it does not break, look back to 1000 points.
It is recommended to short the 3460-3480 area of the aunt, and focus on the 3400-3350 line. If it does not break, look back to 100 points #BTC☀ #ETH收益
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Current status of the cryptocurrency circle
At 20,000: I don’t believe in a bull market, blockchain scam
At 30,000: It’s obviously a trap, it will continue to fall
At 40,000: It has finally reached the top, the waterfall is coming
At 50,000: It’s accelerating to the top, run away
At 60,000: The bull market is coming, do you want to make a bottom position
At 70,000: Damn, blockchain revolution, get on board.
At 60,000: Encryption is over, game over! #BTC☀ #ETH投资 #美国PCE数据将公布 #热门推荐
At 20,000: I don’t believe in a bull market, blockchain scam
At 30,000: It’s obviously a trap, it will continue to fall
At 40,000: It has finally reached the top, the waterfall is coming
At 50,000: It’s accelerating to the top, run away
At 60,000: The bull market is coming, do you want to make a bottom position
At 70,000: Damn, blockchain revolution, get on board.
At 60,000: Encryption is over, game over! #BTC☀ #ETH投资 #美国PCE数据将公布 #热门推荐
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What should I do if I don't dare to place an order when the market comes?
We all go through this process when trading. At the beginning, we are fearless and dare to rush into any market. Later, we are afraid of losses and start to be trembling. Even if we encounter a market that we are very confident of, we dare not place an order. There are almost two reasons.
One is that the trading technology is not good enough, the grasp of the market is not enough, and the confidence is insufficient. The solution is to practice more. You can practice with replay software or simulated trading. Only do this kind of market, understand the possible changes of this market, and formulate a trading plan for this market. With more practice and deeper understanding, you will naturally have confidence.
Another reason for fear is that the position of the order is too heavy, and you may encounter a situation where the stop loss amount is too large, which will make you afraid. Although you know that this market is likely to come out, the position is heavy. If a stop loss occurs, the amount will be very large, and it is uncomfortable to think about it. So you start to be afraid and dare not place an order.
In this case, reduce the position and open a position. After opening a position, there will be no too much psychological pressure, and the execution can be guaranteed. If you find that once you have a heavy position, you start to hesitate and struggle, and it is difficult to execute your trading strategy, then it is better to reduce your position. Even a small profit is better than no profit. Everyone should know this. If you can't hold on, you can add 🐧 3932739658, follow the professional pace of professionals and rush together #BTC☀ #ETH收益
We all go through this process when trading. At the beginning, we are fearless and dare to rush into any market. Later, we are afraid of losses and start to be trembling. Even if we encounter a market that we are very confident of, we dare not place an order. There are almost two reasons.
One is that the trading technology is not good enough, the grasp of the market is not enough, and the confidence is insufficient. The solution is to practice more. You can practice with replay software or simulated trading. Only do this kind of market, understand the possible changes of this market, and formulate a trading plan for this market. With more practice and deeper understanding, you will naturally have confidence.
Another reason for fear is that the position of the order is too heavy, and you may encounter a situation where the stop loss amount is too large, which will make you afraid. Although you know that this market is likely to come out, the position is heavy. If a stop loss occurs, the amount will be very large, and it is uncomfortable to think about it. So you start to be afraid and dare not place an order.
In this case, reduce the position and open a position. After opening a position, there will be no too much psychological pressure, and the execution can be guaranteed. If you find that once you have a heavy position, you start to hesitate and struggle, and it is difficult to execute your trading strategy, then it is better to reduce your position. Even a small profit is better than no profit. Everyone should know this. If you can't hold on, you can add 🐧 3932739658, follow the professional pace of professionals and rush together #BTC☀ #ETH收益
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The current structure is still in a bearish pattern. After a night of running-in, the market has not given an effective rebound. In the case of weak rebound, the bearish trend will continue.
In the daily trend, the K-line gave a small positive repair after a continuous negative decline and then closed again. So a single negative and a single positive are not a trend. The short-term positive line was quickly ended by the negative line, so the rebound did not form an effective action, which means that the bearish trend is still good.
In the previous decline in the four-hour chart, it also extended downward along the lower track of the Bollinger band. After the short-term rebounded to the middle track, it fell again under pressure. Therefore, there is no change in the overall structure, and it is still dominated by bears. So in terms of operation, we still keep the bearish thinking unchanged and treat it as a rebound shorting idea!
On Thursday morning, it is recommended to short the big cake near 61500, and the target is 59500-59000.
On Thursday morning, it is recommended to short Ethereum near 3440, and the target is 3300-3250. #BTC☀
In the daily trend, the K-line gave a small positive repair after a continuous negative decline and then closed again. So a single negative and a single positive are not a trend. The short-term positive line was quickly ended by the negative line, so the rebound did not form an effective action, which means that the bearish trend is still good.
In the previous decline in the four-hour chart, it also extended downward along the lower track of the Bollinger band. After the short-term rebounded to the middle track, it fell again under pressure. Therefore, there is no change in the overall structure, and it is still dominated by bears. So in terms of operation, we still keep the bearish thinking unchanged and treat it as a rebound shorting idea!
On Thursday morning, it is recommended to short the big cake near 61500, and the target is 59500-59000.
On Thursday morning, it is recommended to short Ethereum near 3440, and the target is 3300-3250. #BTC☀
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Bitcoin hit a high and then fell back during the day, falling to the 61100 line, and Ethereum fell to the 3365 line.
The retracement has not yet broken the small-level support below. It is still necessary to change the thinking at night and keep a low-level approach.
Bitcoin is around 61000-61300, looking at 62000-62500
Ether is around 3350-3370, looking at 3420-3450#BTC走势预测 #ETH大涨 #以太坊ETF批准预期
The retracement has not yet broken the small-level support below. It is still necessary to change the thinking at night and keep a low-level approach.
Bitcoin is around 61000-61300, looking at 62000-62500
Ether is around 3350-3370, looking at 3420-3450#BTC走势预测 #ETH大涨 #以太坊ETF批准预期
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Why do people feel that people in the cryptocurrency circle are generally snobbish?
In reality, the reason for not being snobbish is that in an acquaintance society, credit and favors can be used as long-term intangible assets, which can maintain or even increase value.
People feel that many people are snobbish because, in a networked society, except for closely connected allies and confidants, favors and credit will quickly depreciate to worthless over time.
Therefore, people tend to rush to cash out for non-long-term allies and confidants. If they do not cash out, it will easily become pure investment and loss.
Seeking benefits and avoiding harm is not something that can be bound by moral correctness, but is inevitable. #BTC☀
In reality, the reason for not being snobbish is that in an acquaintance society, credit and favors can be used as long-term intangible assets, which can maintain or even increase value.
People feel that many people are snobbish because, in a networked society, except for closely connected allies and confidants, favors and credit will quickly depreciate to worthless over time.
Therefore, people tend to rush to cash out for non-long-term allies and confidants. If they do not cash out, it will easily become pure investment and loss.
Seeking benefits and avoiding harm is not something that can be bound by moral correctness, but is inevitable. #BTC☀
